The Promise of Preschool in Africa: A Randomized Impact Evaluation of Early Childhood Development in Rural Mozambique

This report presents initial results of a community based preschool program implemented by Save the Children in the Gaza Province of Mozambiqu

New topic detection in microblogs and topic model evaluation using topical alignment

textThis thesis deals with topic model evaluation and new topic detection in microblogs. Microblogs are short and thus may not carry any contextual clues. Hence it becomes challenging to apply traditional natural language processing algorithms on such data. Graphical models have been traditionally used for topic discovery and text clustering on sets of text-based documents. Their unsupervised nature allows topic models to be trained easily on datasets meant for specific domains. However the advantage of not requiring annotated data comes with a drawback with respect to evaluation difficulties. The problem aggravates when the data comprises microblogs which are unstructured and noisy. We demonstrate the application of three types of such models to microblogs - the Latent Dirichlet Allocation, the Author-Topic and the Author-Recipient-Topic model. We extensively evaluate these models under different settings, and our results show that the Author-Recipient-Topic model extracts the most coherent topics. We also addressed the problem of topic modeling on short text by using clustering techniques. This technique helps in boosting the performance of our models. Topical alignment is used for large scale assessment of topical relevance by comparing topics to manually generated domain specific concepts. In this thesis we use this idea to evaluate topic models by measuring misalignments between topics. Our study on comparing topic models reveals interesting traits about Twitter messages, users and their interactions and establishes that joint modeling on author-recipient pairs and on the content of tweet leads to qualitatively better topic discovery. This thesis gives a new direction to the well known problem of topic discovery in microblogs. Trend prediction or topic discovery for microblogs is an extensive research area. We propose the idea of using topical alignment to detect new topics by comparing topics from the current week to those of the previous week. We measure correspondence between a set of topics from the current week and a set of topics from the previous week to quantify five types of misalignments: \textit{junk, fused, missing} and \textit{repeated}. Our analysis compares three types of topic models under different settings and demonstrates how our framework can detect new topics from topical misalignments. In particular so-called \textit{junk} topics are more likely to be new topics and the \textit{missing} topics are likely to have died or die out. To get more insights into the nature of microblogs we apply topical alignment to hashtags. Comparing topics to hashtags enables us to make interesting inferences about Twitter messages and their content. Our study revealed that although a very small proportion of Twitter messages explicitly contain hashtags, the proportion of tweets that discuss topics related to hashtags is much higher.Computer Science

Optimizing expected word error rate via sampling for speech recognition

State-level minimum Bayes risk (sMBR) training has become the de facto standard for sequence-level training of speech recognition acoustic models. It has an elegant formulation using the expectation semiring, and gives large improvements in word error rate (WER) over models trained solely using cross-entropy (CE) or connectionist temporal classification (CTC). sMBR training optimizes the expected number of frames at which the reference and hypothesized acoustic states differ. It may be preferable to optimize the expected WER, but WER does not interact well with the expectation semiring, and previous approaches based on computing expected WER exactly involve expanding the lattices used during training. In this paper we show how to perform optimization of the expected WER by sampling paths from the lattices used during conventional sMBR training. The gradient of the expected WER is itself an expectation, and so may be approximated using Monte Carlo sampling. We show experimentally that optimizing WER during acoustic model training gives 5% relative improvement in WER over a well-tuned sMBR baseline on a 2-channel query recognition task (Google Home)

Ground states of dipolar gases in quasi-1D ring traps

We compute the ground state of dipoles in a quasi-one-dimensional ring trap using few-body techniques combined with analytic arguments. The effective interaction between two dipoles depends on their center-of-mass coordinate and can be tuned by varying the angle between dipoles and the plane of the ring. For weak enough interactions, the state resembles a weakly interacting Fermi gas or an (inhomogeneous) Lieb-Liniger gas. A mapping between the Lieb-Liniger and the dipolar-gas parameters in and beyond the Born approximation is established, and we discuss the effect of inhomogeneities based on a local-density approximation. For strongly repulsive interactions, the system exhibits crystal-like localization of the particles. Their inhomogeneous distribution may be understood in terms of a simple few-body model as well as a local-density approximation. In the case of partially attractive interactions, clustered states form for strong enough coupling, and the dependence of the state on particle number and orientation angle of the dipoles is discussed analytically.Comment: 15 pages, 10 figure

Algebraic moment closure for population dynamics on discrete structures

Moment closure on general discrete structures often requires one of the following: (i) an absence of short closed loops (zero clustering); (ii) existence of a spatial scale; (iii) ad hoc assumptions. Algebraic methods are presented to avoid the use of such assumptions for populations based on clumps, and are applied to both SIR and macroparasite disease dynamics. One approach involves a series of approximations that can be derived systematically, and another is exact and based on Lie algebraic methods.Comment: 12 pages, 4 figure