Two-stage Supply Chain Model with Uncertain Demand

Based on uncertainty theory, a two-stage supply chain model is presented, where the customers’ demands are characterized as uncertain variables. The objective is to minimize the combined costs incurred in the manufacturing and logistics phases. When these uncertain variables are linear, the objective function and constraints can be converted into crisp equivalents, then can be solved by traditional methods. An example is given to illustrate the model and the converting method

A reliability-and-cost-based fuzzy approach to optimize preventive maintenance scheduling for offshore wind farms

We study the preventive maintenance scheduling problem of wind farms in the offshore wind energy sector which operates under uncertainty due to the state of the ocean and market demand. We formulate a fuzzy multi-objective non-linear chance-constrained programming model with newly-defined reliability and cost criteria and constraints to obtain satisfying schedules for wind turbine maintenance. To solve the optimization model, a 2-phase solution framework integrating the operational law for fuzzy arithmetic and the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II for multi-objective programming is developed. Pareto-optimal solutions of the schedules are obtained to form the trade-offs between the reliability maximization and cost minimization objectives. A numerical example is illustrated to validate the model

Water Resources Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Uncertainty is in part about variability in relation to the physical characteristics of water resources systems. But uncertainty is also about ambiguity (Simonovic, 2009). Both variability and ambiguity are associated with a lack of clarity because of the behaviour of all system components, a lack of data, a lack of detail, a lack of structure to consider water resources management problems, working and framing assumptions being used to consider the problems, known and unknown sources of bias, and ignorance about how much effort it is worth expending to clarify the management situation. Climate change, addressed in this research project (CFCAS, 2008), is another important source of uncertainty that contributes to the variability in the input variables for water resources management. This report presents a set of examples that illustrate (a) probabilistic and (b) fuzzy set approaches for solving various water resources management problems. The main goal of this report is to demonstrate how information provided to water resources decision makers can be improved by using the tools that incorporate risk and uncertainty. The uncertainty associated with water resources decision making problems is quantified using probabilistic and fuzzy set approaches. A set of selected examples are presented to illustrate the application of probabilistic and fuzzy simulation, optimization, and multi-objective analysis to water resources design, planning and operations. Selected examples include dike design, sewer pipe design, optimal operations of a single purpose reservoir, and planning of a multi-purpose reservoir system. Demonstrated probabilistic and fuzzy tools can be easily adapted to many other water resources decision making problems.https://ir.lib.uwo.ca/wrrr/1035/thumbnail.jp