Robust Classification for Imprecise Environments

In real-world environments it usually is difficult to specify target operating conditions precisely, for example, target misclassification costs. This uncertainty makes building robust classification systems problematic. We show that it is possible to build a hybrid classifier that will perform at least as well as the best available classifier for any target conditions. In some cases, the performance of the hybrid actually can surpass that of the best known classifier. This robust performance extends across a wide variety of comparison frameworks, including the optimization of metrics such as accuracy, expected cost, lift, precision, recall, and workforce utilization. The hybrid also is efficient to build, to store, and to update. The hybrid is based on a method for the comparison of classifier performance that is robust to imprecise class distributions and misclassification costs. The ROC convex hull (ROCCH) method combines techniques from ROC analysis, decision analysis and computational geometry, and adapts them to the particulars of analyzing learned classifiers. The method is efficient and incremental, minimizes the management of classifier performance data, and allows for clear visual comparisons and sensitivity analyses. Finally, we point to empirical evidence that a robust hybrid classifier indeed is needed for many real-world problems.Comment: 24 pages, 12 figures. To be published in Machine Learning Journal. For related papers, see http://www.hpl.hp.com/personal/Tom_Fawcett/ROCCH

A Conversational AI Approach to Detecting Deception and Tackling Insurance Fraud

This talk will present a real-world case study in the insurance domain that exploits speech and language to produce an explainable pipeline that identifies and justifies the behavioural elements of a fraudulent claim during a telephone report of an insured loss. To detect the behavioural features of speech for deception detection, we have curated a robust set of acoustic and linguistic markers that potentially indicate deception in a conversation. Statistical measures and machine learning were used to identify these linguistic markers in the right context. The explainable pipeline means that the output of the decision-making element of the system provides transparent decision explainability, overcoming the “black-box” challenge of traditional AI systems. This patent-pending technology, made possible through the support of funding from UK Research and Innovation (UKRI), is now part of a real-world commercial system, called LexiQal. This talk will outline the LexiQal approach to address the need for an efficient data-driven deep learning transparent approach (Explainable AI) to call analytics, an automated approach to forensic statement analysis, where there is a need to interpret the context of the spoken utterances accurately

A Domain-Agnostic Approach for Characterization of Lifelong Learning Systems

Despite the advancement of machine learning techniques in recent years, state-of-the-art systems lack robustness to "real world" events, where the input distributions and tasks encountered by the deployed systems will not be limited to the original training context, and systems will instead need to adapt to novel distributions and tasks while deployed. This critical gap may be addressed through the development of "Lifelong Learning" systems that are capable of 1) Continuous Learning, 2) Transfer and Adaptation, and 3) Scalability. Unfortunately, efforts to improve these capabilities are typically treated as distinct areas of research that are assessed independently, without regard to the impact of each separate capability on other aspects of the system. We instead propose a holistic approach, using a suite of metrics and an evaluation framework to assess Lifelong Learning in a principled way that is agnostic to specific domains or system techniques. Through five case studies, we show that this suite of metrics can inform the development of varied and complex Lifelong Learning systems. We highlight how the proposed suite of metrics quantifies performance trade-offs present during Lifelong Learning system development - both the widely discussed Stability-Plasticity dilemma and the newly proposed relationship between Sample Efficient and Robust Learning. Further, we make recommendations for the formulation and use of metrics to guide the continuing development of Lifelong Learning systems and assess their progress in the future.Comment: To appear in Neural Network

Learning To Grasp

Providing robots with the ability to grasp objects has, despite decades of research, remained a challenging problem. The problem is approachable in constrained environments where there is ample prior knowledge of the scene and objects that will be manipulated. The challenge is in building systems that scale beyond specific situational instances and gracefully operate in novel conditions. In the past, heuristic and simple rule based strategies were used to accomplish tasks such as scene segmentation or reasoning about occlusion. These heuristic strategies work in constrained environments where a roboticist can make simplifying assumptions about everything from the geometries of the objects to be interacted with, level of clutter, camera position, lighting, and a myriad of other relevant variables. With these assumptions in place, it becomes tractable for a roboticist to hardcode desired behaviour and build a robotic system capable of completing repetitive tasks. These hardcoded behaviours will quickly fail if the assumptions about the environment are invalidated. In this thesis we will demonstrate how a robust grasping system can be built that is capable of operating under a more variable set of conditions without requiring significant engineering of behavior by a roboticist. This robustness is enabled by a new found ability to empower novel machine learning techniques with massive amounts of synthetic training data. The ability of simulators to create realistic sensory data enables the generation of massive corpora of labeled training data for various grasping related tasks. The use of simulation allows for the creation of a wide variety of environments and experiences exposing the robotic system to a large number of scenarios before ever operating in the real world. This thesis demonstrates that it is now possible to build systems that work in the real world trained using deep learning on synthetic data. The sheer volume of data that can be produced via simulation enables the use of powerful deep learning techniques whose performance scales with the amount of data available. This thesis will explore how deep learning and other techniques can be used to encode these massive datasets for efficient runtime use. The ability to train and test on synthetic data allows for quick iterative development of new perception, planning and grasp execution algorithms that work in a large number of environments. Creative applications of machine learning and massive synthetic datasets are allowing robotic systems to learn skills, and move beyond repetitive hardcoded tasks