The Aftermath of Appreciations

This paper empirically analyzes a broad range of real exchange rate appreciation episodes. The cases are identified after compiling a large sample of monthly multilateral real exchange rates from 1960 to 1994. The objective is twofold. First, the paper studies the dynamics of appreciations, avoiding the sample selection of analyzing exclusively the crisis (or devaluation) cases. Second, the paper analyzes the mechanism by which overvaluations are corrected. In particular, we are interested in the proportion of the reversions that occur through nominal devaluations, rather than cumulative inflation differentials. We calculate the probability of undoing appreciations without nominal depreciations for various degrees of misalignment. The overall conclusion is that it is very unlikely to undo large and medium appreciations without nominal devaluations.

The Sunrise Mission

The first science flight of the balloon-borne \Sunrise telescope took place in June 2009 from ESRANGE (near Kiruna/Sweden) to Somerset Island in northern Canada. We describe the scientific aims and mission concept of the project and give an overview and a description of the various hardware components: the 1-m main telescope with its postfocus science instruments (the UV filter imager SuFI and the imaging vector magnetograph IMaX) and support instruments (image stabilizing and light distribution system ISLiD and correlating wavefront sensor CWS), the optomechanical support structure and the instrument mounting concept, the gondola structure and the power, pointing, and telemetry systems, and the general electronics architecture. We also explain the optimization of the structural and thermal design of the complete payload. The preparations for the science flight are described, including AIV and ground calibration of the instruments. The course of events during the science flight is outlined, up to the recovery activities. Finally, the in-flight performance of the instrumentation is briefly summarized.Comment: 35 pages, 17 figure

Time-cost-quality trade-off analysis for construction projects

The main objective of construction projects is to finish the project according to an available budget, within a planned schedule, and achieving a pre-specified extent of quality. Therefore, time, cost, and quality are considered the most important attributes of construction projects. The purpose of this study is to incorporate quality into the traditional two-dimensional time-cost trade-off (TCT) in order to develop an advanced three-dimensional time-cost-quality trade-off (TCQT) approach. Time, cost, and quality of construction projects are interrelated and have impacts on each other. It is a challenging task to strike a balance among these three conflicting objectives of construction projects since no one solution can be optimal for the three objectives. The overall performance of a project regarding time, cost, and quality is determined by the duration, cost, and quality of its activities. These attributes of each activity depend on the execution option by which the activity’s work is completed. It is required to develop an approach that is capable of finding an optimal or near optimal set of execution options for the project’s activities in order to minimize the project’s total cost and total duration, while its overall quality is maximized. For the aforementioned purpose, three various Microsoft Excel based TCQT models have been developed as follows: • First, a simplified model is developed with the objective of optimizing the total duration, cost, and quality of simple construction projects utilizing the GA-based Excel add in Evolver. • Second, a stochastic model is developed with the objective of optimizing the total duration, cost, and quality of construction projects applying the PERT approach in order to consider uncertainty associated with the performance of execution options and the whole project. • Third, an advanced multi objective optimization model is developed utilizing a self-developed optimization tool having the following capabilities: 1. Selecting an appropriate execution option for each activity within a considered project to optimize the objectives of time, cost, and quality. 2. Considering the discrete nature of duration, cost, and quality of various options for executing each activity. 3. Applying three various optimization approaches, which are the Goal Programming (GP), the Modified Adaptive Weight Approach (MAWA), and the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithms (NSGAII). 4. Analyzing both TCT and TCQT problems. 5. Considering finish-to-finish, start-to-start, and start-to-finish dependency relationships in addition to the traditional finish-to-start relationships among activities. 6. Considering any number of successors and predecessors for activities. 7. User-friendly input and output interfaces to be used for large-scale projects. To validate the developed models and demonstrate their efficiency, they were applied to case studies introduced in literature. Results obtained by the developed models demonstrated their effectiveness and efficiency in analyzing both TCT and TCQT problems

Accommodation requirements for microgravity science and applications research on space station

Scientific research conducted in the microgravity environment of space represents a unique opportunity to explore and exploit the benefits of materials processing in the virtual abscence of gravity induced forces. NASA has initiated the preliminary design of a permanently manned space station that will support technological advances in process science and stimulate the development of new and improved materials having applications across the commercial spectrum. A study is performed to define from the researchers' perspective, the requirements for laboratory equipment to accommodate microgravity experiments on the space station. The accommodation requirements focus on the microgravity science disciplines including combustion science, electronic materials, metals and alloys, fluids and transport phenomena, glasses and ceramics, and polymer science. User requirements have been identified in eleven research classes, each of which contain an envelope of functional requirements for related experiments having similar characteristics, objectives, and equipment needs. Based on these functional requirements seventeen items of experiment apparatus and twenty items of core supporting equipment have been defined which represent currently identified equipment requirements for a pressurized laboratory module at the initial operating capability of the NASA space station

The Collison Floating Evaporation Pan: Design, Validation, and Comparison

Accurate tracking of open-water evaporative losses, one of the largest consumptive uses of water in the Southwestern USA, is increasingly important with anticipated climate shifts toward longer and more severe droughts. A new open-water evaporation technique, the Collison Floating Evaporation Pan, (CFEP), was tested on Cochiti Lake, New Mexico, USA for one year with objectives being: identify the limitations and potential solutions to evaporation techniques; deploy, test the reliability, and validity of the CFEP and evaluate uncertainties in standard evaporation techniques; and improvements over prior evaporation techniques. The CFEP provided reliable evaporation measurements during sustained winds greater than 20 m/s. The accuracy of the CFEP was validated with an averaged percent difference of 1.72 of actual. The CFEP provided more accurate evaporation measurements than the five methods it was compared to with the Class A Pan underestimating evaporation by 910 acre-feet from May 13 through November 30, 2018

Extravehicular Activity Asteroid Exploration and Sample Collection Capability

One of the challenging primary objectives associated with NASA's Asteroid Redirect Crewed Mission (ARCM) is to demonstrate deep space Extravehicular Activity (EVA) and tools and to obtain asteroid samples to return to Earth for further study. Prior Shuttle and International Space Station (ISS) spacewalks have benefited from engineered EVA interfaces which have been designed and manufactured on Earth. Rigid structurally mounted handrails, and tools with customized interfaces and restraints optimize EVA performance. For ARCM, EVA complexity increases due to the uncertainty of the asteroid properties. The variability of rock size, shape and composition, as well as behavior of the asteroid capture mechanism will complicate EVA translation, tool restraint, and body stabilization. The unknown asteroid hardness and brittleness will complicate tool use. The rock surface will introduce added safety concerns for cut gloves and debris control. Feasible solutions to meet ARCM EVA objectives were identified using experience gained during Apollo, Shuttle, and ISS EVAs, terrestrial mountaineering practices, NASA Extreme Environment Mission Operations (NEEMO) 16 mission, and during Neutral Buoyancy Laboratory testing in the Modified Advanced Crew Escape Suit (MACES) suit. This paper will summarize the overall operational concepts for conducting EVAs for the ARCM mission including translation paths and body restraint methods, potential tools used to extract the samples, design implications for the Asteroid Redirect Vehicle (ARV) for EVA, and the results of early development testing of potential EVA tasks

Models and algorithms for deterministic and robust discrete time/cost trade-off problems

Ankara : The Department of Management, Bilkent University, 2008.Thesis (Ph.D.) -- Bilkent University, 2008.Includes bibliographical references leaves 136-145Projects are subject to various sources of uncertainties that often negatively impact activity durations and costs. Therefore, it is of crucial importance to develop effective approaches to generate robust project schedules that are less vulnerable to disruptions caused by uncontrollable factors. This dissertation concentrates on robust scheduling in project environments; specifically, we address the discrete time/cost trade-off problem (DTCTP). Firstly, Benders Decomposition based exact algorithms to solve the deadline and the budget versions of the deterministic DTCTP of realistic sizes are proposed. We have included several features to accelerate the convergence and solve large instances to optimality. Secondly, we incorporate uncertainty in activity costs. We formulate robust DTCTP using three alternative models. We develop exact and heuristic algorithms to solve the robust models in which uncertainty is modeled via interval costs. The main contribution is the incorporation of uncertainty into a practically relevant project scheduling problem and developing problem specific solution approaches. To the best of our knowledge, this research is the first application of robust optimization to DTCTP. Finally, we introduce some surrogate measures that aim at providing an accurate estimate of the schedule robustness. The pertinence of proposed measures is assessed through computational experiments. Using the insight revealed by the computational study, we propose a two-stage robust scheduling algorithm. Furthermore, we provide evidence that the proposed approach can be extended to solve a scheduling problem with tardiness penalties and earliness rewards.Hazır, ÖncüPh.D

The Sunrise Mission

The first science flight of the balloon-borne Sunrise telescope took place in June 2009 from ESRANGE (near Kiruna/Sweden) to Somerset Island in northern Canada. We describe the scientific aims and mission concept of the project and give an overview and a description of the various hardware components: the 1-m main telescope with its postfocus science instruments (the UV filter imager SuFI and the imaging vector magnetograph IMaX) and support instruments (image stabilizing and light distribution system ISLiD and correlating wavefront sensor CWS), the optomechanical support structure and the instrument mounting concept, the gondola structure and the power, pointing, and telemetry systems, and the general electronics architecture. We also explain the optimization of the structural and thermal design of the complete payload. The preparations for the science flight are described, including AIV and ground calibration of the instruments. The course of events during the science flight is outlined, up to the recovery activities. Finally, the in-flight performance of the instrumentation is discussed. © 2010 The Author(s)

Biomedical and Human Factors Requirements for a Manned Earth Orbiting Station

This report is the result of a study conducted by Republic Aviation Corporation in conjunction with Spacelabs, Inc.,in a team effort in which Republic Aviation Corporation was prime contractor. In order to determine the realistic engineering design requirements associated with the medical and human factors problems of a manned space station, an interdisciplinary team of personnel from the Research and Space Divisions was organized. This team included engineers, physicians, physiologists, psychologists, and physicists. Recognizing that the value of the study is dependent upon medical judgments as well as more quantifiable factors (such as design parameters) a group of highly qualified medical consultants participated in working sessions to determine which medical measurements are required to meet the objectives of the study. In addition, various Life Sciences personnel from NASA (Headquarters, Langley, MSC) participated in monthly review sessions. The organization, team members, consultants, and some of the part-time contributors are shown in Figure 1. This final report embodies contributions from all of these participants

Cost optimization in requirements management for space systems

2021 Spring.Includes bibliographical references.When producing complex space systems, the transformation of customer needs into a realized system includes the development of product requirements. The ability to generate and manage the requirements can either enable the overall system development or drive significant cost and schedule impacts. Assessing practices in the industry and publications, it is observed that there is a substantial amount of documented approaches to address requirement development and product verification, but only a limited amount of documented approaches for requirements management. A complex system can have tens of thousands of requirements across multiple levels of development which, if not well managed, can lead to hidden costs associated with missed requirements and product rework. With current space system projects being developed at a rapid pace using more cost constrained approaches such as fixed budgets, an investigation into more efficient processes, such as requirements management, can yield methods to enable successful, cost effective system development. To address the optimal approach of managing requirements for complex space systems, this dissertation assesses current practices for requirements management, evaluates various contributing factors towards optimization of project costs associated with this activity, and proposes an optimized requirements management process to utilize during the development of space systems. Four key areas of process control are identified for requirements management optimization on a project, including utilization of a data focused requirements management approach, development (and review) of requirements using a collaborative software application, ensuring the requirement set is a consolidated with an appropriate amount of requirements for the project, and evaluating when to officially levy requirements on the product developers based on requirement maturation stability. Multiple case studies are presented to evaluate if the proposed requirements management process yields improvement over traditional approaches, including a simulation of the current state and proposed requirements management approaches. Ultimately, usage of the proposed optimized set of processes is demonstrated to be a cost effective approach when compared against traditional processes that may adversely impact the development of new space systems