15,586 research outputs found
Specifying nonspecific evidence
In an earlier article [J. Schubert, On nonspecific evidence, Int. J. Intell.
Syst. 8(6), 711-725 (1993)] we established within Dempster-Shafer theory a
criterion function called the metaconflict function. With this criterion we can
partition into subsets a set of several pieces of evidence with propositions
that are weakly specified in the sense that it may be uncertain to which event
a proposition is referring. Each subset in the partitioning is representing a
separate event. The metaconflict function was derived as the plausibility that
the partitioning is correct when viewing the conflict in Dempster's rule within
each subset as a newly constructed piece of metalevel evidence with a
proposition giving support against the entire partitioning. In this article we
extend the results of the previous article. We will not only find the most
plausible subset for each piece of evidence as was done in the earlier article.
In addition we will specify each piece of nonspecific evidence, in the sense
that we find to which events the proposition might be referring, by finding the
plausibility for every subset that this piece of evidence belong to the subset.
In doing this we will automatically receive indication that some evidence might
be false. We will then develop a new methodology to exploit these newly
specified pieces of evidence in a subsequent reasoning process. This will
include methods to discount evidence based on their degree of falsity and on
their degree of credibility due to a partial specification of affiliation, as
well as a refined method to infer the event of each subset.Comment: 39 pages, 2 figure
General combination rules for qualitative and quantitative beliefs
Martin and Osswald \cite{Martin07} have recently proposed many
generalizations of combination rules on quantitative beliefs in order to manage
the conflict and to consider the specificity of the responses of the experts.
Since the experts express themselves usually in natural language with
linguistic labels, Smarandache and Dezert \cite{Li07} have introduced a
mathematical framework for dealing directly also with qualitative beliefs. In
this paper we recall some element of our previous works and propose the new
combination rules, developed for the fusion of both qualitative or quantitative
beliefs
A reliability-based approach for influence maximization using the evidence theory
The influence maximization is the problem of finding a set of social network
users, called influencers, that can trigger a large cascade of propagation.
Influencers are very beneficial to make a marketing campaign goes viral through
social networks for example. In this paper, we propose an influence measure
that combines many influence indicators. Besides, we consider the reliability
of each influence indicator and we present a distance-based process that allows
to estimate the reliability of each indicator. The proposed measure is defined
under the framework of the theory of belief functions. Furthermore, the
reliability-based influence measure is used with an influence maximization
model to select a set of users that are able to maximize the influence in the
network. Finally, we present a set of experiments on a dataset collected from
Twitter. These experiments show the performance of the proposed solution in
detecting social influencers with good quality.Comment: 14 pages, 8 figures, DaWak 2017 conferenc
Uncertain information combination for decision making in smart grid BDI agent systems
In a smart grid SCADA (supervisory control and data acquisition) system, sensor information (e.g. temperature, voltage, frequency, etc.) from heterogeneous sources can be used to reason about the true system state (e.g. faults, attacks, etc.). Before this is possible, it is necessary to combine information in a consistent way. However, information may be uncertain or incomplete while the sensors may be unreliable or conflicting. To address these issues, we apply Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory to model the information from each source as a mass function. Each mass function is then discounted to reflect the reliability of the source. Finally, relevant mass functions (after evidence propagation) are combined using a context-dependent combination rule to produce a single combined mass function used for reasoning. We model a smart grid SCADA system in the belief-desire-intention (BDI) multi-agent framework to demonstrate how our approach can be used to handle the combined uncertain sensor information. In particular, the combined mass function is transformed into a probability distribution for decision-making. Based on this result, the agent can determine which state is most plausible and insert a corresponding AgentSpeak belief atom into its belief base. These beliefs about the environment affect the selection of predefined plans, which in turn determine how the agent will behave. We also identify conditions when a combination should occur to ensure the reactiveness of the agent
Advances and Applications of Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) for Information Fusion (Collected Works), Vol. 4
The fourth volume on Advances and Applications of Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) for information fusion collects theoretical and applied contributions of researchers working in different fields of applications and in mathematics. The contributions (see List of Articles published in this book, at the end of the volume) have been published or presented after disseminating the third volume (2009, http://fs.unm.edu/DSmT-book3.pdf) in international conferences, seminars, workshops and journals.
First Part of this book presents the theoretical advancement of DSmT, dealing with Belief functions, conditioning and deconditioning, Analytic Hierarchy Process, Decision Making, Multi-Criteria, evidence theory, combination rule, evidence distance, conflicting belief, sources of evidences with different importance and reliabilities, importance of sources, pignistic probability transformation, Qualitative reasoning under uncertainty, Imprecise belief
structures, 2-Tuple linguistic label, Electre Tri Method, hierarchical proportional redistribution, basic belief assignment, subjective probability measure, Smarandache codification, neutrosophic logic, Evidence theory, outranking methods, Dempster-Shafer Theory, Bayes fusion rule, frequentist probability, mean square error, controlling factor, optimal assignment solution, data association, Transferable Belief Model, and others.
More applications of DSmT have emerged in the past years since the apparition of the third book of DSmT 2009. Subsequently, the second part of this volume is about applications of DSmT in correlation with Electronic Support Measures, belief function, sensor networks, Ground Moving Target and Multiple target tracking, Vehicle-Born Improvised Explosive Device, Belief Interacting Multiple Model filter, seismic and acoustic sensor, Support Vector Machines, Alarm
classification, ability of human visual system, Uncertainty Representation and Reasoning Evaluation Framework, Threat Assessment, Handwritten Signature Verification, Automatic Aircraft Recognition, Dynamic Data-Driven Application System, adjustment of secure communication trust analysis, and so on.
Finally, the third part presents a List of References related with DSmT published or presented along the years since its inception in 2004, chronologically ordered
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