15,669 research outputs found
Designing a Procedure for the Acquisition of Probability Constraints for Bayesian Networks
Abstract. Among the various tasks involved in building a Bayesian network for a real-life application, the task of eliciting all probabilities required is generally considered the most daunting. We propose to sim-plify this task by first acquiring qualitative features of the probability distribution to be represented; these features can subsequently be taken as constraints on the precise probabilities to be obtained. We discuss the design of a procedure that guides the knowledge engineer in acquiring these qualitative features in an efficient way, based on an in-depth analy-sis of all viable combinations of features. In addition, we report on initial experiences with our procedure in the domain of neonatology.
Relational Approach to Knowledge Engineering for POMDP-based Assistance Systems as a Translation of a Psychological Model
Assistive systems for persons with cognitive disabilities (e.g. dementia) are
difficult to build due to the wide range of different approaches people can
take to accomplishing the same task, and the significant uncertainties that
arise from both the unpredictability of client's behaviours and from noise in
sensor readings. Partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) models
have been used successfully as the reasoning engine behind such assistive
systems for small multi-step tasks such as hand washing. POMDP models are a
powerful, yet flexible framework for modelling assistance that can deal with
uncertainty and utility. Unfortunately, POMDPs usually require a very labour
intensive, manual procedure for their definition and construction. Our previous
work has described a knowledge driven method for automatically generating POMDP
activity recognition and context sensitive prompting systems for complex tasks.
We call the resulting POMDP a SNAP (SyNdetic Assistance Process). The
spreadsheet-like result of the analysis does not correspond to the POMDP model
directly and the translation to a formal POMDP representation is required. To
date, this translation had to be performed manually by a trained POMDP expert.
In this paper, we formalise and automate this translation process using a
probabilistic relational model (PRM) encoded in a relational database. We
demonstrate the method by eliciting three assistance tasks from non-experts. We
validate the resulting POMDP models using case-based simulations to show that
they are reasonable for the domains. We also show a complete case study of a
designer specifying one database, including an evaluation in a real-life
experiment with a human actor
Bayesian optimisation for likelihood-free cosmological inference
Many cosmological models have only a finite number of parameters of interest,
but a very expensive data-generating process and an intractable likelihood
function. We address the problem of performing likelihood-free Bayesian
inference from such black-box simulation-based models, under the constraint of
a very limited simulation budget (typically a few thousand). To do so, we adopt
an approach based on the likelihood of an alternative parametric model.
Conventional approaches to approximate Bayesian computation such as
likelihood-free rejection sampling are impractical for the considered problem,
due to the lack of knowledge about how the parameters affect the discrepancy
between observed and simulated data. As a response, we make use of a strategy
previously developed in the machine learning literature (Bayesian optimisation
for likelihood-free inference, BOLFI), which combines Gaussian process
regression of the discrepancy to build a surrogate surface with Bayesian
optimisation to actively acquire training data. We extend the method by
deriving an acquisition function tailored for the purpose of minimising the
expected uncertainty in the approximate posterior density, in the parametric
approach. The resulting algorithm is applied to the problems of summarising
Gaussian signals and inferring cosmological parameters from the Joint
Lightcurve Analysis supernovae data. We show that the number of required
simulations is reduced by several orders of magnitude, and that the proposed
acquisition function produces more accurate posterior approximations, as
compared to common strategies.Comment: 16+9 pages, 12 figures. Matches PRD published version after minor
modification
Adversarial training with cycle consistency for unsupervised super-resolution in endomicroscopy
In recent years, endomicroscopy has become increasingly used for diagnostic
purposes and interventional guidance. It can provide intraoperative aids for
real-time tissue characterization and can help to perform visual investigations
aimed for example to discover epithelial cancers. Due to physical constraints
on the acquisition process, endomicroscopy images, still today have a low
number of informative pixels which hampers their quality. Post-processing
techniques, such as Super-Resolution (SR), are a potential solution to increase
the quality of these images. SR techniques are often supervised, requiring
aligned pairs of low-resolution (LR) and high-resolution (HR) images patches to
train a model. However, in our domain, the lack of HR images hinders the
collection of such pairs and makes supervised training unsuitable. For this
reason, we propose an unsupervised SR framework based on an adversarial deep
neural network with a physically-inspired cycle consistency, designed to impose
some acquisition properties on the super-resolved images. Our framework can
exploit HR images, regardless of the domain where they are coming from, to
transfer the quality of the HR images to the initial LR images. This property
can be particularly useful in all situations where pairs of LR/HR are not
available during the training. Our quantitative analysis, validated using a
database of 238 endomicroscopy video sequences from 143 patients, shows the
ability of the pipeline to produce convincing super-resolved images. A Mean
Opinion Score (MOS) study also confirms this quantitative image quality
assessment.Comment: Accepted for publication on Medical Image Analysis journa
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