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Adding Priority to Event Structures
Event Structures (ESs) are mainly concerned with the representation of causal
relationships between events, usually accompanied by other event relations
capturing conflicts and disabling. Among the most prominent variants of ESs are
Prime ESs, Bundle ESs, Stable ESs, and Dual ESs, which differ in their
causality models and event relations. Yet, some application domains require
further kinds of relations between events. Here, we add the possibility to
express priority relationships among events.
We exemplify our approach on Prime, Bundle, Extended Bundle, and Dual ESs.
Technically, we enhance these variants in the same way. For each variant, we
then study the interference between priority and the other event relations.
From this, we extract the redundant priority pairs-notably differing for the
types of ESs-that enable us to provide a comparison between the extensions. We
also exhibit that priority considerably complicates the definition of partial
orders in ESs.Comment: In Proceedings EXPRESS/SOS 2013, arXiv:1307.690
Graphical models for marked point processes based on local independence
A new class of graphical models capturing the dependence structure of events
that occur in time is proposed. The graphs represent so-called local
independences, meaning that the intensities of certain types of events are
independent of some (but not necessarily all) events in the past. This dynamic
concept of independence is asymmetric, similar to Granger non-causality, so
that the corresponding local independence graphs differ considerably from
classical graphical models. Hence a new notion of graph separation, called
delta-separation, is introduced and implications for the underlying model as
well as for likelihood inference are explored. Benefits regarding facilitation
of reasoning about and understanding of dynamic dependencies as well as
computational simplifications are discussed.Comment: To appear in the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series
PLACES'10: The 3rd Workshop on Programmng Language Approaches to concurrency and Communication-Centric Software
Paphos, Cyprus. March 201
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An agent-based fuzzy cognitive map approach to the strategic marketing planning for industrial firms
This is the post-print version of the final paper published in Industrial Marketing Management. The published article is available from the link below. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. Copyright @ 2013 Elsevier B.V.Industrial marketing planning is a typical example of an unstructured decision making problem due to the large number of variables to consider and the uncertainty imposed on those variables. Although abundant studies identified barriers and facilitators of effective industrial marketing planning in practice, the literature still lacks practical tools and methods that marketing managers can use for the task. This paper applies fuzzy cognitive maps (FCM) to industrial marketing planning. In particular, agent based inference method is proposed to overcome dynamic relationships, time lags, and reusability issues of FCM evaluation. MACOM simulator also is developed to help marketing managers conduct what-if scenarios to see the impacts of possible changes on the variables defined in an FCM that represents industrial marketing planning problem. The simulator is applied to an industrial marketing planning problem for a global software service company in South Korea. This study has practical implication as it supports marketing managers for industrial marketing planning that has large number of variables and their cause–effect relationships. It also contributes to FCM theory by providing an agent based method for the inference of FCM. Finally, MACOM also provides academics in the industrial marketing management discipline with a tool for developing and pre-verifying a conceptual model based on qualitative knowledge of marketing practitioners.Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (Korea
Disentangling causal webs in the brain using functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging: A review of current approaches
In the past two decades, functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging has been used
to relate neuronal network activity to cognitive processing and behaviour.
Recently this approach has been augmented by algorithms that allow us to infer
causal links between component populations of neuronal networks. Multiple
inference procedures have been proposed to approach this research question but
so far, each method has limitations when it comes to establishing whole-brain
connectivity patterns. In this work, we discuss eight ways to infer causality
in fMRI research: Bayesian Nets, Dynamical Causal Modelling, Granger Causality,
Likelihood Ratios, LiNGAM, Patel's Tau, Structural Equation Modelling, and
Transfer Entropy. We finish with formulating some recommendations for the
future directions in this area
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