Context Relevant Prediction Model for COPD Domain Using Bayesian Belief Network

In the last three decades, researchers have examined extensively how context-aware systems can assist people, specifically those suffering from incurable diseases, to help them cope with their medical illness. Over the years, a huge number of studies on Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) have been published. However, how to derive relevant attributes and early detection of COPD exacerbations remains a challenge. In this research work, we will use an efficient algorithm to select relevant attributes where there is no proper approach in this domain. Such algorithm predicts exacerbations with high accuracy by adding discretization process, and organizes the pertinent attributes in priority order based on their impact to facilitate the emergency medical treatment. In this paper, we propose an extension of our existing Helper Context-Aware Engine System (HCES) for COPD. This project uses Bayesian network algorithm to depict the dependency between the COPD symptoms (attributes) in order to overcome the insufficiency and the independency hypothesis of naïve Bayesian. In addition, the dependency in Bayesian network is realized using TAN algorithm rather than consulting pneumologists. All these combined algorithms (discretization, selection, dependency, and the ordering of the relevant attributes) constitute an effective prediction model, comparing to effective ones. Moreover, an investigation and comparison of different scenarios of these algorithms are also done to verify which sequence of steps of prediction model gives more accurate results. Finally, we designed and validated a computer-aided support application to integrate different steps of this model. The findings of our system HCES has shown promising results using Area Under Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUC = 81.5%)

Bayesian Network Models of Causal Interventions in Healthcare Decision Making: Literature Review and Software Evaluation

This report summarises the outcomes of a systematic literature search to identify Bayesian network models used to support decision making in healthcare. After describing the search methodology, the selected research papers are briefly reviewed, with the view to identify publicly available models and datasets that are well suited to analysis using the causal interventional analysis software tool developed in Wang B, Lyle C, Kwiatkowska M (2021). Finally, an experimental evaluation of applying the software on a selection of models is carried out and preliminary results are reported.Comment: 50 pages (19 + 31 Appendix

A design science framework for research in health analytics

Data analytics provide the ability to systematically identify patterns and insights from a variety of data as organizations pursue improvements in their processes, products, and services. Analytics can be classified based on their ability to: explore, explain, predict, and prescribe. When applied to the field of healthcare, analytics presents a new frontier for business intelligence. In 2013 alone, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) reported that the national health expenditure was $2.9 trillion, representing 17.4% of the total United States GDP. The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010 (ACA) requires all hospitals to implement electronic medical record (EMR) technologies by year 2014 (Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, 2010). Moreover, the ACA makes healthcare process and outcomes more transparent by making related data readily available for research. Enterprising organizations are employing analytics and analytical techniques to find patterns in healthcare data (I. R. Bardhan & Thouin, 2013; Hansen, Miron-Shatz, Lau, & Paton, 2014). The goal is to assess the cost and quality of care and identify opportunities for improvement for organizations as well as the healthcare system as a whole. Yet, there remains a need for research to systematically understand, explain, and predict the sources and impacts of the widely observed variance in the cost and quality of care available. This is a driving motivation for research in healthcare. This dissertation conducts a design theoretic examination of the application of advanced data analytics in healthcare. Heart Failure is the number one cause of death and the biggest contributor healthcare costs in the United States. An exploratory examination of the application of predictive analytics is conducted in order to understand the cost and quality of care provided to heart failure patients. The specific research question is addressed: How can we improve and expand upon our understanding of the variances in the cost of care and the quality of care for heart failure? Using state level data from the State Health Plan of North Carolina, a standard readmission model was assessed as a baseline measure for prediction, and advanced analytics were compared to this baseline. This dissertation demonstrates that advanced analytics can improve readmission predictions as well as expand understanding of the profile of a patient readmitted for heart failure. Implications are assessed for academics and practitioners

Discrete separation of patients’ profiles for chronical obstructive pulmonary disease context-aware healthcare efficient systems

According to the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC), the symptoms of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are shortness of breath, coughing, and sputum production. Many studies estimate that COPD will become the third-leading cause of death worldwide by 2030 (WHO, 2008). Pervasive healthcare systems cover healthcare issues, including chronic diseases; they help patients to manage their own health information and healthcare services at any time and in any place. We developed a COPD healthcare system based on a combination of the parameters of patients. The main goal is to avoid the severe phases of the disease by monitoring them. This combination of risk factors provides in total 600 profiles from data, with 88.5% accuracy. However, many studies have focused on and shown the issues of the effectiveness and accuracy of these systems. The problem is to apply a new classification model to detect the severe phases of the disease early. Therefore, instead of working on COPD parameters, we design and validate a profile-based classification model of patients. This model will facilitate the building of a rule-based framework. In addition, the accuracy of our extended COPD system is improved using the classification and separation of patients’ profiles

Application of data fusion techniques and technologies for wearable health monitoring

Technological advances in sensors and communications have enabled discrete integration into everyday objects, both in the home and about the person. Information gathered by monitoring physiological, behavioural, and social aspects of our lives, can be used to achieve a positive impact on quality of life, health, and well-being. Wearable sensors are at the cusp of becoming truly pervasive, and could be woven into the clothes and accessories that we wear such that they become ubiquitous and transparent. To interpret the complex multidimensional information provided by these sensors, data fusion techniques are employed to provide a meaningful representation of the sensor outputs. This paper is intended to provide a short overview of data fusion techniques and algorithms that can be used to interpret wearable sensor data in the context of health monitoring applications. The application of these techniques are then described in the context of healthcare including activity and ambulatory monitoring, gait analysis, fall detection, and biometric monitoring. A snap-shot of current commercially available sensors is also provided, focusing on their sensing capability, and a commentary on the gaps that need to be bridged to bring research to market

A Comprehensive Scoping Review of Bayesian Networks in Healthcare: Past, Present and Future

No comprehensive review of Bayesian networks (BNs) in healthcare has been published in the past, making it difficult to organize the research contributions in the present and identify challenges and neglected areas that need to be addressed in the future. This unique and novel scoping review of BNs in healthcare provides an analytical framework for comprehensively characterizing the domain and its current state. The review shows that: (1) BNs in healthcare are not used to their full potential; (2) a generic BN development process is lacking; (3) limitations exists in the way BNs in healthcare are presented in the literature, which impacts understanding, consensus towards systematic methodologies, practice and adoption of BNs; and (4) a gap exists between having an accurate BN and a useful BN that impacts clinical practice. This review empowers researchers and clinicians with an analytical framework and findings that will enable understanding of the need to address the problems of restricted aims of BNs, ad hoc BN development methods, and the lack of BN adoption in practice. To map the way forward, the paper proposes future research directions and makes recommendations regarding BN development methods and adoption in practice

A Multi-Tier Distributed fog-based Architecture for Early Prediction of Epileptic Seizures

Epilepsy is the fourth most common neurological problem. With 50 million people living with epilepsy worldwide, about one in 26 people will continue experiencing recurring seizures during their lifetime. Epileptic seizures are characterized by uncontrollable movements and can cause loss of awareness. Despite the optimal use of antiepileptic medications, seizures are still difficult to control due to their sudden and unpredictable nature. Such seizures can put the lives of patients and others at risk. For example, seizure attacks while patients are driving could affect their ability to control a vehicle and could result in injuries to the patients as well as others. Notifying patients before the onset of seizures can enable them to avoid risks and minimize accidents, thus, save their lives. Early and accurate prediction of seizures can play a significant role in improving patients’ quality of life and helping doctors to administer medications through providing a historical overview of patient's condition over time. The individual variability and the dynamic disparity in differentiating between the pre-ictal phase (a period before the onset of the seizure) and other seizures phases make the early prediction of seizures a challenging task. Although several research projects have focused on developing a reliable seizure prediction model, numerous challenges still exist and need to be addressed. Most of the existing approaches are not suitable for real-time settings, which requires bio-signals collection and analysis in real-time. Various methods were developed based on the analysis of EEG signals without considering the notification latency and computational cost to support monitoring of multiple patients. Limited approaches were designed based on the analysis of ECG signals. ECG signals can be collected using consumer wearable devices and are suitable for light-weight real-time analysis. Moreover, existing prediction methods were developed based on the analysis of seizure state and ignored the investigation of pre-ictal state. The analysis of the pre-ictal state is essential in the prediction of seizures at an early stage. Therefore, there is a crucial need to design a novel computing model for early prediction of epileptic seizures. This model would greatly assist in improving the patients' quality of lives. This work proposes a multi-tier architecture for early prediction of seizures based on the analysis of two vital signs, namely, Electrocardiography (ECG) and Electroencephalogram (EEG) signals. The proposed architecture comprises of three tiers: (1) sensing at the first tier, (2) lightweight analysis based on ECG signals at the second tier, and (3) deep analysis based on EEG signals at the third tier. The proposed architecture is developed to leverage the potential of fog computing technology at the second tier for a real-time signal analytics and ubiquitous response. The proposed architecture can enable the early prediction of epileptic seizures, reduce the notification latency, and minimize the energy consumption on real-time data transmissions. Moreover, the proposed architecture is designed to allow for both lightweight and extensive analytics, thus make accurate and reliable decisions. The proposed lightweight model is formulated using the analysis of ECG signals to detect the pre-ictal state. The lightweight model utilizes the Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LS-SVM) classifier, while the proposed extensive analytics model analyzes EEG signals and utilizes Deep Belief Network (DBN) to provide an accurate classification of the patient’s state. The performance of the proposed architecture is evaluated in terms of latency minimization and energy consumption in comparison with the cloud. Moreover, the performance of the proposed prediction models is evaluated using three datasets. Various performance metrics were used to investigate the prediction model performance, including: accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F1-Measure. The results illustrate the merits of the proposed architecture and show significant improvement in the early prediction of seizures in terms of accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity