Impact Assessment, Detection, And Mitigation Of False Data Attacks In Electrical Power Systems

The global energy market has seen a massive increase in investment and capital flow in the last few decades. This has completely transformed the way power grids operate - legacy systems are now being replaced by advanced smart grid infrastructures that attest to better connectivity and increased reliability. One popular example is the extensive deployment of phasor measurement units, which is referred to PMUs, that constantly provide time-synchronized phasor measurements at a high resolution compared to conventional meters. This enables system operators to monitor in real-time the vast electrical network spanning thousands of miles. However, a targeted cyber attack on PMUs can prompt operators to take wrong actions that can eventually jeopardize the power system reliability. Such threats originating from the cyber-space continue to increase as power grids become more dependent on PMU communication networks. Additionally, these threats are becoming increasingly efficient in remaining undetected for longer periods while gaining deep access into the power networks. An attack on the energy sector immediately impacts national defense, emergency services, and all aspects of human life. Cyber attacks against the electric grid may soon become a tactic of high-intensity warfare between nations in near future and lead to social disorder. Within this context, this dissertation investigates the cyber security of PMUs that affects critical decision-making for a reliable operation of the power grid. In particular, this dissertation focuses on false data attacks, a key vulnerability in the PMU architecture, that inject, alter, block, or delete data in devices or in communication network channels. This dissertation addresses three important cyber security aspects - (1) impact assessment, (2) detection, and (3) mitigation of false data attacks. A comprehensive background of false data attack models targeting various steady-state control blocks is first presented. By investigating inter-dependencies between the cyber and the physical layers, this dissertation then identifies possible points of ingress and categorizes risk at different levels of threats. In particular, the likelihood of cyber attacks against the steady-state power system control block causing the worst-case impacts such as cascading failures is investigated. The case study results indicate that false data attacks do not often lead to widespread blackouts, but do result in subsequent line overloads and load shedding. The impacts are magnified when attacks are coordinated with physical failures of generators, transformers, or heavily loaded lines. Further, this dissertation develops a data-driven false data attack detection method that is independent of existing in-built security mechanisms in the state estimator. It is observed that a convolutional neural network classifier can quickly detect and isolate false measurements compared to other deep learning and traditional classifiers. Finally, this dissertation develops a recovery plan that minimizes the consequence of threats when sophisticated attacks remain undetected and have already caused multiple failures. Two new controlled islanding methods are developed that minimize the impact of attacks under the lack of, or partial information on the threats. The results indicate that the system operators can successfully contain the negative impacts of cyber attacks while creating stable and observable islands. Overall, this dissertation presents a comprehensive plan for fast and effective detection and mitigation of false data attacks, improving cyber security preparedness, and enabling continuity of operations

Impact Assessment, Detection, and Mitigation of False Data Attacks in Electrical Power Systems

The global energy market has seen a massive increase in investment and capital flow in the last few decades. This has completely transformed the way power grids operate - legacy systems are now being replaced by advanced smart grid infrastructures that attest to better connectivity and increased reliability. One popular example is the extensive deployment of phasor measurement units, which is referred to PMUs, that constantly provide time-synchronized phasor measurements at a high resolution compared to conventional meters. This enables system operators to monitor in real-time the vast electrical network spanning thousands of miles. However, a targeted cyber attack on PMUs can prompt operators to take wrong actions that can eventually jeopardize the power system reliability. Such threats originating from the cyber-space continue to increase as power grids become more dependent on PMU communication networks. Additionally, these threats are becoming increasingly efficient in remaining undetected for longer periods while gaining deep access into the power networks. An attack on the energy sector immediately impacts national defense, emergency services, and all aspects of human life. Cyber attacks against the electric grid may soon become a tactic of high-intensity warfare between nations in near future and lead to social disorder. Within this context, this dissertation investigates the cyber security of PMUs that affects critical decision-making for a reliable operation of the power grid. In particular, this dissertation focuses on false data attacks, a key vulnerability in the PMU architecture, that inject, alter, block, or delete data in devices or in communication network channels. This dissertation addresses three important cyber security aspects - (1) impact assessment, (2) detection, and (3) mitigation of false data attacks. A comprehensive background of false data attack models targeting various steady-state control blocks is first presented. By investigating inter-dependencies between the cyber and the physical layers, this dissertation then identifies possible points of ingress and categorizes risk at different levels of threats. In particular, the likelihood of cyber attacks against the steady-state power system control block causing the worst-case impacts such as cascading failures is investigated. The case study results indicate that false data attacks do not often lead to widespread blackouts, but do result in subsequent line overloads and load shedding. The impacts are magnified when attacks are coordinated with physical failures of generators, transformers, or heavily loaded lines. Further, this dissertation develops a data-driven false data attack detection method that is independent of existing in-built security mechanisms in the state estimator. It is observed that a convolutional neural network classifier can quickly detect and isolate false measurements compared to other deep learning and traditional classifiers. Finally, this dissertation develops a recovery plan that minimizes the consequence of threats when sophisticated attacks remain undetected and have already caused multiple failures. Two new controlled islanding methods are developed that minimize the impact of attacks under the lack of, or partial information on the threats. The results indicate that the system operators can successfully contain the negative impacts of cyber attacks while creating stable and observable islands. Overall, this dissertation presents a comprehensive plan for fast and effective detection and mitigation of false data attacks, improving cyber security preparedness, and enabling continuity of operations

Outlier Identification in Spatio-Temporal Processes

This dissertation answers some of the statistical challenges arising in spatio-temporal data from Internet traffic, electricity grids and climate models. It begins with methodological contributions to the problem of anomaly detection in communication networks. Using electricity consumption patterns for University of Michigan campus, the well known spatial prediction method kriging has been adapted for identification of false data injections into the system. Events like Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS), Botnet/Malware attacks, Port Scanning etc. call for methods which can identify unusual activity in Internet traffic patterns. Storing information on the entire network though feasible cannot be done at the time scale at which data arrives. In this work, hashing techniques which can produce summary statistics for the network have been used. The hashed data so obtained indeed preserves the heavy tailed nature of traffic payloads, thereby providing a platform for the application of extreme value theory (EVT) to identify heavy hitters in volumetric attacks. These methods based on EVT require the estimation of the tail index of a heavy tailed distribution. The traditional estimators (Hill et al. (1975)) for the tail index tend to be biased in the presence of outliers. To circumvent this issue, a trimmed version of the classic Hill estimator has been proposed and studied from a theoretical perspective. For the Pareto domain of attraction, the optimality and asymptotic normality of the estimator has been established. Additionally, a data driven strategy to detect the number of extreme outliers in heavy tailed data has also been presented. The dissertation concludes with the statistical formulation of m-year return levels of extreme climatic events (heat/cold waves). The Generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) serves as good fit for modeling peaks over threshold of a distribution. Allowing the parameters of the GPD to vary as a function of covariates such as time of the year, El-Nino and location in the US, extremes of the areal impact of heat waves have been well modeled and inferred.PHDStatisticsUniversity of Michigan, Horace H. Rackham School of Graduate Studieshttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/145789/1/shrijita_1.pd

Machine learning solutions for maintenance of power plants

The primary goal of this work is to present analysis of current market for predictive maintenance software solutions applicable to a generic coal/gas-fired thermal power plant, as well as to present a brief discussion on the related developments of the near future. This type of solutions is in essence an advanced condition monitoring technique, that is used to continuously monitor entire plants and detect sensor reading deviations via correlative calculations. This approach allows for malfunction forecasting well in advance to a malfunction itself and any possible unforeseen consequences. Predictive maintenance software solutions employ primitive artificial intelligence in the form of machine learning (ML) algorithms to provide early detection of signal deviation. Before analyzing existing ML based solutions, structure and theory behind the processes of coal/gas driven power plants is going to be discussed to emphasize the necessity of predictive maintenance for optimal and reliable operation. Subjects to be discussed are: basic theory (thermodynamics and electrodynamics), primary machinery types, automation systems and data transmission, typical faults and condition monitoring techniques that are also often used in tandem with ML. Additionally, the basic theory on the main machine learning techniques related to malfunction prediction is going to be briefly presented

Secure and Privacy Driven Energy Data Analytics

PhD thesis in Information technologyRenewable resources are the main energy sources in a smart grid project. In order to ensure the smooth functioning of the smart grid, Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) need to be utilised efficiently. The objective of the SmartNEM project is to effectively utilise the technologies such as Machine Learning, Blockchain and Data Hubs for the aforementioned purpose and at the same time ensure a secured and privacy preserved solution. The data involved in smart grids require high security and it can be sensitive due to the household data which contains personal information. The individuals can be reluctant to share these data due to mistrust and to avoid unnecessary manipulation of the data they provide. In order to overcome this it is necessary to build a trust based framework in which one could ensure data security and data privacy for the data owners to open up their data for data analysis. To achieves this we have proposed an architecture called TOTEM, Token for Controlled Computation, which integrates Blockchain and Big Data technologies. The conventional method of data analysis demands data be moved across the network to the location where the execution happens, however in the TOTEM architecture computational code will be moved to the data owner’s environment where the data is located. The TOTEM is a three layer architecture (Blockchain consortium layer, Storage layer and Computational layer) with two main actors, data provider and data consumer. Data provider provides metadata of the data they own and provide resources for the execution of data. Data consumers will get an opportunity to execute their own code on the data provider´s data. For a controlled computation and to avoid malicious functions an entity called totem is introduced in the architecture. The authorised users should meet the requirements of Totem value for executing their code on the requested data. For live monitoring of the totem value throughout the run time is achieved with the components such as totem manager and updaters in the computational layer. The code must follow a specific format and will undergo preliminary checks with the TOTEM defined SDK and smart contracts deployed by the data providers in the blockchain network. The Extended TOTEM architecture is also proposed to address the additional features when it is needed to combine the results from multiple data providers without sharing the data. This research work focused on the design of the TOTEM architecture and implementation as a proof of concept for the newly introduced components in the architecture. We have also introduced artificial intelligence in the framework to improve core features’ functionality. In the present research, the TOTEM architecture is proposed for the SmartNEM project to utilize the energy data for decision making and figure out the trends or patterns, while maintaining data privacy, data ownership, accountability and traceability. Moreover, the architecture can be extended to other domains such as health, education, etc, where data security and privacy is the key concern in sharing the data

Attacks against intrusion detection networks: evasion, reverse engineering and optimal countermeasures

Intrusion Detection Networks (IDNs) constitute a primary element in current cyberdefense systems. IDNs are composed of different nodes distributed among a network infrastructure, performing functions such as local detection --mostly by Intrusion Detection Systems (IDS) --, information sharing with other nodes in the IDN, and aggregation and correlation of data from different sources. Overall, they are able to detect distributed attacks taking place at large scale or in different parts of the network simultaneously. IDNs have become themselves target of advanced cyberattacks aimed at bypassing the security barrier they offer and thus gaining control of the protected system. In order to guarantee the security and privacy of the systems being protected and the IDN itself, it is required to design resilient architectures for IDNs capable of maintaining a minimum level of functionality even when certain IDN nodes are bypassed, compromised, or rendered unusable. Research in this field has traditionally focused on designing robust detection algorithms for IDS. However, almost no attention has been paid to analyzing the security of the overall IDN and designing robust architectures for them. This Thesis provides various contributions in the research of resilient IDNs grouped into two main blocks. The first two contributions analyze the security of current proposals for IDS nodes against specific attacks, while the third and fourth contributions provide mechanisms to design IDN architectures that remain resilient in the presence of adversaries. In the first contribution, we propose evasion and reverse engineering attacks to anomaly detectors that use classification algorithms at the core of the detection engine. These algorithms have been widely studied in the anomaly detection field, as they generally are claimed to be both effective and efficient. However, such anomaly detectors do not consider potential behaviors incurred by adversaries to decrease the effectiveness and efficiency of the detection process. We demonstrate that using well-known classification algorithms for intrusion detection is vulnerable to reverse engineering and evasion attacks, which makes these algorithms inappropriate for real systems. The second contribution discusses the security of randomization as a countermeasure to evasion attacks against anomaly detectors. Recent works have proposed the use of secret (random) information to hide the detection surface, thus making evasion harder for an adversary. We propose a reverse engineering attack using a query-response analysis showing that randomization does not provide such security. We demonstrate our attack on Anagram, a popular application-layer anomaly detector based on randomized n-gram analysis. We show how an adversary can _rst discover the secret information used by the detector by querying it with carefully constructed payloads and then use this information to evade the detector. The difficulties found to properly address the security of nodes in an IDN motivate our research to protect cyberdefense systems globally, assuming the possibility of attacks against some nodes and devising ways of allocating countermeasures optimally. In order to do so, it is essential to model both IDN nodes and adversarial capabilities. In the third contribution of this Thesis, we provide a conceptual model for IDNs viewed as a network of nodes whose connections and internal components determine the architecture and functionality of the global defense network. Such a model is based on the analysis and abstraction of a number of existing proposals for IDNs. Furthermore, we also develop an adversarial model for IDNs that builds on classical attack capabilities for communication networks and allow to specify complex attacks against IDN nodes. Finally, the fourth contribution of this Thesis presents DEFIDNET, a framework to assess the vulnerabilities of IDNs, the threats to which they are exposed, and optimal countermeasures to minimize risk considering possible economic and operational constraints. The framework uses the system and adversarial models developed earlier in this Thesis, together with a risk rating procedure that evaluates the propagation of attacks against particular nodes throughout the entire IDN and estimates the impacts of such actions according to different attack strategies. This assessment is then used to search for countermeasures that are both optimal in terms of involved cost and amount of mitigated risk. This is done using multi-objective optimization algorithms, thus offering the analyst sets of solutions that could be applied in different operational scenarios. -------------------------------------------------------------Las Redes de Detección de Intrusiones (IDNs, por sus siglas en inglés) constituyen un elemento primordial de los actuales sistemas de ciberdefensa. Una IDN está compuesta por diferentes nodos distribuidos a lo largo de una infraestructura de red que realizan funciones de detección de ataques --fundamentalmente a través de Sistemas de Detección de Intrusiones, o IDS--, intercambio de información con otros nodos de la IDN, y agregación y correlación de eventos procedentes de distintas fuentes. En conjunto, una IDN es capaz de detectar ataques distribuidos y de gran escala que se manifiestan en diferentes partes de la red simultáneamente. Las IDNs se han convertido en objeto de ataques avanzados cuyo fin es evadir las funciones de seguridad que ofrecen y ganar así control sobre los sistemas protegidos. Con objeto de garantizar la seguridad y privacidad de la infraestructura de red y de la IDN, es necesario diseñar arquitecturas resilientes para IDNs que sean capaces de mantener un nivel mínimo de funcionalidad incluso cuando ciertos nodos son evadidos, comprometidos o inutilizados. La investigación en este campo se ha centrado tradicionalmente en el diseño de algoritmos de detección robustos para IDS. Sin embargo, la seguridad global de la IDN ha recibido considerablemente menos atención, lo que ha resultado en una carencia de principios de diseño para arquitecturas de IDN resilientes. Esta Tesis Doctoral proporciona varias contribuciones en la investigación de IDN resilientes. La investigación aquí presentada se agrupa en dos grandes bloques. Por un lado, las dos primeras contribuciones proporcionan técnicas de análisis de la seguridad de nodos IDS contra ataques deliberados. Por otro lado, las contribuciones tres y cuatro presentan mecanismos de diseño de arquitecturas IDS robustas frente a adversarios. En la primera contribución se proponen ataques de evasión e ingeniería inversa sobre detectores de anomalíaas que utilizan algoritmos de clasificación en el motor de detección. Estos algoritmos han sido ampliamente estudiados en el campo de la detección de anomalías y son generalmente considerados efectivos y eficientes. A pesar de esto, los detectores de anomalías no consideran el papel que un adversario puede desempeñar si persigue activamente decrementar la efectividad o la eficiencia del proceso de detección. En esta Tesis se demuestra que el uso de algoritmos de clasificación simples para la detección de anomalías es, en general, vulnerable a ataques de ingeniería inversa y evasión, lo que convierte a estos algoritmos en inapropiados para sistemas reales. La segunda contribución analiza la seguridad de la aleatorización como contramedida frente a los ataques de evasión contra detectores de anomalías. Esta contramedida ha sido propuesta recientemente como mecanismo de ocultación de la superficie de decisión, lo que supuestamente dificulta la tarea del adversario. En esta Tesis se propone un ataque de ingeniería inversa basado en un análisis consulta-respuesta que demuestra que, en general, la aleatorización no proporciona un nivel de seguridad sustancialmente superior. El ataque se demuestra contra Anagram, un detector de anomalías muy popular basado en el análisis de n-gramas que opera en la capa de aplicación. El ataque permite a un adversario descubrir la información secreta utilizada durante la aleatorización mediante la construcción de paquetes cuidadosamente diseñados. Tras la finalización de este proceso, el adversario se encuentra en disposición de lanzar un ataque de evasión. Los trabajos descritos anteriormente motivan la investigación de técnicas que permitan proteger sistemas de ciberdefensa tales como una IDN incluso cuando la seguridad de algunos de sus nodos se ve comprometida, así como soluciones para la asignación óptima de contramedidas. Para ello, resulta esencial disponer de modelos tanto de los nodos de una IDN como de las capacidades del adversario. En la tercera contribución de esta Tesis se proporcionan modelos conceptuales para ambos elementos. El modelo de sistema permite representar una IDN como una red de nodos cuyas conexiones y componentes internos determinan la arquitectura y funcionalidad de la red global de defensa. Este modelo se basa en el análisis y abstracción de diferentes arquitecturas para IDNs propuestas en los últimos años. Asimismo, se desarrolla un modelo de adversario para IDNs basado en las capacidades clásicas de un atacante en redes de comunicaciones que permite especificar ataques complejos contra nodos de una IDN. Finalmente, la cuarta y última contribución de esta Tesis Doctoral describe DEFIDNET, un marco que permite evaluar las vulnerabilidades de una IDN, las amenazas a las que están expuestas y las contramedidas que permiten minimizar el riesgo de manera óptima considerando restricciones de naturaleza económica u operacional. DEFIDNET se basa en los modelos de sistema y adversario desarrollados anteriormente en esta Tesis, junto con un procedimiento de evaluación de riesgos que permite calcular la propagación a lo largo de la IDN de ataques contra nodos individuales y estimar el impacto de acuerdo a diversas estrategias de ataque. El resultado del análisis de riesgos es utilizado para determinar contramedidas óptimas tanto en términos de coste involucrado como de cantidad de riesgo mitigado. Este proceso hace uso de algoritmos de optimización multiobjetivo y ofrece al analista varios conjuntos de soluciones que podrían aplicarse en distintos escenarios operacionales.Programa en Ciencia y Tecnología InformáticaPresidente: Andrés Marín López; Vocal: Sevil Sen; Secretario: David Camacho Fernánde

Advances in Public Transport Platform for the Development of Sustainability Cities

Modern societies demand high and varied mobility, which in turn requires a complex transport system adapted to social needs that guarantees the movement of people and goods in an economically efficient and safe way, but all are subject to a new environmental rationality and the new logic of the paradigm of sustainability. From this perspective, an efficient and flexible transport system that provides intelligent and sustainable mobility patterns is essential to our economy and our quality of life. The current transport system poses growing and significant challenges for the environment, human health, and sustainability, while current mobility schemes have focused much more on the private vehicle that has conditioned both the lifestyles of citizens and cities, as well as urban and territorial sustainability. Transport has a very considerable weight in the framework of sustainable development due to environmental pressures, associated social and economic effects, and interrelations with other sectors. The continuous growth that this sector has experienced over the last few years and its foreseeable increase, even considering the change in trends due to the current situation of generalized crisis, make the challenge of sustainable transport a strategic priority at local, national, European, and global levels. This Special Issue will pay attention to all those research approaches focused on the relationship between evolution in the area of transport with a high incidence in the environment from the perspective of efficiency

Developing a usable security approach for user awareness against ransomware

This thesis was submitted for the award of Doctor of Philosophy and was awarded by Brunel University LondonThe main purpose of the research presented in this thesis is to design and develop a game prototype for improving user awareness against ransomware, which has been reported as the most significant cyber security threat to the United Kingdom by the National Cyber Security Centre. Digital transformation is helping individuals, organisations, governments and Industrial control systems to modernise and improve their effectiveness. At the same time, cyber crimes are evolving and targeting essential services. A successful cyber attack can compromise users’ privacy, bring bad publicity and financial damage to organisations and target national security. A literature review was conducted to understand threats to the cyber social system. Literature in this thesis reports attackers exploit humans as the weakest link to execute successful security breaches. Therefore to address this challenge, a significant gap has been identified as an opportunity to contribute to user awareness of the ransomware cyber security threat. The current thesis proposes RansomAware a novel game prototype to improve user awareness. The game is based on Technology Threat Avoidance Theory (TTAT) model. In this thesis two studies are carried out, study 1 empirically validates the elements of TTAT to be embedded in the RansomAware prototype and reports a significant change in users’ motivation to avoid ransomware cyber security threat 55% and avoidance behaviour 29%, whereas study 2 evaluates game usability and report significant results of SUS average score of 87.58 and statistical results of p < 0.01 indicate user’s satisfaction of the RansomAware. Finally, the research provides guidelines on how the proposed RansomAware game can be adopted by practitioners and individuals to improve their awareness against the ransomware cyber security threat

Internet of Things From Hype to Reality

The Internet of Things (IoT) has gained significant mindshare, let alone attention, in academia and the industry especially over the past few years. The reasons behind this interest are the potential capabilities that IoT promises to offer. On the personal level, it paints a picture of a future world where all the things in our ambient environment are connected to the Internet and seamlessly communicate with each other to operate intelligently. The ultimate goal is to enable objects around us to efficiently sense our surroundings, inexpensively communicate, and ultimately create a better environment for us: one where everyday objects act based on what we need and like without explicit instructions