Financial predictions using cost sensitive neural networks for multi-class learning

The interest in the localisation of wireless sensor networks has grown in recent years. A variety of machine-learning methods have been proposed in recent years to improve the optimisation of the complex behaviour of wireless networks. Network administrators have found that traditional classification algorithms may be limited with imbalanced datasets. In fact, the problem of imbalanced data learning has received particular interest. The purpose of this study was to examine design modifications to neural networks in order to address the problem of cost optimisation decisions and financial predictions. The goal was to compare four learning-based techniques using cost-sensitive neural network ensemble for multiclass imbalance data learning. The problem is formulated as a combinatorial cost optimisation in terms of minimising the cost using meta-learning classification rules for Naïve Bayes, J48, Multilayer Perceptions, and Radial Basis Function models. With these models, optimisation faults and cost evaluations for network training are considered

When the machine does not know measuring uncertainty in deep learning models of medical images

This thesis was submitted for the award of Doctor of Philosophy and was awarded by Brunel University LondonRecently, Deep learning (DL), which involves powerful black box predictors, has outperformed human experts in several medical diagnostic problems. However, these methods focus exclusively on improving the accuracy of point predictions without assessing their outputs’ quality and ignore the asymmetric cost involved in different types of misclassification errors. Neural networks also do not deliver confidence in predictions and suffer from over and under confidence, i.e. are not well calibrated. Knowing how much confidence there is in a prediction is essential for gaining clinicians’ trust in the technology. Calibrated uncertainty quantification is a challenging problem as no ground truth is available. To address this, we make two observations: (i) cost-sensitive deep neural networks with Dropweights models better quantify calibrated predictive uncertainty, and (ii) estimated uncertainty with point predictions in Deep Ensembles Bayesian Neural Networks with DropWeights can lead to a more informed decision and improve prediction quality. This dissertation focuses on quantifying uncertainty using concepts from cost-sensitive neural networks, calibration of confidence, and Dropweights ensemble method. First, we show how to improve predictive uncertainty by deep ensembles of neural networks with Dropweights learning an approximate distribution over its weights in medical image segmentation and its application in active learning. Second, we use the Jackknife resampling technique to correct bias in quantified uncertainty in image classification and propose metrics to measure uncertainty performance. The third part of the thesis is motivated by the discrepancy between the model predictive error and the objective in quantified uncertainty when costs for misclassification errors or unbalanced datasets are asymmetric. We develop cost-sensitive modifications of the neural networks in disease detection and propose metrics to measure the quality of quantified uncertainty. Finally, we leverage an adaptive binning strategy to measure uncertainty calibration error that directly corresponds to estimated uncertainty performance and address problematic evaluation methods. We evaluate the effectiveness of the tools on nuclei images segmentation, multi-class Brain MRI image classification, multi-level cell type-specific protein expression prediction in ImmunoHistoChemistry (IHC) images and cost-sensitive classification for Covid-19 detection from X-Rays and CT image dataset. Our approach is thoroughly validated by measuring the quality of uncertainty. It produces an equally good or better result and paves the way for the future that addresses the practical problems at the intersection of deep learning and Bayesian decision theory. In conclusion, our study highlights the opportunities and challenges of the application of estimated uncertainty in deep learning models of medical images, representing the confidence of the model’s prediction, and the uncertainty quality metrics show a significant improvement when using Deep Ensembles Bayesian Neural Networks with DropWeights

Simple, Efficient and Convenient Decentralized Multi-Task Learning for Neural Networks

Artificial intelligence relying on machine learning is increasingly used on small, personal, network-connected devices such as smartphones and vocal assistants, and these applications will likely evolve with the development of the Internet of Things. The learning process requires a lot of data, often real users’ data, and computing power. Decentralized machine learning can help to protect users’ privacy by keeping sensitive training data on users’ devices, and has the potential to alleviate the cost born by service providers by off-loading some of the learning effort to user devices. Unfortunately, most approaches proposed so far for distributed learning with neural network are mono-task, and do not transfer easily to multi-tasks problems, for which users seek to solve related but distinct learning tasks and the few existing multi-task approaches have serious limitations. In this paper, we propose a novel learning method for neural networks that is decentralized, multitask, and keeps users’ data local. Our approach works with different learning algorithms, on various types of neural networks. We formally analyze the convergence of our method, and we evaluateits efficiency in different situations on various kind of neural networks, with different learning algorithms, thus demonstrating its benefits in terms of learning quality and convergence