Toy story: homophily, transmission and the use of simple models in assessing variability in the archaeological record

The interpretation of spatial and temporal patterns in the archaeological record remains a long-standing issue in the discipline. Amongst many methods and interpretations, modelling of ‘biased transmission’ has proved a successful strategy to tackle this problem. Here, we investigate a type of biased transmission, homophily, that is the tendency of individuals to associate and bond with similar others. In contrast to other social sciences, homophily remains underused in archaeology. In order to fill this gap, we develop six distinct variants of a well-established modelling framework borrowed from social science, Axelrod’s Cultural Dissemination Model. These so-called toy models are abstract models used for theory-building and aim at exploring the interplay between homophily and various factors (e.g. addition of spatial features such as mountains and coastlines, diffusion of innovations and population spread). The relevance and implications of each ‘toy model’ for archaeological reasoning are then discussed

Dynamics and stability of small social networks

The choices and behaviours of individuals in social systems combine in unpredictable ways to create complex, often surprising, social outcomes. The structure of these behaviours, or interactions between individuals, can be represented as a social network. These networks are not static but vary over time as connections are made and broken or change in intensity. Generally these changes are gradual, but in some cases individuals disagree and as a result "fall out" with each other, i.e. , actively end their relationship by ceasing all contact. These "fallouts" have been shown to be capable of fragmenting the social network into disconnected parts. Fragmentation can impair the functioning of social networks and it is thus important to better understand the social processes that have such consequences. In this thesis we investigate the question of how networks fragment: what mechanism drives the changes that ultimately result in fragmentation? To do so, we also aim to understand the necessary conditions for fragmentation to be possible and identify the connections that are most important for the cohesion of the network. To answer these questions, we need a model of social network dynamics that is stable enough such that fragmentation does not occur spontaneously, but is simultaneously dynamic enough to allow the system to react to perturbations (i.e. , disagreements). We present such a model and show that it is able to grow and maintain networks exhibiting the characteristic properties of social networks, and does so using local behavioural rules inspired by sociological theory. We then provide a detailed investigation of fragmentation and confirm basic intuitions on the importance of bridges for network cohesion. Furthermore, we show that this topological feature alone does not explain which points of the network are most vulnerable to fragmentation. Rather, we find that dependencies between edges are crucial for understanding subtle differences between stable and vulnerable bridges. This understandingof the vulnerability of different network components is likely to be valuable for preventing fragmentation and limiting the impact of social fallou

Agent-based models as a tool for exploring complex segregation processes : simulating scenarios of residential segregation in the Helsinki Metropolitan Area

Tiivistelmä – Referat – Abstract With rising income inequalities and increasing immigration in many European cities, residential segregation remains a key focus for city planners and policy makers. As changes in the socio-spatial configuration of cities result from the residential mobility of its residents, the basis on which this mobility occurs is an important factor in segregation dynamics. There are many macro conditions which can constrain residential choice and facilitate segregation, such as the structure and supply of housing, competition in real estate markets and legal and institutional forms of housing discrimination. However, segregation has also been shown to occur from the bottom-up, through the self-organisation of individual households who make decisions about where to live. Using simple theoretical models, Thomas Schelling demonstrated how individual residential choices can lead to unanticipated and unexpected segregation in a city, even when this is not explicitly desired by any households. Schelling’s models are based upon theories of social homophily, or social distance dynamics, whereby individuals are thought to cluster in social and physical space on the basis of shared social traits. Understanding this process poses challenges for traditional research methods as segregation dynamics exhibit many complex behaviours including interdependency, emergence and nonlinearity. In recent years, simulation has been turned to as one possible method of analysis. Despite this increased interest in simulation as a tool for segregation research, there have been few attempts to operationalise a geospatial model, using empirical data for a real urban area. This thesis contributes to research on the simulation of social phenomena by developing a geospatial agent-based model (ABM) of residential segregation from empirical population data for the Helsinki Metropolitan Area (HMA). The urban structure, population composition, density and socio-spatial distribution of the HMA is represented within the modelling environment. Whilst the operational parameters of the model remain highly simplified in order to make processes more transparent, it permits exploration of possible system behaviour by placing it in a manipulative form. Specifically, this study uses simulation to test whether individual preferences, based on social homophily, are capable of producing segregation in a theoretical system which is absent of discrimination and other factors which may constrain residential choice. Three different scenarios were conducted, corresponding to different preference structures and demands for co-group neighbours. Each scenario was simulated for three different potential sorting variables derived from the literature; socio-economic status (income), cultural capital (education level) and language groups (mother tongue). Segregation increases in all of the simulations, however there are considerable behavioural differences between the different scenarios and grouping variables. The results broadly support the idea that individual residential choices by households are capable of producing and maintaining segregation under the right theoretical conditions. As a relatively novel approach to segregation research, the components, processes, and parameters of the developed model are described in detail for transparency. Limitations of such an approach are addressed at length, and attention is given to methods of measuring and reporting on the evolution and results of the simulations. The potential and limitations of using simulation in segregation research is highlighted through this work

Inferring urban social networks from publicly available data

The emergence of social networks and the definition of suitable generative models for synthetic yet realistic social graphs are widely studied problems in the literature. By not being tied to any real data, random graph models cannot capture all the subtleties of real networks and are inadequate for many practical contexts -- including areas of research, such as computational epidemiology, which are recently high on the agenda. At the same time, the so-called contact networks describe interactions, rather than relationships, and are strongly dependent on the application and on the size and quality of the sample data used to infer them. To fill the gap between these two approaches, we present a data-driven model for urban social networks, implemented and released as open source software. Given a territory of interest, and only based on widely available aggregated demographic and social-mixing data, we construct an age-stratified and geo-referenced synthetic population whose individuals are connected by "strong ties" of two types: intra-household (e.g., kinship) or friendship. While household links are entirely data-driven, we propose a parametric probabilistic model for friendship, based on the assumption that distances and age differences play a role, and that not all individuals are equally sociable. The demographic and geographic factors governing the structure of the obtained network, under different configurations, are thoroughly studied through extensive simulations focused on three Italian cities of different size

Clustered marginalization of minorities during social transitions induced by co-evolution of behaviour and network structure

Large-scale transitions in societies are associated with both individual behavioural change and restructuring of the social network. These two factors have often been considered independently, yet recent advances in social network research challenge this view. Here we show that common features of societal marginalization and clustering emerge naturally during transitions in a co-evolutionary adaptive network model. This is achieved by explicitly considering the interplay between individual interaction and a dynamic network structure in behavioural selection. We exemplify this mechanism by simulating how smoking behaviour and the network structure get reconfigured by changing social norms. Our results are consistent with empirical findings: The prevalence of smoking was reduced, remaining smokers were preferentially connected among each other and formed increasingly marginalised clusters. We propose that self-amplifying feedbacks between individual behaviour and dynamic restructuring of the network are main drivers of the transition. This generative mechanism for co-evolution of individual behaviour and social network structure may apply to a wide range of examples beyond smoking.Comment: 16 pages, 5 figure

Modeling dynamic community acceptance of mining using agent-based modeling

This research attempts to provide fundamental understanding into the relationship between perceived sustainability of mineral projects and community acceptance. The main objective is to apply agent-based modeling (ABM) and discrete choice modeling to understand changes in community acceptance over time due to changes in community demographics and perceptions. This objective focuses on: 1) formulating agent utility functions for ABM, based on discrete choice theory; 2) applying ABM to account for the effect of information diffusion on community acceptance; and 3) explaining the relationship between initial conditions, topology, and rate of interactions, on one hand, and community acceptance on the other hand. To achieve this objective, the research relies on discrete choice theory, agent-based modeling, innovation and diffusion theory, and stochastic processes. Discrete choice models of individual preferences of mining projects were used to formulate utility functions for this research. To account for the effect of information diffusion on community acceptance, an agent-based model was developed to describe changes in community acceptance over time, as a function of changing demographics and perceived sustainability impacts. The model was validated with discrete choice experimental data on acceptance of mining in Salt Lake City, Utah. The validated model was used in simulation experiments to explain the model\u27s sensitivity to initial conditions, topology, and rate of interactions. The research shows that the model, with the base case social network, is more sensitive to homophily and number of early adopters than average degree (number of friends). Also, the dynamics of information diffusion are sensitive to differences in clustering in the social networks. Though the research examined the effect of three networks that differ due to the type of homophily, it is their differences in clustering due to homophily that was correlated to information diffusion dynamics --Abstract, page iii

Development Policies and Policy Processes in Africa: Modeling and Evaluation

economics; quantitative policy evaluation; Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP); povert

Fairness in Social Networks

In professional and other social settings, networks play an important role in people\u27s lives. The communication between individuals and their positions in the network, may have a large impact on many aspects of their lives.In this work, I evaluate fairness from different perspectives.First,tomeasurefairnessfromgroupperspective,Iproposethenovelinformation unfairness criterion, which measures whether information spreads fairly to different groups in a network. Using this criterion, I perform a case study and measure fairness in information flow in different computer science co-authorship networks with respect to gender. Then, I consider two applications and show how to increase fairness with respect to a fairness metric. The first application is increasing fairness in information flow by adding a set of edges. I propose two algorithms- MaxFair and MinIUF- which are based on detecting those pairs of nodes whose connection would increase flow to disadvantaged groups. The second application is increasing fairness in organizational networks through employee hiring and assignment. I propose FairEA, a novel algorithm that allows organizations to gauge their success in achieving a diverse network. Next,Iexaminefairnessfromanindividualperspective.Iproposestratification assortativity, a novel metric that evaluates the tendency of the network to be divided into ordered classes. Then, I perform a case study on several co-authorship networks and examine the evolution of these networks over time and show that networks evolve into a highly stratified state. Finally, I introduce an agent-based model for network evolution to explain why social stratification emerges in a network