Economic Integration in East Asia: Trends, Prospects, and a Possible Roadmap

This paper, which is a revised version of the ADB Working Paper on Regional Economic Integration No. 2, reviews trends in East Asian regionalism in the areas of trade and investment, money and finance, and infrastructure. It finds that trade and, to a lesser extent, financial integration is starting to increase in the region. It also finds that business cycles are starting to be more synchronized, enhancing the case for further monetary integration among these countries. The paper also outlines a roadmap for East Asian integration.

A scheme for cancelling intercarrier interference using conjugate transmission in multicarrier communication systems

To mitigate intercarrier interference (ICI), a two-path algorithm is developed for multicarrier communication systems, including orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) systems. The first path employs the regular OFDM algorithm. The second path uses the conjugate transmission of the first path. The combination of both paths forms a conjugate ICI cancellation scheme at the receiver. This conjugate cancellation (CC) scheme provides (1) a high signal to interference power ratio (SIR) in the presence of small frequency offsets (50 dB and 33 dB higher than that of the regular OFDM and linear self-cancellation algorithms [1], [2], respectively, at ΔfT = 0.1% of subcarrier frequency spacing); (2) better bit error rate (BER) performance in both additive white Gaussian noise (AWGN) and fading channels; (3) backward compatibility with the existing OFDM system; (4) no channel equalization is needed for reducing ICI, a simple low cost receiver without increasing system complexity. Although the two-path transmission reduces bandwidth efficiency, the disadvantage can be balanced by increasing signal alphabet sizes

Accounting for Exchange Rate Variability in Present-Value Models When the Discount Factor is Near One

Nominal exchange rates in low-inflation advanced countries are nearly random walks. Engel and West (2003a) offer an explanation for this in the context of models in which the exchange rate is determined as the discounted sum of current and expected future fundamentals. Engel and West show that if the fundamentals are I(1), then as the discount factor approaches one, the exchange rate becomes indistinguishable from a random walk. An alternative explanation for the random-walk behavior of exchange rates is that there are some unobserved variables that drive exchange rates that follow near random walks. This paper takes the approach that both explanations are possible. We are able to measure how much of exchange-rate variation could be accounted for by the Engel-West explanation, despite the fact that we do not observe the information set of financial markets. We find that the observable fundamentals (money, income, prices, interest rates) may account for about 40 percent of the variance of changes in exchange rates under the assumption of discount factors near unity.