Wind Power Forecasting Methods Based on Deep Learning: A Survey

Accurate wind power forecasting in wind farm can effectively reduce the enormous impact on grid operation safety when high permeability intermittent power supply is connected to the power grid. Aiming to provide reference strategies for relevant researchers as well as practical applications, this paper attempts to provide the literature investigation and methods analysis of deep learning, enforcement learning and transfer learning in wind speed and wind power forecasting modeling. Usually, wind speed and wind power forecasting around a wind farm requires the calculation of the next moment of the definite state, which is usually achieved based on the state of the atmosphere that encompasses nearby atmospheric pressure, temperature, roughness, and obstacles. As an effective method of high-dimensional feature extraction, deep neural network can theoretically deal with arbitrary nonlinear transformation through proper structural design, such as adding noise to outputs, evolutionary learning used to optimize hidden layer weights, optimize the objective function so as to save information that can improve the output accuracy while filter out the irrelevant or less affected information for forecasting. The establishment of high-precision wind speed and wind power forecasting models is always a challenge due to the randomness, instantaneity and seasonal characteristics

A hybrid data driven framework considering feature extraction for battery state of health estimation and remaining useful life prediction.

Battery life prediction is of great significance to the safe operation, and the maintenance costs are reduced. This paper proposed a hybrid framework considering feature extraction to solve the problem of data backward, large sample data and uneven distribution of high-dimensional feature space, then to achieve a more accurate and stable prediction performance. By feature extraction, the measured data can be directly fed into the life prediction model. The hybrid framework combines variational mode decomposition, the multi-kernel support vector regression model and the improved sparrow search algorithm. Better parameters of the estimation model are obtained by introducing elite chaotic opposition-learning strategy and adaptive weights to optimize the sparrow search algorithm. The comparison is conducted by dataset from National Aeronautics and Space Administration, which shows that the proposed framework has a more accurate and stable prediction performance

On dimension reduction in Gaussian filters

A priori dimension reduction is a widely adopted technique for reducing the computational complexity of stationary inverse problems. In this setting, the solution of an inverse problem is parameterized by a low-dimensional basis that is often obtained from the truncated Karhunen-Loeve expansion of the prior distribution. For high-dimensional inverse problems equipped with smoothing priors, this technique can lead to drastic reductions in parameter dimension and significant computational savings. In this paper, we extend the concept of a priori dimension reduction to non-stationary inverse problems, in which the goal is to sequentially infer the state of a dynamical system. Our approach proceeds in an offline-online fashion. We first identify a low-dimensional subspace in the state space before solving the inverse problem (the offline phase), using either the method of "snapshots" or regularized covariance estimation. Then this subspace is used to reduce the computational complexity of various filtering algorithms - including the Kalman filter, extended Kalman filter, and ensemble Kalman filter - within a novel subspace-constrained Bayesian prediction-and-update procedure (the online phase). We demonstrate the performance of our new dimension reduction approach on various numerical examples. In some test cases, our approach reduces the dimensionality of the original problem by orders of magnitude and yields up to two orders of magnitude in computational savings

Analyzing sparse dictionaries for online learning with kernels

Many signal processing and machine learning methods share essentially the same linear-in-the-parameter model, with as many parameters as available samples as in kernel-based machines. Sparse approximation is essential in many disciplines, with new challenges emerging in online learning with kernels. To this end, several sparsity measures have been proposed in the literature to quantify sparse dictionaries and constructing relevant ones, the most prolific ones being the distance, the approximation, the coherence and the Babel measures. In this paper, we analyze sparse dictionaries based on these measures. By conducting an eigenvalue analysis, we show that these sparsity measures share many properties, including the linear independence condition and inducing a well-posed optimization problem. Furthermore, we prove that there exists a quasi-isometry between the parameter (i.e., dual) space and the dictionary's induced feature space.Comment: 10 page

Quaternion Information Theoretic Learning Adaptive Algorithms for Nonlinear Adaptive

Information Theoretic Learning (ITL) is gaining popularity for designing adaptive filters for a non-stationary or non-Gaussian environment [1] [2] . ITL cost functions such as the Minimum Error Entropy (MEE) have been applied to both linear and nonlinear adaptive filtering with better overall performance compared with the typical mean squared error (MSE) and least-squares type adaptive filtering, especially for nonlinear systems in higher-order statistic noise environments [3]. Quaternion valued data processing is beneficial in applications such as robotics and image processing, particularly for performing transformations in 3-dimensional space. Particularly the benefit for quaternion valued processing includes performing data transformations in a 3 or 4-dimensional space in a more convenient fashion than using vector algebra [4, 5, 6, 7, 8]. Adaptive filtering in quaterion domain operates intrinsically based on the augmented statistics which the quaternion input vector covariance is taken into account naturally and as a result it incorporates component-wise real valued cross-correlation or the coupling within the dimensions of the quaternion input [9]. The generalized Hamilton-real calculus (GHR) for the quaternion data simplified product and chain rules and allows us to calculate the gradient and Hessian of quaternion based cost function of the learning algorithms eciently [10][11] . The quaternion reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces and its uniqueness provide a mathematical foundation to develop the quaternion value kernel learning algorithms [12]. The reproducing property of the feature space replace the inner product of feature samples with kernel evaluation. In this dissertation, we first propose a kernel adaptive filter for quaternion data based on minimum error entropy cost function. The new algorithm is based on error entropy function and is referred to as the quaternion kernel minimum error entropy (QKMEE) algorithm [13]. We apply generalized Hamilton-real (GHR) calculus that is applicable to quaternion Hilbert space for evaluating the cost function gradient to develop the QKMEE algorithm. The minimum error entropy (MEE) algorithm [3, 14, 15] minimizes Renyis quadratic entropy of the error between the lter output and desired response or indirectly maximizing the error information potential. ITL methodology improves the performance of adaptive algorithm in biased or non-Gaussian signals and noise enviorments compared to the mean squared error (MSE) criterion algorithms such as the kernel least mean square algorithm. Second, we develop a kernel adaptive filter for quaternion data based on normalized minimum error entropy cost function [14]. We apply generalized Hamilton-real GHR) calculus that is applicable to Hilbert space for evaluating the cost function gradient to develop the quaternion kernel normalized minimum error entropy (QKNMEE) algorithm [16]. The new proposed algorithm enhanced QKMEE algorithm where the filter update stepsize selection will be independent of the input power and the kernel size. Third, we develop a kernel adaptive lter for quaternion domain data, based on information theoretic learning cost function which could be useful for quaternion based kernel applications of nonlinear filtering. The new algorithm is based on error entropy function with fiducial point and is referred to as the quaternion kernel minimum error entropy with fiducial point (QKMEEF) algorithm [17]. In our previous work we developed quaternion kernel adaptive lter based on minimum error entropy referred to as the QKMEE algorithm [13]. Since entropy does not change with the mean of the distribution, the algorithm may converge to a set of optimal weights without having zero mean error. Traditionally, to make the zero mean output error, the output during testing session was biased with the mean of errors of training session. However, for non-symmetric or heavy tails error PDF the estimation of error mean is problematic [18]. The minimum error entropy criterion, minimizes Renyi\u27s quadratic entropy of the error between the filter output and desired response or indirectly maximizing the error information potential [19]. Here, the approach is applied to quaternions. Adaptive filtering in quaterion domain intrinsically incorporates component-wise real valued cross-correlation or the coupling within the dimensions of the quaternion input. We apply generalized Hamilton-real (GHR) calculus that is applicable to Hilbert space for evaluating the cost function gradient to develop the Quaternion Minimum Error Entropy Algorithm with Fiducial point. Simulation results are used to show the behavior of the new algorithm (QKMEEF) when signal is non-Gaussian in presence of unimodal noise versus bi-modal noise distributions. Simulation results also show that the new algorithm QKMEEF can track and predict the 4-Dimensional non-stationary process signals where there are correlations between components better than quadruple real-valued KMEEF and Quat-KLMS algorithms. Fourth, we develop a kernel adaptive filter for quaternion data, using stochastic information gradient (SIG) cost function based on the information theoretic learning (ITL) approach. The new algorithm (QKSIG) is useful for quaternion-based kernel applications of nonlinear ltering [20]. Adaptive filtering in quaterion domain intrinsically incorporates component-wise real valued cross-correlation or the coupling within the dimensions of the quaternion input. We apply generalized Hamilton-real (GHR) calculus that is applicable to quaternion Hilbert space for evaluating the cost function gradient. The QKSIG algorithm minimizes Shannon\u27s entropy of the error between the filter output and desired response and minimizes the divergence between the joint densities of input-desired and input-output pairs. The SIG technique reduces the computational complexity of the error entropy estimation. Here, ITL with SIG approach is applied to quaternion adaptive filtering for three different reasons. First, it reduces the algorithm computational complexity compared to our previous work quaternion kernel minimum error entropy algorithm (QKMEE). Second, it improves the filtering performance by considering the coupling within the dimensions of the quaternion input. Third, it performs better in biased or non-Gaussian signal and noise environments due to ITL approach. We present convergence analysis and steady-state performance analysis results of the new algorithm (QKSIG). Simulation results are used to show the behavior of the new algorithm QKSIG in quaternion non-Gaussian signal and noise environments compared to the existing ones such as quadruple real-valued kernel stochastic information gradient (KSIG) and quaternion kernel LMS (QKLMS) algorithms. Fifth, we develop a kernel adaptive filter for quaternion data, based on stochastic information gradient (SIG) cost function with self adjusting step-size. The new algorithm (QKSIG-SAS) is based on the information theoretic learning (ITL) approach. The new algorithm (QKSIG-SAS) has faster speed of convergence as compared to our previous work QKSIG algorithm