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A Geometric Variational Approach to Bayesian Inference
We propose a novel Riemannian geometric framework for variational inference
in Bayesian models based on the nonparametric Fisher-Rao metric on the manifold
of probability density functions. Under the square-root density representation,
the manifold can be identified with the positive orthant of the unit
hypersphere in L2, and the Fisher-Rao metric reduces to the standard L2 metric.
Exploiting such a Riemannian structure, we formulate the task of approximating
the posterior distribution as a variational problem on the hypersphere based on
the alpha-divergence. This provides a tighter lower bound on the marginal
distribution when compared to, and a corresponding upper bound unavailable
with, approaches based on the Kullback-Leibler divergence. We propose a novel
gradient-based algorithm for the variational problem based on Frechet
derivative operators motivated by the geometry of the Hilbert sphere, and
examine its properties. Through simulations and real-data applications, we
demonstrate the utility of the proposed geometric framework and algorithm on
several Bayesian models
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