A Multi-Gene Genetic Programming Application for Predicting Students Failure at School

Several efforts to predict student failure rate (SFR) at school accurately still remains a core problem area faced by many in the educational sector. The procedure for forecasting SFR are rigid and most often times require data scaling or conversion into binary form such as is the case of the logistic model which may lead to lose of information and effect size attenuation. Also, the high number of factors, incomplete and unbalanced dataset, and black boxing issues as in Artificial Neural Networks and Fuzzy logic systems exposes the need for more efficient tools. Currently the application of Genetic Programming (GP) holds great promises and has produced tremendous positive results in different sectors. In this regard, this study developed GPSFARPS, a software application to provide a robust solution to the prediction of SFR using an evolutionary algorithm known as multi-gene genetic programming. The approach is validated by feeding a testing data set to the evolved GP models. Result obtained from GPSFARPS simulations show its unique ability to evolve a suitable failure rate expression with a fast convergence at 30 generations from a maximum specified generation of 500. The multi-gene system was also able to minimize the evolved model expression and accurately predict student failure rate using a subset of the original expressionComment: 14 pages, 9 figures, Journal paper. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1403.0623 by other author

Theoretical Interpretations and Applications of Radial Basis Function Networks

Medical applications usually used Radial Basis Function Networks just as Artificial Neural Networks. However, RBFNs are Knowledge-Based Networks that can be interpreted in several way: Artificial Neural Networks, Regularization Networks, Support Vector Machines, Wavelet Networks, Fuzzy Controllers, Kernel Estimators, Instanced-Based Learners. A survey of their interpretations and of their corresponding learning algorithms is provided as well as a brief survey on dynamic learning algorithms. RBFNs' interpretations can suggest applications that are particularly interesting in medical domains

Energy performance forecasting of residential buildings using fuzzy approaches

The energy consumption used for domestic purposes in Europe is, to a considerable extent, due to heating and cooling. This energy is produced mostly by burning fossil fuels, which has a high negative environmental impact. The characteristics of a building are an important factor to determine the necessities of heating and cooling loads. Therefore, the study of the relevant characteristics of the buildings, regarding the heating and cooling needed to maintain comfortable indoor air conditions, could be very useful in order to design and construct energy-efficient buildings. In previous studies, different machine-learning approaches have been used to predict heating and cooling loads from the set of variables: relative compactness, surface area, wall area, roof area, overall height, orientation, glazing area and glazing area distribution. However, none of these methods are based on fuzzy logic. In this research, we study two fuzzy logic approaches, i.e., fuzzy inductive reasoning (FIR) and adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), to deal with the same problem. Fuzzy approaches obtain very good results, outperforming all the methods described in previous studies except one. In this work, we also study the feature selection process of FIR methodology as a pre-processing tool to select the more relevant variables before the use of any predictive modelling methodology. It is proven that FIR feature selection provides interesting insights into the main building variables causally related to heating and cooling loads. This allows better decision making and design strategies, since accurate cooling and heating load estimations and correct identification of parameters that affect building energy demands are of high importance to optimize building designs and equipment specifications.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version

Use of Evolutionary Polynomial Regression (EPR) for Prediction of Total Sediment Load of Malaysian Rivers

This study investigates the use of Evolutionary Polynomial Regression (EPR) for predicting the total sediment load of Malaysian rivers. EPR is a data-driven modelling hybrid technique, based on evolutionary computing, that has been recently used successfully in solving many problems in civil engineering. In order to apply the method for modelling the total sediment of Malaysian rivers, an extensive database obtained from the Department of Irrigation and Drainage (DID),Ministry of Natural Resources & Environment, Malaysia was sought, and unrestricted access was granted. A robustness study was performed in order to confirm the generalisation ability of the developed EPR model, and a sensitivity analysis was also conducted to determine the relative importance of model inputs. The results obtained from the EPR model were compared with those obtained from six other available sediment load prediction models. The performance of the EPR model demonstrates its predictive capability and generalisation ability to solve highly nonlinear problems of river engineering applications, such as sediment. Moreover, the EPR model produced reasonably improved results compared to those obtained from the other available sediment load methods

International conference on software engineering and knowledge engineering: Session chair

The Thirtieth International Conference on Software Engineering and Knowledge Engineering (SEKE 2018) will be held at the Hotel Pullman, San Francisco Bay, USA, from July 1 to July 3, 2018. SEKE2018 will also be dedicated in memory of Professor Lofti Zadeh, a great scholar, pioneer and leader in fuzzy sets theory and soft computing. The conference aims at bringing together experts in software engineering and knowledge engineering to discuss on relevant results in either software engineering or knowledge engineering or both. Special emphasis will be put on the transference of methods between both domains. The theme this year is soft computing in software engineering & knowledge engineering. Submission of papers and demos are both welcome

Architectural designs of Echo State Network

It investigates systematically the reservoir construction of Echo State Network (ESN). This thesis proposes two very simple deterministic ESN organisation (Simple Cycle reservoir (SCR) and Cycle Reservoir with Jumps (CRJ). Simple Cycle reservoir (SCR) is sufficient to obtain performances comparable to those of the classical ESN. While Cycle Reservoir with Jumps (CRJ) significantly outperform the those of the classical ESN. This thesis also studies and discusses three reservoir characterisations - short-term memory capacity (MC), eigen-spectrum of the reservoir weight matrix and Lyapunov Exponent with their relation to the ESN performance. It also designs and utilises an ensemble of ESNs with diverse reservoirs whose collective readout is obtained through Negative Correlation Learning (NCL) of ensemble of Multi-Layer Perceptrons (MLP), where each individual MPL realises the readout from a single ESN. Finally, this thesis investigates the relation between two quantitative measures characterising short term memory in input driven dynamical systems, namely the short term memory capacity (MC), and the Fisher memory curve (FMC)