8,891 research outputs found
Incorporating prior financial domain knowledge into neural networks for implied volatility surface prediction
In this paper we develop a novel neural network model for predicting implied
volatility surface. Prior financial domain knowledge is taken into account. A
new activation function that incorporates volatility smile is proposed, which
is used for the hidden nodes that process the underlying asset price. In
addition, financial conditions, such as the absence of arbitrage, the
boundaries and the asymptotic slope, are embedded into the loss function. This
is one of the very first studies which discuss a methodological framework that
incorporates prior financial domain knowledge into neural network architecture
design and model training. The proposed model outperforms the benchmarked
models with the option data on the S&P 500 index over 20 years. More
importantly, the domain knowledge is satisfied empirically, showing the model
is consistent with the existing financial theories and conditions related to
implied volatility surface.Comment: 8 pages, SIGKDD 202
Pricing European and American Options under Heston Model using Discontinuous Galerkin Finite Elements
This paper deals with pricing of European and American options, when the
underlying asset price follows Heston model, via the interior penalty
discontinuous Galerkin finite element method (dGFEM). The advantages of dGFEM
space discretization with Rannacher smoothing as time integrator with nonsmooth
initial and boundary conditions are illustrated for European vanilla options,
digital call and American put options. The convection dominated Heston model
for vanishing volatility is efficiently solved utilizing the adaptive dGFEM.
For fast solution of the linear complementary problem of the American options,
a projected successive over relaxation (PSOR) method is developed with the norm
preconditioned dGFEM. We show the efficiency and accuracy of dGFEM for option
pricing by conducting comparison analysis with other methods and numerical
experiments
The valuation of clean spread options: linking electricity, emissions and fuels
The purpose of the paper is to present a new pricing method for clean spread options, and to illustrate its main features on a set of numerical examples produced by a dedicated computer code. The novelty of the approach is embedded in the use of a structural model as opposed to reduced-form models which fail to capture properly the fundamental dependencies between the economic factors entering the production process
Volatility and dividend risk in perpetual American options
American options are financial instruments that can be exercised at any time
before expiration. In this paper we study the problem of pricing this kind of
derivatives within a framework in which some of the properties --volatility and
dividend policy-- of the underlaying stock can change at a random instant of
time, but in such a way that we can forecast their final values. Under this
assumption we can model actual market conditions because some of the most
relevant facts that may potentially affect a firm will entail sharp predictable
effects. We will analyse the consequences of this potential risk on perpetual
American derivatives, a topic connected with a wide class of recurrent problems
in physics: holders of American options must look for the fair price and the
optimal exercise strategy at once, a typical question of free absorbing
boundaries. We present explicit solutions to the most common contract
specifications and derive analytical expressions concerning the mean and higher
moments of the exercise time.Comment: 21 pages, 5 figures, iopart, submitted for publication; deep
revision, two new appendice
Model Dependency of the Digital Option Replication – Replication under an Incomplete Model (in English)
The paper focuses on the replication of digital options under an incomplete model. Digital options are regularly applied in the hedging and static decomposition of many path-dependent options. The author examines the performance of static and dynamic replication. He considers the case of a market agent for whom the right model of the underlying asset-price evolution is not available. The observed price dynamic is supposed to follow four distinct models: (i) the Black and Scholes model, (ii) the Black and Scholes model with stochastic volatility driven by Hull and White model, (iii) the variance gamma model, defined as time changed Brownian motion, and (iv) the variance gamma model set in a stochastic environment modelled as the rate of time change via a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model. Both static and dynamic replication methods are applied and examined within each of these settings. The author verifies the independence of the static replication on underlying processes.digital options, dynamic and static replication, internal time, Lévy models, replication error, stochastic environment, stochastic volatility, variance gamma process
Numerical methods for Lévy processes
We survey the use and limitations of some numerical methods for pricing derivative contracts in multidimensional geometric Lévy model
General Purpose Technologies "Engines of Growth?"
Whole eras of technical progress and economic growth appear to be driven by a few key technologies, which we call General Purpose Technologies (GPT's). Thus the steam engine and the electric motor may have played such a role in the past, whereas semiconductors and computers may be doing as much in our era. GPT's are characterized by pervasiveness (they are used as inputs by many downstream sectors), inherent potential for technical improvements, and innovational complementarities', meaning that the productivity of R&D in downstream sectors increases as a consequence of innovation in the GPT. Thus, as GPT's improve they spread throughout the economy, bringing about generalized productivity gains. Our analysis shows that the characteristics of GPT's imply a sort of increasing returns to scale phenomenon, and that this may have a large role to play in determining the rate of technical advance; on the other hand this phenomenon makes it difficult for a decentralized economy to fully exploit the growth opportunities offered by evolving GPT's. In particular; if the relationship between the GPT and its users is limited to arms-length market transactions, there will be "too little, too late" innovation in both sectors. Likewise, difficulties in forecasting the technological developments of the other side may lower the rate of technical advance of all sectors. Lastly, we show that the analysis of GPT's has testable implications in the context of R&D and productivity equations, that can in principle be estimated.
Pricing of the European Options by Spectral Theory
We discuss the efficiency of the spectral method for computing the value of the European Call Options, which is based upon the Fourier series expansion. We propose a simple approach for computing accurate estimates. We consider the general case, in which the volatility is time dependent, but it is immediate extend our methodology at the case of constant volatility. The advantage to write the arbitrage price of the European Call Options as Fourier series, is matter of computation complexity. Infact, the methods used to evaluate options of this kind have a high value of computation complexity, furthermore, them have not the capacity to manage it. We can define, by an easy analytical relation, the computation complexity of the problem in the framework of general theory of the ”Function Analysis”, called The Spectral Theory.Options Pricing, Computation Complexity.
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