Forecast Based Consensus Control for DC Microgrids Using Distributed Long Short-Term Memory Deep Learning Models

In a microgrid, renewable energy sources (RES) exhibit stochastic behavior, which affects the microgrid continuous operation. Normally, energy storage systems (ESSs) are installed on the main branches of the microgrids to compensate for the load-supply mismatch. However, their state of charge (SoC) level needs to be balanced to guarantee the continuous operation of the microgrid in case of RES unavailability. This paper proposes a distributed forecast-based consensus control strategy for DC microgrids that balances the SoC levels of ESSs. By using the load-supply forecast of each branch, the microgrid operational continuity is increased while the voltage is stabilized. These objectives are achieved by prioritized (dis)charging of ESSs based on the RES availability and load forecast. Each branch controller integrates a load forecasting unit based on long short-term memory (LSTM) deep neural network that adaptively adjusts the (dis)charging rate of the ESSs to increase the microgrid endurability in the event of temporary generation insufficiencies. Furthermore, due to the large training data requirements of the LSTM models, distributed extended Kalman filter algorithm is used to improve the learning convergence time. The performance of the proposed strategy is evaluated on an experimental 380V DC microgrid hardware-in-the-loop test-bench and the results confirm the achievement of the controller objectives

Interval type-2 intuitionistic fuzzy logic system for time series and identification problems - a comparative study

This paper proposes a sliding mode control-based learning of interval type-2 intuitionistic fuzzy logic system for time series and identification problems. Until now, derivative-based algorithms such as gradient descent back propagation, extended Kalman filter, decoupled extended Kalman filter and hybrid method of decoupled extended Kalman filter and gradient descent methods have been utilized for the optimization of the parameters of interval type-2 intuitionistic fuzzy logic systems. The proposed model is based on a Takagi-Sugeno-Kang inference system. The evaluations of the model are conducted using both real world and artificially generated datasets. Analysis of results reveals that the proposed interval type-2 intuitionistic fuzzy logic system trained with sliding mode control learning algorithm (derivative-free) do outperforms some existing models in terms of the test root mean squared error while competing favourable with other models in the literature. Moreover, the proposed model may stand as a good choice for real time applications where running time is paramount compared to the derivative-based models

Big data analytics per la diagnostica predittiva e proattiva di sistemi batteria di auto elettriche

The idea behind the project is to develop a methodology for analyzing and developing techniques for the diagnosis and the prediction of the state of charge and health of lithium-ion batteries for automotive applications. For lithium-ion batteries, residual functionality is measured in terms of state of health; however, this value cannot be directly associated with a measurable value, so it must be estimated. The development of the algorithms is based on the identification of the causes of battery degradation, in order to model and predict the trend. Therefore, models have been developed that are able to predict the electrical, thermal and aging behavior. In addition to the model, it was necessary to develop algorithms capable of monitoring the state of the battery, online and offline. This was possible with the use of algorithms based on Kalman filters, which allow the estimation of the system status in real time. Through machine learning algorithms, which allow offline analysis of battery deterioration using a statistical approach, it is possible to analyze information from the entire fleet of vehicles. Both systems work in synergy in order to achieve the best performance. Validation was performed with laboratory tests on different batteries and under different conditions. The development of the model allowed to reduce the time of the experimental tests. Some specific phenomena were tested in the laboratory, and the other cases were artificially generated.L'idea alla base del progetto è stata quella di sviluppare una metodologia di analisi e di sviluppo di tecniche per la diagnosi e la previsione dello stato di carica e di salute delle batterie agli ioni di litio per applicazioni automobilistiche. Per le batterie agli ioni di litio, la funzionalità residua è misurata in termini di stato di salute, tuttavia questo valore non può essere direttamente associato ad un valore misurabile, di conseguenza è necessario stimarlo. Lo sviluppo degli algoritmi è basato sull'identificazione delle cause di degrado delle batterie, al fine di modellarne e prevederne il comportamento. Sono stati dunque sviluppati modelli in grado di prevedere il comportamento elettrico e termico, e di invecchiamento della batteria. Oltre al modello, è stato necessario sviluppare algoritmi in grado di monitorare lo stato della batteria, online e offline, questo è stato possibile con l'utilizzo di algoritmi basati su filtri di Kalman, che permettono la stima dello stato del sistema in tempo reale. Attraverso algoritmi di machine learning, che consentono di analizzare offline il deterioramento della batteria con un approccio statistico, è possibile analizzare le informazioni dell'intera flotta di veicoli. Entrambi i sistemi lavorano in sinergia al fine di ottenere le migliori prestazioni. La validazione è stata eseguita con test di laboratorio su diverse batterie e in diverse condizioni. Lo sviluppo del modello ha permesso di ridurre il tempo delle prove sperimentali. Alcuni fenomeni specifici sono stati testati in laboratorio, e gli altri casi sono stati generati artificialmente

On the importance of sluggish state memory for learning long term dependency

The vanishing gradients problem inherent in Simple Recurrent Networks (SRN) trained with back-propagation, has led to a significant shift towards the use of Long Short-term Memory (LSTM) and Echo State Networks (ESN), which overcome this problem through either second order error-carousel schemes or different learning algorithms respectively. This paper re-opens the case for SRN-based approaches, by considering a variant, the Multi-recurrent Network (MRN). We show that memory units embedded within its architecture can ameliorate against the vanishing gradient problem, by providing variable sensitivity to recent and more historic information through layer- and self-recurrent links with varied weights, to form a so-called sluggish state-based memory. We demonstrate that an MRN, optimised with noise injection, is able to learn the long term dependency within a complex grammar induction task, significantly outperforming the SRN, NARX and ESN. Analysis of the internal representations of the networks, reveals that sluggish state-based representations of the MRN are best able to latch on to critical temporal dependencies spanning variable time delays, to maintain distinct and stable representations of all underlying grammar states. Surprisingly, the ESN was unable to fully learn the dependency problem, suggesting the major shift towards this class of models may be premature