501,713 research outputs found

    Peran Modal Manusia Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Regional Di Jawa

    Full text link
    : The Role of Human Capital Toward Regional Economic Growth in Java. The aim of this study is to provide empirical evidence of the central role of human capital in economic growth. The contribution of this study is focused on Java island as a center of economic activities in Indonesia that needs to be analyzed the contribution of human capital development to the growth of regional economies. This study uses panel data on 114 counties and cities in Java during the period 2004-2013. Human capital indicators employed in this study is the average length of school for education and life expectancy for health. The estimation results indicate that education and health have a positive contribution to regional economic growth. Its shows the critical role of education as one of the primary sources to achieve better economic development. Another finding of this study is the positive role of investment and tends to be a negative contribution of the fiscal decentralization

    Modeling the Effect of a Road Construction Project on Transportation System Performance

    Get PDF
    Road construction projects create physical changes on roads that result in capacity reduction and travel time escalation during the construction project period. The reduction in the posted speed limit, the number of lanes, lane width and shoulder width at the construction zone makes it difficult for the road to accommodate high traffic volume. Therefore, the goal of this research is to model the effect of a road construction project on travel time at road link-level and help improve the mobility of people and goods through dissemination or implementation of proactive solutions. Data for a resurfacing construction project on I-485 in the city of Charlotte, North Carolina (NC) was used evaluation, analysis, and modeling. A statistical t-test was conducted to examine the relationship between the change in travel time before and during the construction project period. Further, travel time models were developed for the freeway links and the connecting arterial street links, both before and during the construction project period. The road network characteristics of each link, such as the volume/ capacity (V/C), the number of lanes, the speed limit, the shoulder width, the lane width, whether the link is divided or undivided, characteristics of neighboring links, the time-of-the-day, the day-of-the-week, and the distance of the link from the road construction project were considered as predictor variables for modeling. The results obtained indicate that a decrease in travel time was observed during the construction project period on the freeway links when compared to the before construction project period. Contrarily, an increase in travel time was observed during the construction project period on the connecting arterial street links when compared to the before construction project period. Also, the average travel time, the planning time, and the travel time index can better explain the effect of a road construction project on transportation system performance when compared to the planning time index and the buffer time index. The influence of predictor variables seem to vary before and during the construction project period on the freeway links and connecting arterial street links. Practitioners should take the research findings into consideration, in addition to the construction zone characteristics, when planning a road construction project and developing temporary traffic control and detour plans

    Topological Effects caused by the Fractal Substrate on the Nonequilibrium Critical Behavior of the Ising Magnet

    Full text link
    The nonequilibrium critical dynamics of the Ising magnet on a fractal substrate, namely the Sierpinski carpet with Hausdorff dimension dHd_H =1.7925, has been studied within the short-time regime by means of Monte Carlo simulations. The evolution of the physical observables was followed at criticality, after both annealing ordered spin configurations (ground state) and quenching disordered initial configurations (high temperature state), for three segmentation steps of the fractal. The topological effects become evident from the emergence of a logarithmic periodic oscillation superimposed to a power law in the decay of the magnetization and its logarithmic derivative and also from the dependence of the critical exponents on the segmentation step. These oscillations are discussed in the framework of the discrete scale invariance of the substrate and carefully characterized in order to determine the critical temperature of the second-order phase transition and the critical exponents corresponding to the short-time regime. The exponent θ\theta of the initial increase in the magnetization was also obtained and the results suggest that it would be almost independent of the fractal dimension of the susbstrate, provided that dHd_H is close enough to d=2.Comment: 9 figures, 3 tables, 10 page

    Almost Periodically Correlated Time Series in Business Fluctuations Analysis

    Full text link
    We propose a non-standard subsampling procedure to make formal statistical inference about the business cycle, one of the most important unobserved feature characterising fluctuations of economic growth. We show that some characteristics of business cycle can be modelled in a non-parametric way by discrete spectrum of the Almost Periodically Correlated (APC) time series. On the basis of estimated characteristics of this spectrum business cycle is extracted by filtering. As an illustration we characterise the man properties of business cycles in industrial production index for Polish economy

    Predicting trend reversals using market instantaneous state

    Full text link
    Collective behaviours taking place in financial markets reveal strongly correlated states especially during a crisis period. A natural hypothesis is that trend reversals are also driven by mutual influences between the different stock exchanges. Using a maximum entropy approach, we find coordinated behaviour during trend reversals dominated by the pairwise component. In particular, these events are predicted with high significant accuracy by the ensemble's instantaneous state.Comment: 18 pages, 15 figure
    • …
    corecore