8,596 research outputs found
Data Assimilation for Agent-Based Simulation of Smart Environment
Agent-based simulation of smart environment finds its application in studying people’s movement to help the design of a variety of applications such as energy utilization, HAVC control and egress strategy in emergency situation. Traditionally, agent-based simulation is not dynamic data driven, they run offline and do not assimilate real sensor data about the environment. As more and more buildings are equipped with various sensors, it is possible to utilize real time sensor data to inform the simulation. To incorporate the real sensor data into the simulation, we introduce the method of data assimilation. The goal of data assimilation is to provide inference about system state based on the incomplete, ambiguous and uncertain sensor data using a computer model. A typical data assimilation framework consists of a computer model, a series of sensors and a melding scheme. The purpose of this dissertation is to develop a data assimilation framework for agent-based simulation of smart environment. With the developed data assimilation framework, we demonstrate an application of building occupancy estimation which focuses on position estimation using the framework. We build an agent based model to simulate the occupants’ movement s in the building and use this model in the data assimilation framework. The melding scheme we use to incorporate sensor data into the built model is particle filter algorithm. It is a set of statistical method aiming at compute the posterior distribution of the underlying system using a set of samples. It has the benefit that it does not have any assumption about the target distribution and does not require the target system to be written in analytic form .To overcome the high dimensional state space problem as the number of agents increases, we develop a new resampling method named as the component set resampling and evaluate its effectiveness in data assimilation. We also developed a graph-based model for simulating building occupancy. The developed model will be used for carrying out building occupancy estimation with extremely large number of agents in the future
Building Occupancy Simulation and Data Assimilation Using a Graph Based Agent Oriented Model
Building occupancy simulation and estimation simulates the dynamics of occupants and estimates the real time spatial distribution of occupants in a building. It can benefit various applications like conserving energy, smart assist, building construction, crowd management, and emergency evacuation. Building occupancy simulation and estimation needs a simulation model and a data assimilation algorithm that assimilates real-time sensor data into the simulation model. Existing build occupancy simulation models include agent-based models and graph-based models. The agent-based models suffer high computation cost for simulating a large number occupants, and graph-based models overlook the heterogeneity and detailed behaviors of individuals. Recognizing the limitations of the existing models, in this dissertation, we combine the benefits of agent and graph based modeling and develop a new graph based agent oriented model which can efficiently simulate a large number of occupants in various building structures. To support real-time occupancy dynamics estimation, we developed a data assimilation framework based on Sequential Monte Carol Methods, and apply it to the graph-based agent oriented model to assimilate real time sensor data. Experimental results show the effectiveness of the developed model and the data assimilation framework. The major contributions of this dissertation work include 1) it provides an efficient model for building occupancy simulation which can accommodate thousands of occupants; 2) it provides an effective data assimilation framework for real-time estimation of building occupancy
Sensor-Driven, Spatially Explicit Agent-Based Models
Conventionally, agent-based models (ABMs) are specified from well-established theory about the systems under investigation. For such models, data is only introduced to ensure the validity of the specified models. In cases where the underlying mechanisms of the system of interest are unknown, rich datasets about the system can reveal patterns and processes of the systems. Sensors have become ubiquitous allowing researchers to capture precise characteristics of entities in both time and space. The combination of data from in situ sensors to geospatial outputs provides a rich resource for characterising geospatial environments and entities on earth. More importantly, the sensor data can capture behaviours and interactions of entities allowing us to visualise emerging patterns from the interactions. However, there is a paucity of standardised methods for the integration of dynamic sensor data streams into ABMs. Further, only few models have attempted to incorporate spatial and temporal data dynamically from sensors for model specification, calibration and validation. This chapter documents the state of the art of methods for bridging the gap between sensor data observations and specification of accurate spatially explicit agent-based models. In addition, this work proposes a conceptual framework for dynamic validation of sensor-driven spatial ABMs to address the risk of model overfitting
Challenges in Complex Systems Science
FuturICT foundations are social science, complex systems science, and ICT.
The main concerns and challenges in the science of complex systems in the
context of FuturICT are laid out in this paper with special emphasis on the
Complex Systems route to Social Sciences. This include complex systems having:
many heterogeneous interacting parts; multiple scales; complicated transition
laws; unexpected or unpredicted emergence; sensitive dependence on initial
conditions; path-dependent dynamics; networked hierarchical connectivities;
interaction of autonomous agents; self-organisation; non-equilibrium dynamics;
combinatorial explosion; adaptivity to changing environments; co-evolving
subsystems; ill-defined boundaries; and multilevel dynamics. In this context,
science is seen as the process of abstracting the dynamics of systems from
data. This presents many challenges including: data gathering by large-scale
experiment, participatory sensing and social computation, managing huge
distributed dynamic and heterogeneous databases; moving from data to dynamical
models, going beyond correlations to cause-effect relationships, understanding
the relationship between simple and comprehensive models with appropriate
choices of variables, ensemble modeling and data assimilation, modeling systems
of systems of systems with many levels between micro and macro; and formulating
new approaches to prediction, forecasting, and risk, especially in systems that
can reflect on and change their behaviour in response to predictions, and
systems whose apparently predictable behaviour is disrupted by apparently
unpredictable rare or extreme events. These challenges are part of the FuturICT
agenda
Constructivist Ambient Intelligent Agent for Smart Environments
International audienceBuilding a smart home is a multi-disciplinary and challenging problem. Our goal is to build an agent that can propose context aware services to the users. High variability of users' needs and the uniqueness of every home are difficult to handle using "Classical AI". We propose an alternative approach inspired by Developmental Artificial Intelligence and Constructivism Theory. Being constructivist means that the agent builds its knowledge in situ through user's interactions. This continuous interaction process enables the user to customize or bring up the system to meet his personal needs. We have made a first experiment by learning schemas from a simulated two-weeks home scenario. This preliminary experiment gives us indications that Constructivism is a promising approach for ambient intelligence
Agile AI development for Real World Solutions
This keynote will analyse the importance of IoT, Blockchain and Edge Computing as
contributors to the development of distributed intelligent systems that have the capacity to
interact with the environment "Smart" infrastructures need to incorporate all added-value
resources so they can offer useful services to the society, while reducing costs, ensuring
reliability and improving the quality of life of the citizens. The combination of AI, IoT and
Blockchain in an Edge Computing model or elsewhere, offers a world of possibilities and
opportunities
Explainable Human-in-the-loop Dynamic Data-Driven Digital Twins
Digital Twins (DT) are essentially Dynamic Data-driven models that serve as
real-time symbiotic "virtual replicas" of real-world systems. DT can leverage
fundamentals of Dynamic Data-Driven Applications Systems (DDDAS) bidirectional
symbiotic sensing feedback loops for its continuous updates. Sensing loops can
consequently steer measurement, analysis and reconfiguration aimed at more
accurate modelling and analysis in DT. The reconfiguration decisions can be
autonomous or interactive, keeping human-in-the-loop. The trustworthiness of
these decisions can be hindered by inadequate explainability of the rationale,
and utility gained in implementing the decision for the given situation among
alternatives. Additionally, different decision-making algorithms and models
have varying complexity, quality and can result in different utility gained for
the model. The inadequacy of explainability can limit the extent to which
humans can evaluate the decisions, often leading to updates which are unfit for
the given situation, erroneous, compromising the overall accuracy of the model.
The novel contribution of this paper is an approach to harnessing
explainability in human-in-the-loop DDDAS and DT systems, leveraging
bidirectional symbiotic sensing feedback. The approach utilises interpretable
machine learning and goal modelling to explainability, and considers trade-off
analysis of utility gained. We use examples from smart warehousing to
demonstrate the approach.Comment: 10 pages, 1 figure, submitted to the 4th International Conference on
InfoSymbiotics/Dynamic Data Driven Applications Systems (DDDAS2022
Towards Real-Time Crowd Simulation Under Uncertainty Using an Agent-Based Model and an Unscented Kalman Filter
Agent-based modelling (ABM) is ideally suited to simulating crowds of people as it captures the complex behaviours and interactions between individuals that lead to the emergence of crowding. Currently, it is not possible to use ABM for real-time simulation due to the absence of established mechanisms for dynamically incorporating real-time data. This means that, although models are able to perform useful offline crowd simulations, they are unable to simulate the behaviours of crowds in real time. This paper begins to address this drawback by demonstrating how a data assimilation algorithm, the Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF), can be used to incorporate pseudo-real data into an agent-based model at run time. Experiments are conducted to test how well the algorithm works when a proportion of agents are tracked directly under varying levels of uncertainty. Notably, the experiments show that the behaviour of unobserved agents can be inferred from the behaviours of those that are observed. This has implications for modelling real crowds where full knowledge of all individuals will never be known. In presenting a new approach for creating real-time simulations of crowds, this paper has important implications for the management of various environments in global cities, from single buildings to larger structures such as transportation hubs, sports stadiums, through to entire city regions
From supply chains to demand networks. Agents in retailing: the electrical bazaar
A paradigm shift is taking place in logistics. The focus is changing from operational effectiveness to adaptation. Supply Chains will develop into networks that will adapt to consumer demand in almost real time. Time to market, capacity of adaptation and enrichment of customer experience seem to be the key elements of this new paradigm. In this environment emerging technologies like RFID (Radio Frequency ID), Intelligent Products and the Internet, are triggering a reconsideration of methods, procedures and goals. We present a Multiagent System framework specialized in retail that addresses these changes with the use of rational agents and takes advantages of the new market opportunities. Like in an old bazaar, agents able to learn, cooperate, take advantage of gossip and distinguish between collaborators and competitors, have the ability to adapt, learn and react to a changing environment better than any other structure. Keywords: Supply Chains, Distributed Artificial Intelligence, Multiagent System.Postprint (published version
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