Prognosis of Wind-tempted Mean Pressure Coefficients of Cross-shaped Tall Buildings Using Artificial Neural Network

The present paper focuses on the study of wind-induced responses of cross-plan shaped tall buildings. Initially, three parametric building models are studied for the purpose with a constant plan area 22500 mm2. The length and velocity scales are taken as 1:300 and 1:5, respectively. Wind angle of attack (WAA) is considered from 0° to 330° with an increment of 30°. At first, the external surface pressure coefficients (Cp) at different faces of the models are carried out for different wind occurrence angles employing Computational Fluid Dynamics method of simulated wind flow. Again, Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) fitted expressions as the sine and cosine function of WAA are proposed for attaining mean wind pressure coefficient on the building faces. The accuracy of the Fourier series expansions is justified by presenting histograms of sum square error (SSE), R2 value and root mean square error (RMSE). The results are also compared by training Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). Training is continued till Regression (R) values are more than 0.99 and Mean Squared Error (MSE) tends to 0, ensuring a close relationship among the outputs and targets. The face-wise value of (Cp) obtained using all three methods, are plotted. The error histograms of the ANN models show that the fitting data errors are spread within a reasonably good range. It is observed that the deviation in the result is not more than 5% in any case. Finally, the ANN predictions are presented for nine parametric models to cover a wide range of possible cross-shaped buildings

An evaluation of CNN and ANN in prediction weather forecasting: A review

Artificial intelligence through deep neural networks is now widely used in a variety of applications that have profoundly altered human livelihoods in a variety of ways.  People's daily lives have become much more convenient. Image recognition, smart recommendations, self-driving vehicles, voice translation, and a slew of other neural network innovations have had a lot of success in their respective fields. The authors present the ANN applied in weather forecasting. The prediction technique relies solely upon learning previous input values from intervals in order to forecast future values. And also, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) are a form of deep learning technique that can help classify, recognize, and predict trends in climate change and environmental data. However, due to the inherent difficulties of such results, which are often independently identified, non-stationary, and unstable CNN algorithms should be built and tested with each dataset and system separately. On the other hand, to eradicate error and provides us with data that is virtually identical to the real value we need Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) algorithms or benefit from it. The presented CNN model's forecasting efficiency was compared to some state-of-the-art ANN algorithms. The analysis shows that weather prediction applications become more efficient when using ANN algorithms because it is really easy to put into practice

Charging demand of Plug-in Electric Vehicles: Forecasting travel behavior based on a novel Rough Artificial Neural Network approach

The market penetration of Plug-in Electric Vehicles (PEVs) is escalating due to their energy saving and environmental benefits. In order to address PEVs impact on the electric networks, the aggregators need to accurately predict the PEV Travel Behavior (PEV-TB) since the addition of a great number of PEVs to the current distribution network poses serious challenges to the power system. Forecasting PEV-TB is critical because of the high degree of uncertainties in drivers’ behavior. Existing studies mostly simplified the PEV-TB by mapping travel behavior from conventional vehicles. This could cause bias in power estimation considering the differences in PEV-TB because of charging pattern which consequently could bungle economic analysis of aggregators. In this study, to forecast PEV-TB an artificial intelligence-based method -feedforward and recurrent Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) with Levenberg Marquardt (LM) training method based on Rough structure - is developed. The method is based on historical data including arrival time, departure time and trip length. In this study, the correlation among arrival time, departure time and trip length is also considered. The forecasted PEV-TB is then compared with Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) which is the main benchmarking method in this field. The results comparison depicted the robustness of the proposed methodology. The proposed method reduces the aggregators’ financial loss approximately by 16 $/PEV per year compared to the conventional methods. The findings underline the importance of applying more accurate methods to forecast PEV-TB to gain the most benefit of vehicle electrification in the years to come.Peer ReviewedPostprint (author's final draft

Modelling of propagation path loss using adaptive hybrid artificial neural network approach for outdoor environments.

Doctor of Philosophy in Electronic Engineering. University of KwaZulu-Natal. Durban, 2018.Prediction of signal power loss between transmitter and receiver with minimal error is an important issue in telecommunication network planning and optimization process. Some of the basic available conventional models in literature for signal power loss prediction includes the Free space, Lee, COST 234 Hata, Hata, Walficsh- Bertoni, Walficsh-Ikegami, dominant path and ITU models. But, due to poor prediction accuracy and lack of computational efficiency of these traditional models with propagated signal data in different cellular network environments, many researchers have shifted their focus to the domain of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) models. Different neural network architectures and models exist in literature, but the most popular one among them is the Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) ANN which can be attributed to its superb architecture and comparably clear algorithm. Though standard MLP networks have been employed to model and predict different signal data, they suffer due to the following fundamental drawbacks. Firstly, conventional MLP networks perform poorly in handling noisy data. Also, MLP networks lack capabilities in dealing with incoherence datasets which contracts with smoothness. Firstly, in this work, an adaptive neural network predictor which combines MLP and Adaptive Linear Element (ADALINE) is developed for enhanced signal power prediction. This is followed with a resourceful predictive model, built on MLP network with vector order statistic filter based pre-processing technique for improved prediction of measured signal power loss in different micro-cellular urban environments. The prediction accuracy of the proposed hybrid adaptive neural network predictor has been tested and evaluated using experimental field strength data acquired from Long Term Evolution (LTE) radio network environment with mixed residential, commercial and cluttered building structures. By means of first order statistical performance evaluation metrics using Correlation Coefficient, Root Mean Squared Error, Standard Deviation and Mean Absolute Error, the proposed adaptive hybrid approach provides a better prediction accuracy compared to the conventional MLP ANN prediction approach. The superior performance of the hybrid neural predictor can be attributed to its capability to learn, adaptively respond and predict the fluctuating patterns of the reference propagation loss data during training

Metaheuristic design of feedforward neural networks: a review of two decades of research

Over the past two decades, the feedforward neural network (FNN) optimization has been a key interest among the researchers and practitioners of multiple disciplines. The FNN optimization is often viewed from the various perspectives: the optimization of weights, network architecture, activation nodes, learning parameters, learning environment, etc. Researchers adopted such different viewpoints mainly to improve the FNN's generalization ability. The gradient-descent algorithm such as backpropagation has been widely applied to optimize the FNNs. Its success is evident from the FNN's application to numerous real-world problems. However, due to the limitations of the gradient-based optimization methods, the metaheuristic algorithms including the evolutionary algorithms, swarm intelligence, etc., are still being widely explored by the researchers aiming to obtain generalized FNN for a given problem. This article attempts to summarize a broad spectrum of FNN optimization methodologies including conventional and metaheuristic approaches. This article also tries to connect various research directions emerged out of the FNN optimization practices, such as evolving neural network (NN), cooperative coevolution NN, complex-valued NN, deep learning, extreme learning machine, quantum NN, etc. Additionally, it provides interesting research challenges for future research to cope-up with the present information processing era

Nonlinear self-tuning control for power oscillation damping

Power systems exhibit nonlinear behavior especially during disturbances, necessitating the application of appropriate nonlinear control techniques. Lack of availability of accurate and updated models for the whole power system adds to the challenge. Conventional damping control design approaches consider a single operating condition of the system, which are obviously simple but tend to lack performance robustness. Objective of this research work is to design a measurement based self-tuning controller, which does not rely on accurate models and deals with nonlinearities in system response. Designed controller is required to ensure settling of inter-area oscillations within 10−12s, following disturbance such as a line outage. The neural network (NN) model is illustrated for the representation of nonlinear power systems. An optimization based algorithm, Levenberg-Marquardt (LM), for online estimation of power system dynamic behavior is proposed in batch mode to improve the model estimation. Careful study shows that the LM algorithm yields better closed loop performance, compared to conventional recursive least square (RLS) approach with the pole-shifting controller (PSC) in linear framework. Exploiting the capability of LM, a special form of neural network compatible with feedback linearization technique, is applied. Validation of the performance of proposed algorithm is done through the modeling and simulating heavy loading of transmission lines, when the nonlinearities are pronounced. Nonlinear NN model in the Feedback Linearization (FLNN) form gives better estimation than the autoregressive with an external input (ARX) form. The proposed identifier (FLNN with LM algorithm) is then tested on a 4−machine, 2−area power system in conjunction with the feedback linearization controller (FBLC) under varying operating conditions. This case study indicates that the developed closed loop strategy performs better than the linear NN with PSC. Extension of FLNN with FBLC structure in a multi-variable setup is also done. LM algorithm is successfully employed with the multi-input multi-output FLNN structure in a sliding window batch mode, and FBLC controller generates multiple control signals for FACTS. Case studies on a large scale 16−machine, 5−area power system are reported for different power flow scenarios, to prove the superiority of proposed schemes: both MIMO and MISO against a conventional model based controller. A coefficient vector for FBLC is derived, and utilized online at each time instant, to enhance the damping performance of controller, transforming into a time varying controller

Analysing and forecasting tourism demand in Vietnam with artificial neural networks

Mestrado APNORVietnam has experienced a tourism boom over the last decade with more than 18 million international tourists in 2019, compared to 1.5 million twenty-five years ago. Tourist spending has translated into rising employment and income for the tourism sector, making it the key driver to the socio-economic development of the country. Facing the COVID-19 pandemic, Vietnam´s tourism has suffered extreme economic losses. However, the number of international tourists is expected to reach the pre-pandemic levels in the next few years after the COVID-19 pandemic subsides. Forecasting tourism demand plays an essential role in predicting future economic development. Accurate predictions of tourism volume would facilitate decision-makers and managers to optimize resource allocation as well as to balance environmental and economic aspects. Various methods to predict tourism demand have been introduced over the years. One of the most prominent approaches is Artificial Neural Network (ANN) thanks to its capability to handle highly volatile and non-linear data. Given the significance of tourism to the economy, a precise forecast of tourism demand would help to foresee the potential economic growth of Vietnam. First, the research aims to analyse Vietnam´s tourism sector with a special focus on international tourists. Next, several ANN architectures are experimented with the datasets from 2008 to 2020, to predict the monthly number of international tourists traveling to Vietnam including COVID-19 lockdown periods. The results showed that with the correct selection of ANN architectures and data from the previous 12 months, the best ANN models can forecast the number of international tourists for next month with a MAPE between 7.9% and 9.2%. As the method proves its forecasting accuracy, it would serve as a valuable tool for Vietnam´s policymakers and firm managers to make better investment and strategic decisions to promote tourism after the COVID-19 situation.O Vietname conheceu um boom turístico na última década com mais de 18 milhões de turistas internacionais em 2019, em comparação com 1,5 milhões há vinte e cinco anos. As despesas turísticas traduziram-se num aumento do emprego e de receitas no sector do turismo, tornando-o no principal motor do desenvolvimento socioeconómico do país. Perante a pandemia da COVID-19, o turismo no Vietname sofreu perdas económicas extremas. Porém, espera-se que o número de turistas internacionais, pós pandemia da COVID-19, atinja os níveis pré-pandémicos nos próximos anos. A previsão da procura turística desempenha um papel essencial na previsão do desenvolvimento económico futuro. Previsões precisas facilitariam os decisores e gestores a otimizar a afetação de recursos, bem como o equilíbrio entre os aspetos ambientais e económicos. Vários métodos para prever a procura turística têm sido introduzidos ao longo dos anos. Uma das abordagens mais proeminentes assenta na metodologia das Redes Neuronais Artificiais (ANN) dada a sua capacidade de lidar com dados voláteis e não lineares. Dada a importância do turismo para a economia, uma previsão precisa da procura turística ajudaria a prever o crescimento económico potencial do Vietname. Em primeiro lugar, a investigação tem por objetivo analisar o sector turístico do Vietname com especial incidência nos turistas internacionais. Em seguida, várias arquiteturas de ANN são experimentadas com um conjunto de dados de 2008 a 2020, para prever o número mensal de turistas internacionais que se deslocam ao Vietname, incluindo os períodos de confinamento relacionados com a COVID-19. Os resultados mostraram, com a correta seleção de arquiteturas ANN e dados dos 12 meses anteriores, os melhores modelos ANN podem prever o número de turistas internacionais para o próximo mês com uma MAPE entre 7,9% e 9,2%. Como o método evidenciou a sua precisão de previsão, o mesmo pode servir como uma ferramenta valiosa para os decisores políticos e gestores de empresas do Vietname, pois irá permitir fazer melhores investimentos e tomarem decisões estratégicas para promover o turismo pós situação da COVID-19

Network Intrusion Detection Method Using Stacked BILSTM Elastic Regression Classifier with Aquila Optimizer Algorithm for Internet of Things (IoT)

Globally, over the past ten years, computer networks and Internet of Things (IoT) networks have grown significantly due to the increasing amount of data that has been collected, ranging from zettabytes to petabytes. As a result, as the network has expanded, security problems have also emerged. The large data sets involved in these types of attacks can make detection difficult. The developing networks are being used for a multitude of sophisticated purposes, such as smart homes, cities, grids, gadgets, and objects, as well as e-commerce, e-banking, and e-government. As a result of the development of numerous intrusion detection systems (IDS), computer networks are now protected from security and privacy threats. Data confidentiality, integrity, and availability will suffer if IDS prevention efforts fail. Complex attacks can't be handled by traditional methods.  There has been a growing interest in advanced deep learning techniques for detecting intrusions and identifying abnormal behavior in networks. This research aims to propose a novel network namely stacked BiLSTM elastic regression classifier (Stack_BiLSTM-ERC) with Aquila optimizer algorithm for feature selection. This optimization method computes use of a cutting-edge transition function that enables it to be transformed into a binary form of the Aquila optimizer. A better solution could be secured once number of possible solutions are found from diverse regions of the search space utilizing the Aquila optimizer method. NSL-KDD and UNSW-NB15 are two datasets that enable learning characteristics from the raw data in order to detect harmful prerequisites characteristics and effective framework patterns. The proposed Stack_BiLSTM-ERC achieves 98.l3% of accuracy, 95.1% of precision, 94.3% of recall and 95.4 of F1-score for NSL-KDD dataset. Moreover, 98.6% of accuracy, 97.2% of precision, 98.5 of recall and 97.5% of F1-score

Urban Water Demand Prediction for a City that Suffers from Climate Change and Population Growth: Gauteng Province case study

The proper management of municipal water system is essential to sustain cities and support water security of societies. Urban water estimating has always been a challenging task for managers of water utilities and policymakers. This paper applies a novel methodology that includes data pre-processing and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) optimized with Backtracking Search Algorithm (BSA-ANN) to estimate monthly water demand in relation to previous water consumption. Historical data of monthly water consumption in the Gauteng Province, South Africa, for the period 2007–2016, were selected for the creation and evaluation of the methodology. Data pre-processing techniques played a crucial role in the enhancing of the quality of the data before creating the prediction model. The BSA-ANN model yielded the best result with a root mean square error and a coefficient of efficiency of 0.0099 mega liters and 0.979, respectively. Also, it proved more efficient and reliable than the Crow Search Algorithm (CSA-ANN), based on the scale of error. Overall, this paper presents a new application for the hybrid model BSA-ANN that can be successfully used to predict water demand with high accuracy, in a city that heavily suffers from the impact of climate change and population growth