Imitative Planning using Conditional Normalizing Flow

We explore the application of normalizing flows for improving the performance of trajectory planning for autonomous vehicles (AVs). Normalizing flows provide an invertible mapping from a known prior distribution to a potentially complex, multi-modal target distribution and allow for fast sampling with exact PDF inference. By modeling a trajectory planner's cost manifold as an energy function we learn a scene conditioned mapping from the prior to a Boltzmann distribution over the AV control space. This mapping allows for control samples and their associated energy to be generated jointly and in parallel. We propose using neural autoregressive flow (NAF) as part of an end-to-end deep learned system that allows for utilizing sensors, map, and route information to condition the flow mapping. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on real world datasets over IL and hand constructed trajectory sampling techniques.Comment: Submittted to 4th Conference on Robot Learning (CoRL 2020), Cambridge MA, US

An active inference model of hierarchical action understanding, learning and imitation

We advance a novel active inference model of the cognitive processing that underlies the acquisition of a hierarchical action repertoire and its use for observation, understanding and imitation. We illustrate the model in four simulations of a tennis learner who observes a teacher performing tennis shots, forms hierarchical representations of the observed actions, and imitates them. Our simulations show that the agent's oculomotor activity implements an active information sampling strategy that permits inferring the kinematic aspects of the observed movement, which lie at the lowest level of the action hierarchy. In turn, this low-level kinematic inference supports higher-level inferences about deeper aspects of the observed actions: proximal goals and intentions. Finally, the inferred action representations can steer imitative responses, but interfere with the execution of different actions. Our simulations show that hierarchical active inference provides a unified account of action observation, understanding, learning and imitation and helps explain the neurobiological underpinnings of visuomotor cognition, including the multiple routes for action understanding in the dorsal and ventral streams and mirror mechanisms

Reliable Multimodal Trajectory Prediction via Error Aligned Uncertainty Optimization

Reliable uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks is very crucial in safety-critical applications such as automated driving for trustworthy and informed decision-making. Assessing the quality of uncertainty estimates is challenging as ground truth for uncertainty estimates is not available. Ideally, in a well-calibrated model, uncertainty estimates should perfectly correlate with model error. We propose a novel error aligned uncertainty optimization method and introduce a trainable loss function to guide the models to yield good quality uncertainty estimates aligning with the model error. Our approach targets continuous structured prediction and regression tasks, and is evaluated on multiple datasets including a large-scale vehicle motion prediction task involving real-world distributional shifts. We demonstrate that our method improves average displacement error by 1.69% and 4.69%, and the uncertainty correlation with model error by 17.22% and 19.13% as quantified by Pearson correlation coefficient on two state-of-the-art baselines.Comment: Accepted to ECCV 2022 workshop - Safe Artificial Intelligence for Automated Drivin

Human Motion Trajectory Prediction: A Survey

With growing numbers of intelligent autonomous systems in human environments, the ability of such systems to perceive, understand and anticipate human behavior becomes increasingly important. Specifically, predicting future positions of dynamic agents and planning considering such predictions are key tasks for self-driving vehicles, service robots and advanced surveillance systems. This paper provides a survey of human motion trajectory prediction. We review, analyze and structure a large selection of work from different communities and propose a taxonomy that categorizes existing methods based on the motion modeling approach and level of contextual information used. We provide an overview of the existing datasets and performance metrics. We discuss limitations of the state of the art and outline directions for further research.Comment: Submitted to the International Journal of Robotics Research (IJRR), 37 page

Get Back Here: Robust Imitation by Return-to-Distribution Planning

We consider the Imitation Learning (IL) setup where expert data are not collected on the actual deployment environment but on a different version. To address the resulting distribution shift, we combine behavior cloning (BC) with a planner that is tasked to bring the agent back to states visited by the expert whenever the agent deviates from the demonstration distribution. The resulting algorithm, POIR, can be trained offline, and leverages online interactions to efficiently fine-tune its planner to improve performance over time. We test POIR on a variety of human-generated manipulation demonstrations in a realistic robotic manipulation simulator and show robustness of the learned policy to different initial state distributions and noisy dynamics