Cardinality Constrained Robust Optimization Applied to a Class of Interval Observers

Observers are used in the monitoring and control of dynamical systems to deduce the values of unmeasured states. Designing an observer requires having an accurate model of the plant — if the model parameters are characterized imprecisely, the observer may not provide reliable estimates. An interval observer, which comprises an upper and lower observer, bounds the plant's states from above and below, given the range of values of the imprecisely characterized parameters, i.e., it defines an interval in which the plant's states must lie at any given instant. We propose a linear programming-based method of interval observer design for two cases: 1) only the initial conditions of the plant are uncertain; 2) the dynamical parameters are also uncertain. In the former, we optimize the transient performance of the interval observers, in the sense that the volume enclosed by the interval is minimized. In the latter, we optimize the steady state performance of the interval observers, in the sense that the norm of the width of the interval is minimized at steady state. Interval observers are typically designed to characterize the widest interval that bounds the states. This thesis proposes an interval observer design method that utilizes additional, but still-incomplete information, that enables the designer to identify tighter bounds on the uncertain parameters under certain operating conditions. The number of bounds that can be refined defines a class of systems. The definition of this class is independent of the specific parameters whose bounds are refined. Applying robust optimization techniques, under a cardinality constrained model of uncertainty, we design a single observer for an entire class of systems. These observers guarantee a minimum level of performance with respect to the aforementioned metrics, as we optimize the worst-case performance over a given class of systems. The robust formulation allows the designer to tune the level of uncertainty in the model. If many of the uncertain parameter bounds can be refined, the nominal performance of the observer can be improved, however, if few or none of the parameter bounds can be refined, the nominal performance of the observer can be designed to be more conservative

Applications of information theory in filtering and sensor management

“A classical sensor tasking methodology is analyzed in the context of generating sensor schedules for monitoring resident space objects (RSOs). This approach, namely maximizing the expected Kullback-Leibler divergence in a measurement update, is evaluated from a probabilistic perspective to determine the accuracy of the conventional approach. In this investigation, a newdivergence-based approach is proposed to circumvent themyopic nature of the measure, forecasting the potential information contribution to a time of interest and leveraging the system dynamics and measurement model to do so. The forecasted objective exploits properties of a batch measurement update to frequently exhibit faster optimization times when compared to an accumulation of the conventional myopic employment. The forecasting approach additionally affords the ability to emphasize tracking performance at the point in time to which the information is mapped. The forecasted divergence is lifted into the multitarget domain and combined with a collision entropy objective. The addition of the collision consideration assists the tasking policy in avoiding scenarios in which determining the origin of a measurement is difficult, ameliorating issues when executing the sensor schedule. The properties of the divergencebased and collision entropy-based objectives are explored to determine appropriate optimization schemes that can enable their use in real-time application. It is demonstrated through a single-target tasking simulation that the forecasted measure successfully outperforms traditional approaches with regard to tracking performance at the forecasted time. This simulation is followed by a multitarget tasking scenario in which different optimization strategies are analyzed, illustrating the feasibility of the proposed tasking policy and evaluating the solution from both schedule quality and runtime perspectives”--Abstract, page iii

Probabilistic interval predictor based on dissimilarity functions

This work presents a new methodology to obtain probabilistic interval predictions of a dynamical system. The proposed strategy uses stored past system measurements to estimate the future evolution of the system. The method relies on the use of dissimilarity functions to estimate the conditional probability density function of the outputs. A family of empirical probability density functions, parameterized by means of two scalars, is introduced. It is shown that the proposed family encompasses the multivariable normal probability density function as a particular case. We show that the presented approach constitutes a generalization of classical estimation methods. A validation scheme is used to tune the two parameters on which the methodology relies. In order to prove the effectiveness of the presented methodology, some numerical examples and comparisons are provided.Comment: 10 pages, 3 figure

A Survey on Multisensor Fusion and Consensus Filtering for Sensor Networks

Multisensor fusion and consensus filtering are two fascinating subjects in the research of sensor networks. In this survey, we will cover both classic results and recent advances developed in these two topics. First, we recall some important results in the development ofmultisensor fusion technology. Particularly, we pay great attention to the fusion with unknown correlations, which ubiquitously exist in most of distributed filtering problems. Next, we give a systematic review on several widely used consensus filtering approaches. Furthermore, some latest progress on multisensor fusion and consensus filtering is also presented. Finally, conclusions are drawn and several potential future research directions are outlined.the Royal Society of the UK, the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grants 61329301, 61374039, 61304010, 11301118, and 61573246, the Hujiang Foundation of China under Grants C14002 and D15009, the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation of Germany, and the Innovation Fund Project for Graduate Student of Shanghai under Grant JWCXSL140

Nondeterministic hybrid dynamical systems

This thesis is concerned with the analysis, control and identification of hybrid dynamical systems. The main focus is on a particular class of hybrid systems consisting of linear subsystems. The discrete dynamic, i.e., the change between subsystems, is unknown or nondeterministic and cannot be influenced, i.e. controlled, directly. However changes in the discrete dynamic can be detected immediately, such that the current dynamic (subsystem) is known. In order to motivate the study of hybrid systems and show the merits of hybrid control theory, an example is given. It is shown that real world systems like Anti Locking Brakes (ABS) are naturally modelled by such a class of linear hybrids systems. It is shown that purely continuous feedback is not suitable since it cannot achieve maximum braking performance. A hybrid control strategy, which overcomes this problem, is presented. For this class of linear hybrid system with unknown discrete dynamic, a framework for robust control is established. The analysis methodology developed gives a robustness radius such that the stability under parameter variations can be analysed. The controller synthesis procedure is illustrated in a practical example where the control for an active suspension of a car is designed. Optimal control for this class of hybrid system is introduced. It is shows how a control law is obtained which minimises a quadratic performance index. The synthesis procedure is stated in terms of a convex optimisation problem using linear matrix inequalities (LMI). The solution of the LMI not only returns the controller but also the performance bound. Since the proposed controller structures require knowledge of the continuous state, an observer design is proposed. It is shown that the estimation error converges quadratically while minimising the covariance of the estimation error. This is similar to the Kalman filter for discrete or continuous time systems. Further, we show that the synthesis of the observer can be cast into an LMI, which conveniently solves the synthesis problem

Mean Estimation from One-Bit Measurements

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a symmetric log-concave distribution under the constraint that only a single bit per sample from this distribution is available to the estimator. We study the mean squared error as a function of the sample size (and hence the number of bits). We consider three settings: first, a centralized setting, where an encoder may release $n$ bits given a sample of size $n$, and for which there is no asymptotic penalty for quantization; second, an adaptive setting in which each bit is a function of the current observation and previously recorded bits, where we show that the optimal relative efficiency compared to the sample mean is precisely the efficiency of the median; lastly, we show that in a distributed setting where each bit is only a function of a local sample, no estimator can achieve optimal efficiency uniformly over the parameter space. We additionally complement our results in the adaptive setting by showing that \emph{one} round of adaptivity is sufficient to achieve optimal mean-square error