High resolution spatial variability in spring snowmelt for an Arctic shrub-tundra watershed

Arctic tundra environments are characterized by spatially heterogeneous end-of-winter snow cover because of high winds that erode, transport and deposit snow over the winter. This spatially variable end-of-winter snow cover subsequently influences the spatial and temporal variability of snowmelt and results in a patchy snowcover over the melt period. Documenting changes in both snow cover area (SCA) and snow water equivalent (SWE) during the spring melt is essential for understanding hydrological systems, but the lack of high-resolution SCA and SWE datasets that accurately capture micro-scale changes are not commonly available, and do not exist for the Canadian Arctic. This study applies high-resolution remote sensing measurements of SCA and SWE using a fixed-wing Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) to document snowcover changes over the snowmelt period for an Arctic tundra headwater catchment. Repeat measurements of SWE and SCA were obtained for four dominant land cover types (tundra, short shrub, tall shrub, and topographic drift) to provide observations of spatially distributed snowmelt patterns and basin-wide declines in SWE. High-resolution analysis of snowcover conditions over the melt reveal a strong relationship between land cover type, snow distribution, and snow ablation rates whereby shallow snowpacks found in tundra and short shrub regions feature rapid declines in SWE and SCA and became snow-free approximately 10 days earlier than deeper snowpacks. In contrast, tall shrub patches and topographic drift regions were characterized by large initial SWE values and featured a slow decline in SCA. Analysis of basin-wide declines in SCA and SWE reveal three distinct melt phases characterized by 1) low melt rates across a large area resulting in a minor change in SCA, but a very large decline in SWE with, 2) high melt rates resulting in drastic declines in both SCA and SWE, and 3) low melt rates over a small portion of the basin, resulting in little change to either SCA or SWE. The ability to capture high-resolution spatio-temporal changes to tundra snow cover furthers our understanding of the relative importance of various land cover types on the snowmelt timing and amount of runoff available to the hydrological system during the spring freshet

Advancing the Monitoring Capabilities of Mountain Snowpack Fluctuations at Various Spatial and Temporal Scales

Snow is a critical water resource for the western US and many regions across the globe. However, our ability to accurately monitor changes in snow mass from satellite remote sensing, specifically its water equivalent, remains a challenge in mountain regions. No single sensor currently has the ability to directly measure snow water equivalent (SWE) from space at a spatial scale suitable for water supply forecasting in mountain environments. This knowledge gap calls for the innovative use of remote sensing techniques, computational tools, and data science methods to advance our ability to estimate mountain snowpacks across a range of spatial and temporal scales. The goal of this dissertation is to advance our capabilities for understanding snowpack across watershed-relevant spatial and temporal scales. Two research approaches were used to accomplish this goal: quantifying the physiographic controls and sensitivities of hydrologically important snow metrics and progressing our ability to use L-band interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) to measure SWE changes. First, we quantify the physiographic controls and various snowpack metrics in the Sierra Nevada using a novel gridded SWE reanalysis dataset. Such work demonstrates the complexity of snowpack processes and the need for fine-resolution snowpack information. Next, using L-band Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) from the NASA SnowEx campaign, both snow ablation and accumulation are estimated in the Jemez Mountains, NM. The radar-derived retrievals are evaluated utilizing a combination of optical snow-cover data, snow pits, meteorological station data, in situ snow depth sensors, and ground-penetrating radar (GPR). Lastly, we compare multisensor optical-radar approaches for SWE retrievals and find that moderate-resolution legacy satellite products provide sufficient results. The results of this work show that L-band InSAR is a suitable technique for global SWE monitoring when used synergistically with optical SCA data and snowpack modeling. While two distinctive methods are present in this research, they both work towards advancing our ability to understand the dynamics of mountain snowpack

The Northern Eurasia Earth Science Partnership: An Example of Science Applied to Societal Needs

Northern Eurasia, the largest landmass in the northern extratropics, accounts for ~20% of the global land area. However, little is known about how the biogeochemical cycles, energy and water cycles, and human activities specific to this carbon-rich, cold region interact with global climate. A major concern is that changes in the distribution of land-based life, as well as its interactions with the environment, may lead to a self-reinforcing cycle of accelerated regional and global warming. With this as its motivation, the Northern Eurasian Earth Science Partnership Initiative (NEESPI) was formed in 2004 to better understand and quantify feedbacks between northern Eurasian and global climates. The first group of NEESPI projects has mostly focused on assembling regional databases, organizing improved environmental monitoring of the region, and studying individual environmental processes. That was a starting point to addressing emerging challenges in the region related to rapidly and simultaneously changing climate, environmental, and societal systems. More recently, the NEESPI research focus has been moving toward integrative studies, including the development of modeling capabilities to project the future state of climate, environment, and societies in the NEESPI domain. This effort will require a high level of integration of observation programs, process studies, and modeling across disciplines

Approximating Input Data to a Snowmelt Model Using Weather Research and Forecasting Model Outputs in Lieu of Meteorological Measurements

Forecasting the timing and magnitude of snowmelt and runoff is critical to managing mountain water resources. Warming temperatures are increasing the rain–snow transition elevation and are limiting the forecasting skill of statistical models relating historical snow water equivalent to streamflow. While physically based methods are available, they require accurate estimations of the spatial and temporal distribution of meteorological variables in complex terrain. Across many mountainous areas, measurements of precipitation and other meteorological variables are limited to a few reference stations and are not adequate to resolve the complex interactions between topography and atmospheric flow. In this paper, we evaluate the ability of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model to approximate the inputs required for a physics-based snow model, iSnobal, instead of using meteorological measurements, for the Boise River Basin (BRB) in Idaho, United States. An iSnobal simulation using station data from 40 locations in and around the BRB resulted in an average root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 4.5 mm compared with 12 SNOTEL measurements. Applying WRF forcings alone was associated with an RMSE of 10.5 mm, while including a simple bias correction to the WRF outputs of temperature and precipitation reduced the RMSE to 6.5 mm. The results highlight the utility of using WRF outputs as input to snowmelt models, as all required input variables are spatiotemporally complete. This will have important benefits in areas with sparse measurement networks and will aid snowmelt and runoff forecasting in mountainous basins

Global Precipitation Measurement

This chapter begins with a brief history and background of microwave precipitation sensors, with a discussion of the sensitivity of both passive and active instruments, to trace the evolution of satellite-based rainfall techniques from an era of inference to an era of physical measurement. Next, the highly successful Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission will be described, followed by the goals and plans for the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Mission and the status of precipitation retrieval algorithm development. The chapter concludes with a summary of the need for space-based precipitation measurement, current technological capabilities, near-term algorithm advancements and anticipated new sciences and societal benefits in the GPM era

Spring hydrology determines summer net carbon uptake in northern ecosystems

Increased photosynthetic activity and enhanced seasonal CO2 exchange of northern ecosystems have been observed from a variety of sources including satellite vegetation indices (such as the normalized difference vegetation index; NDVI) and atmospheric CO2 measurements. Most of these changes have been attributed to strong warming trends in the northern high latitudes (50° N). Here we analyze the interannual variation of summer net carbon uptake derived from atmospheric CO2 measurements and satellite NDVI in relation to surface meteorology from regional observational records. We find that increases in spring precipitation and snow pack promote summer net carbon uptake of northern ecosystems independent of air temperature effects. However, satellite NDVI measurements still show an overall benefit of summer photosynthetic activity from regional warming and limited impact of spring precipitation. This discrepancy is attributed to a similar response of photosynthesis and respiration to warming and thus reduced sensitivity of net ecosystem carbon uptake to temperature. Further analysis of boreal tower eddy covariance CO2 flux measurements indicates that summer net carbon uptake is positively correlated with early growing-season surface soil moisture, which is also strongly affected by spring precipitation and snow pack based on analysis of satellite soil moisture retrievals. This is attributed to strong regulation of spring hydrology on soil respiration in relatively wet boreal and arctic ecosystems. These results document the important role of spring hydrology in determining summer net carbon uptake and contrast with prevailing assumptions of dominant cold temperature limitations to high-latitude ecosystems. Our results indicate potentially stronger coupling of boreal/arctic water and carbon cycles with continued regional warming trends

The future of Earth observation in hydrology

In just the past 5 years, the field of Earth observation has progressed beyond the offerings of conventional space-agency-based platforms to include a plethora of sensing opportunities afforded by CubeSats, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), and smartphone technologies that are being embraced by both for-profit companies and individual researchers. Over the previous decades, space agency efforts have brought forth well-known and immensely useful satellites such as the Landsat series and the Gravity Research and Climate Experiment (GRACE) system, with costs typically of the order of 1 billion dollars per satellite and with concept-to-launch timelines of the order of 2 decades (for new missions). More recently, the proliferation of smart-phones has helped to miniaturize sensors and energy requirements, facilitating advances in the use of CubeSats that can be launched by the dozens, while providing ultra-high (3-5 m) resolution sensing of the Earth on a daily basis. Start-up companies that did not exist a decade ago now operate more satellites in orbit than any space agency, and at costs that are a mere fraction of traditional satellite missions. With these advances come new space-borne measurements, such as real-time high-definition video for tracking air pollution, storm-cell development, flood propagation, precipitation monitoring, or even for constructing digital surfaces using structure-from-motion techniques. Closer to the surface, measurements from small unmanned drones and tethered balloons have mapped snow depths, floods, and estimated evaporation at sub-metre resolutions, pushing back on spatio-temporal constraints and delivering new process insights. At ground level, precipitation has been measured using signal attenuation between antennae mounted on cell phone towers, while the proliferation of mobile devices has enabled citizen scientists to catalogue photos of environmental conditions, estimate daily average temperatures from battery state, and sense other hydrologically important variables such as channel depths using commercially available wireless devices. Global internet access is being pursued via high-altitude balloons, solar planes, and hundreds of planned satellite launches, providing a means to exploit the "internet of things" as an entirely new measurement domain. Such global access will enable real-time collection of data from billions of smartphones or from remote research platforms. This future will produce petabytes of data that can only be accessed via cloud storage and will require new analytical approaches to interpret. The extent to which today's hydrologic models can usefully ingest such massive data volumes is unclear. Nor is it clear whether this deluge of data will be usefully exploited, either because the measurements are superfluous, inconsistent, not accurate enough, or simply because we lack the capacity to process and analyse them. What is apparent is that the tools and techniques afforded by this array of novel and game-changing sensing platforms present our community with a unique opportunity to develop new insights that advance fundamental aspects of the hydrological sciences. To accomplish this will require more than just an application of the technology: in some cases, it will demand a radical rethink on how we utilize and exploit these new observing systems

Direct Insertion of NASA Airborne Snow Observatory-Derived Snow Depth Time Series Into the \u3cem\u3eiSnobal\u3c/em\u3e Energy Balance Snow Model

Accurately simulating the spatiotemporal distribution of mountain snow water equivalent improves estimates of available meltwater and benefits the water resource management community. In this paper we present the first integration of lidar-derived distributed snow depth data into a physics-based snow model using direct insertion. Over four winter seasons (2013–2016) the National Aeronautics and Space Administration/Jet Propulsion Laboratory (NASA/JPL) Airborne Snow Observatory (ASO) performed near-weekly lidar surveys throughout the snowmelt season to measure snow depth at high resolution over the Tuolumne River Basin above Hetch Hetchy Reservoir in the Sierra Nevada Mountains of California. The modeling component of the ASO program implements the iSnobal model to estimate snow density for converting measured depths to snow water equivalent and to provide temporally complete snow cover mass and thermal states between flights. Over the four years considered in this study, snow depths from 36 individual lidar flights were directly inserted into the model to provide updates of snow depth and distribution. Considering all updates to the model, the correlation between ASO depths and modeled depths with and without previous updates was on average r2 = 0.899 (root-mean-square error = 12.5 cm) and r2 = 0.162 (root-mean-square error = 41.5 cm), respectively. The precise definition of the snow depth distribution integrated with the iSnobal model demonstrates how the ASO program represents a new paradigm for the measurement and modeling of mountain snowpacks and reveals the potential benefits for managing water in the region

Hydrological cycle during droughts: large-scale analyses for process understanding and modelling

Droughts strongly affect the environment and human activities with long-term and far-reaching impacts that will increase in the next decades under global changes. Thus, we need an in-depth understanding of drought processes and their robust modelling to cope with drought risk. For hydrologists, recurring challenges include predicting the impacts of precipitation (P) deficits in the form of soil moisture, streamflow (Q), or groundwater deficits. Water stored in catchments and evapotranspiration (ET) regulate drought evolution, that is the propagation of P deficits through the hydrological cycle and the subsequent recovery. Yet, analyses explicitly considering the joint contribution of storage and ET to drought evolution across different hydroclimatic regimes are rare. Furthermore, many hydrological models poorly simulate Q during droughts, but previous studies have rarely assessed model performances during droughts in multi-variable and spatially-distributed evaluations. This PhD thesis aimed to answer two main research questions: (i) do storage changes and ET affect drought evolution across climates and landscapes?; (ii) does a distributed hydrological model properly represent Q, ET, and storage during droughts? I performed a large-sample data-based analysis of Q, ET, and changes in the subsurface storage (in soil and groundwater) over the period 2010-2019 for 102 Italian catchments to answer the first question. To address the second question, I evaluated Q, ET, and storage simulations from the process-based distributed hydrological model Continuum over the Po river basin (northern Italy) during recent droughts, including the severe 2022 event. From the large-sample data-based analysis, I found that annual subsurface storage changes represented on average 11% of annual P across the study catchments, and mostly buffered Q deficits during drought years and their recovery. ET, instead, both buffered and aggravated Q deficits, and it had a decoupled response to P. These results revealed the prominent role of subsurface storage in driving the evolution of annual droughts. From model evaluation, I showed worse model performances in simulating Q for severe than for moderate droughts (mean KGE across the 38 study sub-catchments = 0.55±0.25 during moderate droughts and 0.18±0.69 in 2022) and I linked them to a degraded simulation of ET, rather than storage, especially in the human-affected croplands (mean r = -0.03 and nRMSE = 1.8 across the croplands in 2022). By calibrating the model during a moderate drought, I showed similar model performances during the severe event (mean KGE = 0.18±0.63), which further point to specific human-water processes during this event. Therefore, I delineated possible ways forward for model improvement during severe droughts, such as an enhanced consideration of human interference, especially in ET. The findings of the thesis provided a consistent picture of the different role ET and storage have in drought evolution and in our modelling capabilities, coherently with recent literature, also on multi-year droughts. Moreover, these results emphasized the need for a holistic approach across the hydrological cycle for process understanding and model evaluation during droughts, with the ultimate goal of improving drought modelling for water resources management, disaster risk reduction, and climate change impact assessments

Climate change and mountain water resources: overview and recommendations for research, management and policy

Mountains are essential sources of freshwater for our world, but their role in global water resources could well be significantly altered by climate change. How well do we understand these potential changes today, and what are implications for water resources management, climate change adaptation, and evolving water policy? To answer above questions, we have examined 11 case study regions with the goal of providing a global overview, identifying research gaps and formulating recommendations for research, management and policy. <br><br> After setting the scene regarding water stress, water management capacity and scientific capacity in our case study regions, we examine the state of knowledge in water resources from a highland-lowland viewpoint, focusing on mountain areas on the one hand and the adjacent lowland areas on the other hand. Based on this review, research priorities are identified, including precipitation, snow water equivalent, soil parameters, evapotranspiration and sublimation, groundwater as well as enhanced warming and feedback mechanisms. In addition, the importance of environmental monitoring at high altitudes is highlighted. We then make recommendations how advancements in the management of mountain water resources under climate change could be achieved in the fields of research, water resources management and policy as well as through better interaction between these fields. <br><br> We conclude that effective management of mountain water resources urgently requires more detailed regional studies and more reliable scenario projections, and that research on mountain water resources must become more integrative by linking relevant disciplines. In addition, the knowledge exchange between managers and researchers must be improved and oriented towards long-term continuous interaction