Identifiability of generalised Randles circuit models

The Randles circuit (including a parallel resistor and capacitor in series with another resistor) and its generalised topology have widely been employed in electrochemical energy storage systems such as batteries, fuel cells and supercapacitors, also in biomedical engineering, for example, to model the electrode-tissue interface in electroencephalography and baroreceptor dynamics. This paper studies identifiability of generalised Randles circuit models, that is, whether the model parameters can be estimated uniquely from the input-output data. It is shown that generalised Randles circuit models are structurally locally identifiable. The condition that makes the model structure globally identifiable is then discussed. Finally, the estimation accuracy is evaluated through extensive simulations

Parameter estimation for stochastic hybrid model applied to urban traffic flow estimation

This study proposes a novel data-based approach for estimating the parameters of a stochastic hybrid model describing the traffic flow in an urban traffic network with signalized intersections. The model represents the evolution of the traffic flow rate, measuring the number of vehicles passing a given location per time unit. This traffic flow rate is described using a mode-dependent first-order autoregressive (AR) stochastic process. The parameters of the AR process take different values depending on the mode of traffic operation – free flowing, congested or faulty – making this a hybrid stochastic process. Mode switching occurs according to a first-order Markov chain. This study proposes an expectation-maximization (EM) technique for estimating the transition matrix of this Markovian mode process and the parameters of the AR models for each mode. The technique is applied to actual traffic flow data from the city of Jakarta, Indonesia. The model thus obtained is validated by using the smoothed inference algorithms and an online particle filter. The authors also develop an EM parameter estimation that, in combination with a time-window shift technique, can be useful and practical for periodically updating the parameters of hybrid model leading to an adaptive traffic flow state estimator

Detection and Isolation of Small Faults in Lithium-Ion Batteries via the Asymptotic Local Approach

This contribution presents a diagnosis scheme for batteries to detect and isolate internal faults in the form of small parameter changes. This scheme is based on an electrochemical reduced-order model of the battery, which allows the inclusion of physically meaningful faults that might affect the battery performance. The sensitivity properties of the model are analyzed. The model is then used to compute residuals based on an unscented Kalman filter. Primary residuals and a limiting covariance matrix are obtained thanks to the local approach, allowing for fault detection and isolation by chi-squared statistical tests. Results show that faults resulting in limited 0.15% capacity and 0.004% power fade can be effectively detected by the local approach. The algorithm is also able to correctly isolate faults related with sensitive parameters, whereas parameters with low sensitivity or linearly correlated are more difficult to precise.Comment: 8 pages, 2 figures, 3 tables, conferenc

A step towards digital operations -- A novel grey-box approach for modelling the heat dynamics of Ultra-low temperature freezing chambers

Ultra-low temperature (ULT) freezers store perishable bio-contents and have high energy consumption, which highlight a demand for reliable methods for intelligent surveillance and smart energy management. This study introduces a novel grey-box modelling approach based on stochastic differential equations to describe the heat dynamics of the ULT freezing chambers. The proposed modelling approach only requires temperature data measured by the embedded sensors and uses data from the regular operation periods for model identification. The model encompasses three states: chamber temperature, envelope temperature, and local evaporator temperature. Special attention is given to the local evaporator temperature state, which is modelled as a time-variant system, to characterize the time delay and dynamic variations in cooling intensity. Two ULT freezers with different operational patterns are modelled. The unknown model parameters are estimated using the maximum likelihood method. The results demonstrate that the models can accurately predict the chamber temperature measured by the control probe (RMSE < 0.19 {\deg}C) and are promising to be applied for forecasting future states. In addition, the model for local evaporator temperature can effectively adapt to different operational patterns and provide insight into the local cooling supply status. The proposed approach greatly promotes the practical feasibility of grey-box modelling of the heat dynamics for ULT freezers and can serve several potential digital applications. A major limitation of the modelling approach is the low identifiability, which can potentially be addressed by inferring model parameters based on relative parameter changes