Handling Imbalanced Classes: Feature Based Variance Ranking Techniques for Classification

To obtain good predictions in the presence of imbalance classes has posed significant challenges in the data science community. Imbalanced classed data is a term used to describe a situation where there are unequal number of classes or groups in datasets. In most real-life datasets one of the classes are always higher in number than others and is called the majority class, while the smaller classes are called the minority class. During classifications even with very high accuracy, the classified minority groups are usually very small when compared to the total number of minority in the datasets and more often than not, the minority classes are what is being sought. This work is specifically concern with providing techniques to improve classifications performance by eliminating or reducing negative effects of class imbalance. Real-life datasets have been found to contain different types of error in combination with class imbalance. While these errors are easily corrected, but the solutions to class imbalance have remained elusive. Previously, machine learning (ML) technique has been used to solve the problems of class imbalanced. There are notable shortcomings that have been identified while using this technique. Mostly, it involve fine-tuning and changing parameters of the algorithms and this process is not standardised because of countless numbers of algorithms and parameters. In general, the results obtained from these unstandardised (ML) technique are very inconsistent and cannot be replicated with similar datasets and algorithms. We present a novel technique for dealing with imbalanced classes called variance ranking features selection, that enables machine learning algorithms to classify more of minority classes during classification, hence reducing the negative effects of class imbalance. Our approaches utilised the intrinsic property of the datasets called the variance. As the variance is one of the measures of central tendency of the data items concentration within the datasets vector space. We demonstrated the selections of features at different level of performance threshold thereby providing an opportunity for performance and feature significance to be assessed and correlated at different levels of prediction. In the evaluations we compared our features selections with some of the best known features selections techniques using proximity distance comparison techniques and verify all the results with different datasets, both binary and multi classed with varying degree of class imbalance. In all the experiments, the results we obtained showed a significant improvement when compared with other previous work in class imbalance

Classification Problem in Imbalanced Datasets

Classification is a data mining task. It aims to extract knowledge from large datasets. There are two kinds of classification. The first one is known as complete classification, and it is applied to balanced datasets. However, when it is applied to imbalanced ones, it is called partial classification or a problem of classification in imbalanced datasets, which is a fundamental problem in machine learning, and it has received much attention. Considering the importance of this issue, a large amount of techniques have been proposed trying to address this problem. These proposals can be divided into three levels: the algorithm level, the data level, and the hybrid level. In this chapter, we will present the classification problem in imbalanced datasets, its domains of application, its appropriate measures of performances, and its approaches and techniques

Predictive Modelling Approach to Data-Driven Computational Preventive Medicine

This thesis contributes novel predictive modelling approaches to data-driven computational preventive medicine and offers an alternative framework to statistical analysis in preventive medicine research. In the early parts of this research, this thesis presents research by proposing a synergy of machine learning methods for detecting patterns and developing inexpensive predictive models from healthcare data to classify the potential occurrence of adverse health events. In particular, the data-driven methodology is founded upon a heuristic-systematic assessment of several machine-learning methods, data preprocessing techniques, models’ training estimation and optimisation, and performance evaluation, yielding a novel computational data-driven framework, Octopus. Midway through this research, this thesis advances research in preventive medicine and data mining by proposing several new extensions in data preparation and preprocessing. It offers new recommendations for data quality assessment checks, a novel multimethod imputation (MMI) process for missing data mitigation, a novel imbalanced resampling approach, and minority pattern reconstruction (MPR) led by information theory. This thesis also extends the area of model performance evaluation with a novel classification performance ranking metric called XDistance. In particular, the experimental results show that building predictive models with the methods guided by our new framework (Octopus) yields domain experts' approval of the new reliable models’ performance. Also, performing the data quality checks and applying the MMI process led healthcare practitioners to outweigh predictive reliability over interpretability. The application of MPR and its hybrid resampling strategies led to better performances in line with experts' success criteria than the traditional imbalanced data resampling techniques. Finally, the use of the XDistance performance ranking metric was found to be more effective in ranking several classifiers' performances while offering an indication of class bias, unlike existing performance metrics The overall contributions of this thesis can be summarised as follow. First, several data mining techniques were thoroughly assessed to formulate the new Octopus framework to produce new reliable classifiers. In addition, we offer a further understanding of the impact of newly engineered features, the physical activity index (PAI) and biological effective dose (BED). Second, the newly developed methods within the new framework. Finally, the newly accepted developed predictive models help detect adverse health events, namely, visceral fat-associated diseases and advanced breast cancer radiotherapy toxicity side effects. These contributions could be used to guide future theories, experiments and healthcare interventions in preventive medicine and data mining

A critical assessment of imbalanced class distribution problem: the case of predicting freshmen student attrition

Predicting student attrition is an intriguing yet challenging problem for any academic institution. Class-imbalanced data is a common in the field of student retention, mainly because a lot of students register but fewer students drop out. Classification techniques for imbalanced dataset can yield deceivingly high prediction accuracy where the overall predictive accuracy is usually driven by the majority class at the expense of having very poor performance on the crucial minority class. In this study, we compared different data balancing techniques to improve the predictive accuracy in minority class while maintaining satisfactory overall classification performance. Specifically, we tested three balancing techniques—oversampling, under-sampling and synthetic minority over-sampling (SMOTE)—along with four popular classification methods—logistic regression, decision trees, neuron networks and support vector machines. We used a large and feature rich institutional student data (between the years 2005 and 2011) to assess the efficacy of both balancing techniques as well as prediction methods. The results indicated that the support vector machine combined with SMOTE data-balancing technique achieved the best classification performance with a 90.24% overall accuracy on the 10-fold holdout sample. All three data-balancing techniques improved the prediction accuracy for the minority class. Applying sensitivity analyses on developed models, we also identified the most important variables for accurate prediction of student attrition. Application of these models has the potential to accurately predict at-risk students and help reduce student dropout rates

A survey of cost-sensitive decision tree induction algorithms

The past decade has seen a significant interest on the problem of inducing decision trees that take account of costs of misclassification and costs of acquiring the features used for decision making. This survey identifies over 50 algorithms including approaches that are direct adaptations of accuracy based methods, use genetic algorithms, use anytime methods and utilize boosting and bagging. The survey brings together these different studies and novel approaches to cost-sensitive decision tree learning, provides a useful taxonomy, a historical timeline of how the field has developed and should provide a useful reference point for future research in this field

StackInsights: Cognitive Learning for Hybrid Cloud Readiness

Hybrid cloud is an integrated cloud computing environment utilizing a mix of public cloud, private cloud, and on-premise traditional IT infrastructures. Workload awareness, defined as a detailed full range understanding of each individual workload, is essential in implementing the hybrid cloud. While it is critical to perform an accurate analysis to determine which workloads are appropriate for on-premise deployment versus which workloads can be migrated to a cloud off-premise, the assessment is mainly performed by rule or policy based approaches. In this paper, we introduce StackInsights, a novel cognitive system to automatically analyze and predict the cloud readiness of workloads for an enterprise. Our system harnesses the critical metrics across the entire stack: 1) infrastructure metrics, 2) data relevance metrics, and 3) application taxonomy, to identify workloads that have characteristics of a) low sensitivity with respect to business security, criticality and compliance, and b) low response time requirements and access patterns. Since the capture of the data relevance metrics involves an intrusive and in-depth scanning of the content of storage objects, a machine learning model is applied to perform the business relevance classification by learning from the meta level metrics harnessed across stack. In contrast to traditional methods, StackInsights significantly reduces the total time for hybrid cloud readiness assessment by orders of magnitude

Intrusion Detection: Embedded Software Machine Learning and Hardware Rules Based Co-Designs

Security of innovative technologies in future generation networks such as (Cyber Physical Systems (CPS) and Wi-Fi has become a critical universal issue for individuals, economy, enterprises, organizations and governments. The rate of cyber-attacks has increased dramatically, and the tactics used by the attackers are continuing to evolve and have become ingenious during the attacks. Intrusion Detection is one of the solutions against these attacks. One approach in designing an intrusion detection system (IDS) is software-based machine learning. Such approach can predict and detect threats before they result in major security incidents. Moreover, despite the considerable research in machine learning based designs, there is still a relatively small body of literature that is concerned with imbalanced class distributions from the intrusion detection system perspective. In addition, it is necessary to have an effective performance metric that can compare multiple multi-class as well as binary-class systems with respect to class distribution. Furthermore, the expectant detection techniques must have the ability to identify real attacks from random defects, ingrained defects in the design, misconfigurations of the system devices, system faults, human errors, and software implementation errors. Moreover, a lightweight IDS that is small, real-time, flexible and reconfigurable enough to be used as permanent elements of the system's security infrastructure is essential. The main goal of the current study is to design an effective and accurate intrusion detection framework with minimum features that are more discriminative and representative. Three publicly available datasets representing variant networking environments are adopted which also reflect realistic imbalanced class distributions as well as updated attack patterns. The presented intrusion detection framework is composed of three main modules: feature selection and dimensionality reduction, handling imbalanced class distributions, and classification. The feature selection mechanism utilizes searching algorithms and correlation based subset evaluation techniques, whereas the feature dimensionality reduction part utilizes principal component analysis and auto-encoder as an instance of deep learning. Various classifiers, including eight single-learning classifiers, four ensemble classifiers, one stacked classifier, and five imbalanced class handling approaches are evaluated to identify the most efficient and accurate one(s) for the proposed intrusion detection framework. A hardware-based approach to detect malicious behaviors of sensors and actuators embedded in medical devices, in which the safety of the patient is critical and of utmost importance, is additionally proposed. The idea is based on a methodology that transforms a device's behavior rules into a state machine to build a Behavior Specification Rules Monitoring (BSRM) tool for four medical devices. Simulation and synthesis results demonstrate that the BSRM tool can effectively identify the expected normal behavior of the device and detect any deviation from its normal behavior. The performance of the BSRM approach has also been compared with a machine learning based approach for the same problem. The FPGA module of the BSRM can be embedded in medical devices as an IDS and can be further integrated with the machine learning based approach. The reconfigurable nature of the FPGA chip adds an extra advantage to the designed model in which the behavior rules can be easily updated and tailored according to the requirements of the device, patient, treatment algorithm, and/or pervasive healthcare application