Efficient approaches to agile cost estimation in software industries: a project-based case study

Agile was invented to improve and overcome the traditional deficiencies of software development. At present, the agile model is used in software development very vastly due to its support to developers and clients. Agile methodology increases the interaction between the developer-client, and it makes software product defects free. The agile model is fast and becoming more popular because of its features and flexibility. The study shows that the agile software development model is an efficient and effective software development strategy that easily accommodates user changes, but it is not free from errors or shortcomings. The study shows that COCOMO and Planning Poker are famous cost estimation procedures, but are not ingenious for agile development. We conduct a study on real-time projects from multinational software industries using different estimation approaches to estimate the project’s cost and time. We thoroughly explain these projects with the limitations of the techniques. The study has proven that the traditional and modern estimation approaches still have limitations to accurate estimation of projects

Early Phase Cost Models for Agile Software Processes in the US DoD

The article of record as published may be found at http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ESEM.2017.10Background: Software effort estimates are necessary and critical at an early phase for decision makers to establish initial budgets, and in a government context to select the most competitive bidder for a contract. The challenge is that estimated software requirements is the only size information available at this stage, compounded with the newly increasing adoption of agile processes in the US DoD. Aims: The objectives are to improve cost estimation by investigating available sizing measures, and providing practical effort estimation models for agile software development projects during the contract bidding phase or earlier. Method: The analysis explores the effects of independent variables for product size, peak staff, and domain on effort. The empirical data for model calibration is from 20 industrial projects completed recently for the US DoD, among a larger dataset of recent projects using other lifecycle processes. Results: Statistical results showed that initial software requirements is a valid size metric for estimating agile software development effort. Prediction accuracy improves when peak staff and domain are added as inputs to the cost models. Conclusion: These models may be used for estimates of agile projects, and evaluating software development contract cost proposals with inputs available during the bidding phase or earlier

Challenges of using software size in agile software development: A systematic literature review

Academic Papers at IWSM Mensura, IWSM-Mensura 2018; Beijing; China; 19 September 2018 through 20 September 2018Software size is a fundamental measure for software management. Size is used for a variety of purposes, such as benchmarking, normalization, and portfolio measurement, and it is frequently considered as the sole input of estimation. Estimations can be produced for various reasons; e.g., to predict effort, cost and duration of software development projects. There are different types of software size measures. Particularly in projects where agile methodologies are adopted, measurement becomes a significant challenge as it is perceived as a non-value-added task and records of tasks such as requirements identification are not always consistent. The difficulties of applying traditional size measurement techniques in agile contexts, however, do not diminish the need, and new methods and techniques are introduced to improve the manageability of the agile projects. In this paper, we discuss estimation and measurement approaches in relation with ―software size in agile contexts. Based on this review, we present the perceptions of software size and related challenges, such as misinterpretation of size, difficulties in implementation, and acceptability of the measurement processes. We anticipate that providing a baseline for the state of software size measures in agile contexts and presenting related challenges, particularly in terms of its acceptability by practitioners can shed light on the development of new techniques

Methods and metrics for estimating and planning agile software projects

Trabalho financiado pelo Edital DPI / DPG - UnB n° 02/2018 (Apoio à Publicação de Artigos em Anais de Eventos, resultantes de Pesquisa Científica, Tecnológica e de Inovação de servidores do Quadro da Universidade de Brasília).The nature of agile software projects is different from software projects that use traditional methodologies. Therefore, using traditional techniques of estimates of effort, time and cost can produce imprecise estimates. Several estimation techniques have been proposed by several authors and developers in recent years. This work performs a Systematic Literature Review (SLR) of current estimates practices in the development of agile software and the most used size metrics as inputs for these estimates, collecting and documenting them for a future comparison of their accuracy. With the realization of SLR, it was identified that Story Point and Point of Function are the most used metrics in agile projects as the basis for estimating size, time, effort, productivity and cost. Based on these two-size metrics, it was performed a case study with the estimation of effort, time and cost for an agile project of a software factory, where the actual development values were compared with the estimates made to analyze which provided the estimates that most closely approximated the actual values that were estimated

Predictiveness and Effectiveness of Story Points in Agile Software Development

Agile Software Development (ASD) is one of the most popular iterative software development methodologies, which takes a different approach from the conventional sequential methods. Agile methods promise a faster response to unanticipated changes during development, typically contrasted with traditional project development, which assumes that software is specifiable and predictable. Traditionally, practitioners and researchers have utilised different Functional Size Measures (FSMs) as the main cost driver to estimate the effort required to develop a project (Software Effort Estimation – SSE). However, FSM methods are not easy to use with ASD. Thus, another measure, namely Story Point (SP), has become popular in this context. SP is a relative unit representing an intuitive mixture of complexity and the required effort of a user requirement. Although recent surveys report on a growing trend toward intelligent effort estimation techniques for ASD, the adoption of these techniques is still limited in practice. Several factors limit the accuracy and adaptability of these techniques. The primary factor is the lack of enough noise-free information at the estimation time, restricting the model’s accuracy and reliability. This thesis concentrates on SEE for ASD from both the technique and data perspectives. Under this umbrella, I first evaluate two prominent state-of-the-art works for SP estimation to understand their strengths and weaknesses. I then introduce and evaluate a novel method for SP estimation based on text clustering. Next, I investigate the relationship between SP and development time by conducting a thorough empirical study. Finally, I explore the effectiveness of SP estimation methods when used to estimate the actual time. To carry out this research, I have curated the TAWOS (Tawosi Agile Web-based Open-Source) dataset, which consists of over half a million issues from Agile, open-source projects. TAWOS has been made publicly available to allow for reproduction and extension in future work

On the Relationship Between Story Point and Development Effort in Agile Open-Source Software

Background: Previous work has provided some initial evidence that Story Point (SP) estimated by human-experts may not accurately reflect the effort needed to realise Agile software projects. / Aims: In this paper, we aim to shed further light on the relationship between SP and Agile software development effort to understand the extent to which human-estimated SP is a good indicator of user story development effort expressed in terms of time needed to realise it. / Method: To this end, we carry out a thorough empirical study involving a total of 37,440 unique user stories from 37 different open-source projects publicly available in the TAWOS dataset. For these user stories, we investigate the correlation between the issue development time (or its approximation when the actual time is not available) and the SP estimated by human-expert by using three widely-used correlation statistics (i.e., Pearson, Kendall and Spearman). Furthermore, we investigate SP estimations made by the human-experts in order to assess the extent to which they are consistent in their estimations throughout the project, i.e., we assess whether the development time of the issues is proportionate to the SP assigned to them. / Results: The average results across the three correlation measures reveal that the correlation between the human-expert estimated SP and the approximated development time is strong for only 7% of the projects investigated, and medium (58%) or low (35%) for the remaining ones. Similar results are obtained when the actual development time is considered. Our empirical study also reveals that the estimation made is often not consistent throughout the project and the human estimator tends to misestimate in 78% of the cases. / Conclusions: Our empirical results suggest that SP might not be an accurate indicator of open-source Agile software development effort expressed in terms of development time. The impact of its use as an indicator of effort should be explored in future work, for example as a cost-driver in automated effort estimation models or as the prediction target

Estimating, planning and managing Agile Web development projects under a value-based perspective

Context: The processes of estimating, planning and managing are crucial for software development projects, since the results must be related to several business strategies. The broad expansion of the Internet and the global and interconnected economy make Web development projects be often characterized by expressions like delivering as soon as possible, reducing time to market and adapting to undefined requirements. In this kind of environment, traditional methodologies based on predictive techniques sometimes do not offer very satisfactory results. The rise of Agile methodologies and practices has provided some useful tools that, combined with Web Engineering techniques, can help to establish a framework to estimate, manage and plan Web development projects. Objective: This paper presents a proposal for estimating, planning and managing Web projects, by combining some existing Agile techniques with Web Engineering principles, presenting them as an unified framework which uses the business value to guide the delivery of features. Method: The proposal is analyzed by means of a case study, including a real-life project, in order to obtain relevant conclusions. Results: The results achieved after using the framework in a development project are presented, including interesting results on project planning and estimation, as well as on team productivity throughout the project. Conclusion: It is concluded that the framework can be useful in order to better manage Web-based projects, through a continuous value-based estimation and management process.Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad TIN2013-46928-C3-3-

Addressing challenges to teach traditional and agile project management in academia

In order to prepare students for a professional IT career, most universities attempt to provide a current educational curriculum in the Project Management (PM) area to their students. This is usually based on the most promising methodologies used by the software industry. As instructors, we need to balance traditional methodologies focused on proven project planning and control processes leveraging widely accepted methods and tools along with the newer agile methodologies. Such new frameworks emphasize that software delivery should be done in a flexible and iterative manner and with significant collaboration with product owners and customers. In our experience agile methodologies have witnessed an exponential growth in many diverse software organizations, and the various agile PM tools and techniques will continue to see an increase in adoption in the software development sector. Reflecting on these changes, there is a critical need to accommodate best practices and current methodologies in our courses that deliver Project Management content. In this paper we analyse two of the most widely used methodologies for traditional and agile software development – the widely used ISO/PMBOK standard provided by the Project Management Institute and the well-accepted Scrum framework. We discuss how to overcome curriculum challenges and deliver a quality undergraduate PM course for a Computer Science and Information systems curricula. Based on our teaching experience in Europe and North America, we present a comprehensive comparison of the two approaches. Our research covers the main concepts, processes, and roles associated with the two PM frameworks and recommended learning outcomes. The paper should be of value to instructors who are keen to see their computing students graduate with a sound understanding of current PM methodologies and who can deliver real-world software products.Accepted manuscrip

Complementing Measurements and Real Options Concepts to Support Inter-iteration Decision-Making in Agile Projects

Agile software projects are characterized by iterative and incremental development, accommodation of changes and active customer participation. The process is driven by creating business value for the client, assuming that the client (i) is aware of it, and (ii) is capable to estimate the business value, associated with the separate features of the system to be implemented. This paper is focused on the complementary use of measurement techniques and concepts of real-option-analysis to assist clients in assessing and comparing alternative sets of requirements. Our overall objective is to provide systematic support to clients for the decision-making process on what to implement in each iteration. The design of our approach is justified by using empirical data, published earlier by other authors