Data Driven Inference in Populations of Agents

abstract: In the artificial intelligence literature, three forms of reasoning are commonly employed to understand agent behavior: inductive, deductive, and abductive.  More recently, data-driven approaches leveraging ideas such as machine learning, data mining, and social network analysis have gained popularity. While data-driven variants of the aforementioned forms of reasoning have been applied separately, there is little work on how data-driven approaches across all three forms relate and lend themselves to practical applications. Given an agent behavior and the percept sequence, how one can identify a specific outcome such as the likeliest explanation? To address real-world problems, it is vital to understand the different types of reasonings which can lead to better data-driven inference.   This dissertation has laid the groundwork for studying these relationships and applying them to three real-world problems. In criminal modeling, inductive and deductive reasonings are applied to early prediction of violent criminal gang members. To address this problem the features derived from the co-arrestee social network as well as geographical and temporal features are leveraged. Then, a data-driven variant of geospatial abductive inference is studied in missing person problem to locate the missing person. Finally, induction and abduction reasonings are studied for identifying pathogenic accounts of a cascade in social networks.Dissertation/ThesisDoctoral Dissertation Computer Science 201

Trends in Detection and Characterization of Propaganda Bots

Since the revelations of interference in the 2016 US Presidential elections, the UK’s Brexit referendum, the Catalan independence vote in 2017 and numerous other major political discussions by malicious online actors and propaganda bots, there has been increasing interest in understanding how to detect and characterize such threats.We focus on some of the recent research in algorithms for detection of propaganda botnets and metrics by which their impact can be measure