74 research outputs found
The Applicability of Bipartite Graph Model for Thunderstorms Forecast over Kolkata
Single Spectrum Bipartite Graph (SSBG) model is developed to forecast thunderstorms over Kolkata (22∘32′N, 88∘20′E) during the premonsoon season (April-May). The statistical distribution of normal probability is observed for temperature, relative humidity, convective available potential energy (CAPE), and convective inhibition energy (CIN) to quantify the threshold values of the parameters for the prevalence of thunderstorms. Method of conditional probability is implemented to ascertain the possibilities of the occurrence of thunderstorms within the ranges of the threshold values. The single spectrum bipartite graph connectivity model developed in this study consists of two sets of vertices; one set includes two time vertices (00UTC, 12UTC) and the other includes four meteorological parameters: temperature, relative humidity, CAPE, and CIN. Three distinct ranges of maximal eigen values are obtained for the three categories of thunderstorms. Maximal eigenvalues for severe, ordinary, and no thunderstorm events are observed to be (2.6±0.12), (1.88±0.09), and (1.26±.03), respectively. The ranges of the threshold values obtained using ten year data (1997–2006) are considered as the reference range and the result is validated with the IMD (India Meteorological Department) observation, Doppler Weather Radar (DWR) Products, and satellite images of 2007. The result reveals that the model provides 12- to 6-hour forecast (nowcasting) of thunderstorms with 96% to 98% accuracy
Modern Climatology - Full Text
Climatology, the study of climate, is no longer regarded as a single discipline that treats climate as something that fluctuates only within the unchanging boundaries described by historical statistics. The field has recognized that climate is something that changes continually under the influence of physical and biological forces and so, cannot be understood in isolation but rather, is one that includes diverse scientific disciplines that play their role in understanding a highly complex coupled “whole system” that is the Earth’s climate. The modern era of climatology is echoed in this book. On the one hand it offers a broad synoptic perspective but also considers the regional standpoint as it is this that affects what people need from climatology, albeit water resource managers or engineers etc. Aspects on the topic of climate change – what is often considered a contradiction in terms – is also addressed. It is all too evident these days that what recent work in climatology has revealed carries profound implications for economic and social policy; it is with these in mind that the final chapters consider acumens as to the application of what has been learned to date. This book is divided into four sections that cover sub-disciplines in climatology. The first section contains four chapters that pertain to synoptic climatology, i.e., the study of weather disturbances including hurricanes, monsoon depressions, synoptic waves, and severe thunderstorms; these weather systems directly impact humanity. The second section on regional climatology has four chapters that describe the climate features within physiographically defined areas. The third section is on climate change which involves both past (paleoclimate) and future climate: The first two chapters cover certain facets of paleoclimate while the third is centered towards the signals (observed or otherwise) of climate change. The fourth and final section broaches the sub-discipline that is often referred to as applied climatology; this represents the important goal of all studies in climatology–one that affects modes of living. Here, three chapters are devoted towards the application of climatological research that might have useful application for operational purposes in industrial, manufacturing, agricultural, technological and environmental affairs.
Please click here to explore the components of this work.https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/modern_climatology/1014/thumbnail.jp
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Simulating organization of convective cloud fields and interactions with the surface
The mesoscale organization and structure of convective clouds is thought to be rooted in the thermodynamic properties of the atmosphere and in the turbulent to mesoscale dynamics of the flow. Such structure may contribute to the transition between shallow and deep convection. The thermodynamic state of the boundary layer is forced by the amount of surface fluxes from below. Conversely, landscape patterns and land-cover heterogeneity may equally give rise to focused regions for deep convection triggering, in particular when patch sizes exceed 10 km. Since the convective boundary layer has a mediating function between the surface and deep storm clouds, the connection between surface and upper atmosphere is not straightforward. It is generally believed to involve local erosion of the capping inversion layer, the build-up of a moist energy supply, gradual humidification of the lower-free troposphere that reduces dry air entrainment into burgeoning deeper clouds, and thermal mesoscale circulations that can generate moisture convergence and locally forced ascent. To what extent microscale realistic surface heterogeneity and an interactive surface response matter to shallow and deep convection and its organization remains an open question.
In this dissertation, we describe the coupling of a physiology-based vegetation model (HYBRID) and of a sea surface flux algorithm (COARE) to the cloud-resolving Active Tracer High-resolution Atmospheric Model (ATHAM). We investigate the full diurnal cycle of convection based on the example of the Hector storm over Tiwi Islands, notably the well-characterized event on 30th November 2005. The model performs well in terms of timing and cloud dynamics in comparison to a range of available observations. Also, ATHAM-HYBRID seems to do well in terms of flux partitioning. Whilst awaiting more thorough flux validation, we remain confident that the interactive surface response of both HYBRID and COARE is suited for the purpose of simulating convective-scale processes.
We find the storm system evolution in 3D simulations to be robust with respect to differences in surface configuration and initialization. Within our 3D sensitivity runs, we could not identify a strong dependence on either realistic surface heterogeneity in the island landscape or on the interactive surface response. We conclude that in our case study at least, atmospheric (turbulent) dynamics likely dominate over surface heterogeneity effects, provided that the bulk magnitude of the surface energy fluxes, and their partitioning into sensible and latent heat (Bowen ratio), remain unaltered. This is consistent with 2D sensitivity studies, where we find model grid-spacing and momentum diffusion, governing the dynamics, to have an important influence on the overall evolution of deep convection. Fine grid-spacing is necessary, as the median width of updraught cores mostly does not exceed 1000 m. We associate this influence with the dry air entrainment rate in the wake of rising parcels, and with how resolution and diffusion act on coherent structures in the flow. In 2D sensitivity studies with differences in realistic heterogeneities of surface properties, we find little evidence for a clear deterministic influence of these properties on the transition between shallow and deep convection, in spite of largely different storm evolutions across the various runs. In these runs, we tentatively ascribe triggering to stochastic features in the flow, without discarding the relevance of convergence lines produced by mesoscale density currents, such as the sea breeze and cold pool storm outflows.This research has been funded through the Fonds National de la Recherche (FNR), Luxembourg, under the grant BFR07-089, and supported by the Luxembourgish Ministry for Higher Education and Research through CEDIES, by the Cambridge European Trust (CET) and the National Environment Research Council (NERC), UK, as well as by Prof. Hans-F. Graf
Proceedings Of The 18th Annual Meeting Of The Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (Aogs 2021)
The 18th Annual Meeting of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS 2021) was held from 1st to 6th August 2021. This proceedings volume includes selected extended abstracts from a challenging array of presentations at this conference. The AOGS Annual Meeting is a leading venue for professional interaction among researchers and practitioners, covering diverse disciplines of geosciences
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Synthesis and Assessment Product
This document is part of the Synthesis and Assessment Products described in the U.S. Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) Strategic Plan. Changes in extreme weather and climate events have significant impacts and are among the most serious challenges to society in coping with a changing climate. This Synthesis and Assessment Product (SAP 3.3) focuses on weather and climate extremes in a changing climate. Many extremes and their associated impacts are now changing. For example, in recent decades most of North America has been experiencing more unusually hot days and nights, fewer unusually cold days and nights, and fewer frost days. Heavy downpours have become more frequent and intense. Droughts are becoming more severe in some regions, though there are no clear trends for North America as a whole. The power and frequency of Atlantic hurricanes have increased substantially in recent decades, though North American mainland land-falling hurricanes do not appear to have increased over the past century. Outside the tropics, storm tracks are shifting northward and the strongest storms are becoming even stronger. It is well established through formal attribution studies that the global warming of the past 50 years is due primarily to human-induced increases in heat-trapping gases. Such studies have only recently been used to determine the causes of some changes in extremes at the scale of a continent. Certain aspects of observed increases in temperature extremes have been linked to human influences. The increase in heavy precipitation events is associated with an increase in water vapor, and the latter has been attributed to human-induced warming. No formal attribution studies for changes in drought severity in North America have been attempted. There is evidence suggesting a human contribution to recent changes in hurricane activity as well as in storms outside the tropics, though a confident assessment will require further study
Electromagnetic Radiation
The application of electromagnetic radiation in modern life is one of the most developing technologies. In this timely book, the authors comprehensively treat two integrated aspects of electromagnetic radiation, theory and application. It covers a wide scope of practical topics, including medical treatment, telecommunication systems, and radiation effects. The book sections have clear presentation, some state of the art examples, which makes this book an indispensable reference book for electromagnetic radiation applications
CIRA annual report FY 2016/2017
Reporting period April 1, 2016-March 31, 2017
Research and technology, 1993. Salute to Skylab and Spacelab: Two decades of discovery
A summary description of Skylab and Spacelab is presented. The section on Advanced Studies includes projects in space science, space systems, commercial use of space, and transportation systems. Within the Research Programs area, programs are listed under earth systems science, space physics, astrophysics, and microgravity science and applications. Technology Programs include avionics, materials and manufacturing processes, mission operations, propellant and fluid management, structures and dynamics, and systems analysis and integration. Technology transfer opportunities and success are briefly described. A glossary of abbreviations and acronyms is appended as is a list of contract personnel within the program areas
Analysis of the rainfall variability in the subtropical North Atlantic region: Bermuda, Canary Island, Madeira and Azores
Tesis presentada en la Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Programa de doctorado Física Fundamental y Aplicada. Departamento de Física[EN] This study presents an analysis of the rainfall in the subtropical North Atlantic region, proceeding as a reference the archipelagos of Bermuda, Canary Islands, Madeira and Azores. The spatial and seasonal variability and the annual cycle of the rainfall, on
the basis of daily rainfall data records in the past decades with particular emphasis on the normal period 1981-2010, have been the main focus of this work. Particular importance has been given to the annual pattern, due to its crucial role in freshwater resources
management.[ES] Este estudio presenta un análisis de la precipitación en la región subtropical del Atlántico Norte, tomando como referencia los archipiélagos de Bermudas, Canarias, Madeira y Azores. La variabilidad espacial y estacional, así como el ciclo anual de la
lluvia en las pasadas décadas con particular énfasis en el periodo normal 1981-2010 han supuesto el centro de atención del mismo. Particular énfasis se ha dado también a la tendencia anual debido al papel crucial que tiene en la gestión de los recursos hídricos
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