A critical review of online battery remaining useful lifetime prediction methods.

Lithium-ion batteries play an important role in our daily lives. The prediction of the remaining service life of lithium-ion batteries has become an important issue. This article reviews the methods for predicting the remaining service life of lithium-ion batteries from three aspects: machine learning, adaptive filtering, and random processes. The purpose of this study is to review, classify and compare different methods proposed in the literature to predict the remaining service life of lithium-ion batteries. This article first summarizes and classifies various methods for predicting the remaining service life of lithium-ion batteries that have been proposed in recent years. On this basis, by selecting specific criteria to evaluate and compare the accuracy of different models, find the most suitable method. Finally, summarize the development of various methods. According to the research in this article, the average accuracy of machine learning is 32.02% higher than the average of the other two methods, and the prediction cycle is 9.87% shorter than the average of the other two methods

A data-driven approach with uncertainty quantification for predicting future capacities and remaining useful life of lithium-ion battery

Predicting future capacities and remaining useful life (RUL) with uncertainty quantification is a key but challenging issue in the applications of battery health diagnosis and management. This paper applies advanced machine-learning techniques to achieve effective future capacities and RUL prediction for lithium-ion batteries with reliable uncertainty management. To be specific, after using the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method, the original battery capacity data is decomposed into some intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and a residual. Then the long short term memory (LSTM) sub-model is applied to estimate the residual while the gaussian process regression (GPR) sub-model is utilized to fit the IMFs with the uncertainty level. Consequently, both the long-term dependence of capacity and uncertainty quantification caused by the capacity regenerations can be captured directly and simultaneously. Experimental aging data from different batteries are deployed to evaluate the performance of proposed LSTM+GPR model in comparison with the solo GPR, solo LSTM, GPR+EMD and LSTM+EMD models. Illustrative results demonstrate the combined LSTM+GPR model outperforms other counterparts and is capable of achieving accurate results for both 1-step and multi-step ahead capacity predictions. Even predicting the RUL at the early battery cycle stage, the proposed data-driven approach still presents good adaptability and reliable uncertainty quantification for battery health diagnosis

IEEE Access special section editorial: battery energy storage and management systems

Battery energy storage and management systems constitute an enabling technology for more sustainable transportation and power grid systems. On the one hand, emerging materials and chemistries of batteries are being actively synthesized to continually improve their energy density, power density, cycle life, charging rate, etc. On the other hand, advanced battery management systems (BMSs) are being intensively developed to guarantee the safety, reliability, efficiency, and cost-effectiveness of batteries in realistic operations, as well as their integration with mechatronics. Owing to their multi-physics nature, designing high-performance batteries and their management systems requires multidisciplinary approaches, with an ever-increasing synergy of electrochemi- cal, material, mechatronics, computer, and control disciplines

Mining electric vehicle adoption of users

Rodrigues, R., Albuquerque, V., Ferreira, J. C., Dias, M. S., & Martins, A. L. (2021). Mining electric vehicle adoption of users. World Electric Vehicle Journal, 12(4), 1-31. [233]. https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj12040233 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Funding Information: Funding: This research was funded by the Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT) through ISTAR-IUL’s project UIDB/04466/2020 and UIDP/04466/2020. Funding Information: Acknowledgments: J.C.F. received support from the Portuguese National Funds through FITEC— Programa Interface, with reference CIT INOV—INESC INOVAÇÃO—Financiamento Base. Publisher Copyright: © 2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.The increase of greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere, and their adverse effects on the environment, have prompted the search for alternative energy sources to fossil fuels. One of the solutions gaining ground is the electrification of various human activities, such as the transport sector. This trend has fueled a growing need for electrical energy storage in lithium batteries. Precisely knowing the degree of degradation that this type of battery accumulates over its useful life is necessary to bring economic benefits, both for companies and citizens. This paper aims to answer the current need by proposing two research questions about electric motor vehicles. The first focuses on habits EV owners practice, which may harm the battery life, and the second on factors that may keep consumers from purchasing this type of vehicle. This research work sought to answer these two questions, using a methodology from data science and statistical analysis applied to three surveys carried out on electric vehicle owners. The results allowed us to conclude that, except for the Year variable, all other factors had a marginal effect on the vehicles’ absolute autonomy degradation. Regarding obstacles of the adoption of electric vehicles, the biggest encountered was the insufficient coverage of the network of charging stations.publishersversionpublishe

Mining electric vehicle adoption of users

The increase of greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere, and their adverse effects on the environment, have prompted the search for alternative energy sources to fossil fuels. One of the solutions gaining ground is the electrification of various human activities, such as the transport sector. This trend has fueled a growing need for electrical energy storage in lithium batteries. Precisely knowing the degree of degradation that this type of battery accumulates over its useful life is necessary to bring economic benefits, both for companies and citizens. This paper aims to answer the current need by proposing two research questions about electric motor vehicles. The first focuses on habits EV owners practice, which may harm the battery life, and the second on factors that may keep consumers from purchasing this type of vehicle. This research work sought to answer these two questions, using a methodology from data science and statistical analysis applied to three surveys carried out on electric vehicle owners. The results allowed us to conclude that, except for the Year variable, all other factors had a marginal effect on the vehicles’ absolute autonomy degradation. Regarding obstacles of the adoption of electric vehicles, the biggest encountered was the insufficient coverage of the network of charging stations.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Unsupervised Methods for Condition-Based Maintenance in Non-Stationary Operating Conditions

Maintenance and operation of modern dynamic engineering systems requires the use of robust maintenance strategies that are reliable under uncertainty. One such strategy is condition-based maintenance (CBM), in which maintenance actions are determined based on the current health of the system. The CBM framework integrates fault detection and forecasting in the form of degradation modeling to provide real-time reliability, as well as valuable insight towards the future health of the system. Coupled with a modern information platform such as Internet-of-Things (IoT), CBM can deliver these critical functionalities at scale. The increasingly complex design and operation of engineering systems has introduced novel problems to CBM. Characteristics of these systems - such as the unavailability of historical data, or highly dynamic operating behaviour - has rendered many existing solutions infeasible. These problems have motivated the development of new and self-sufficient - or in other words - unsupervised CBM solutions. The issue, however, is that many of the necessary methods required by such frameworks have yet to be proposed within the literature. Key gaps pertaining to the lack of suitable unsupervised approaches for the pre-processing of non-stationary vibration signals, parameter estimation for fault detection, and degradation threshold estimation, need to be addressed in order to achieve an effective implementation. The main objective of this thesis is to propose set of three novel approaches to address each of the aforementioned knowledge gaps. A non-parametric pre-processing and spectral analysis approach, termed spectral mean shift clustering (S-MSC) - which applies mean shift clustering (MSC) to the short time Fourier transform (STFT) power spectrum for simultaneous de-noising and extraction of time-varying harmonic components - is proposed for the autonomous analysis of non-stationary vibration signals. A second pre-processing approach, termed Gaussian mixture model operating state decomposition (GMM-OSD) - which uses GMMs to cluster multi-modal vibration signals by their respective, unknown operating states - is proposed to address multi-modal non-stationarity. Applied in conjunction with S-MSC, these two approaches form a robust and unsupervised pre-processing framework tailored to the types of signals found in modern engineering systems. The final approach proposed in this thesis is a degradation detection and fault prediction framework, termed the Bayesian one class support vector machine (B-OCSVM), which tackles the key knowledge gaps pertaining to unsupervised parameter and degradation threshold estimation by re-framing the traditional fault detection and degradation modeling problem as a degradation detection and fault prediction problem. Validation of the three aforementioned approaches is performed across a wide range of machinery vibration data sets and applications, including data obtained from two full-scale field pilots located at Toronto Pearson International Airport. The first of which is located on the gearbox of the LINK Automated People Mover (APM) train at Toronto Pearson International Airport; and, the second which is located on a subset of passenger boarding tunnel pre-conditioned air units (PCA) in Terminal 1 of Pearson airport. Results from validation found that the proposed pre-processing approaches and combined pre-processing framework provides a robust and computationally efficient and robust methodology for the analysis of non-stationary vibration signals in unsupervised CBM. Validation of the B-OCSVM framework showed that the proposed parameter estimation approaches enables the earlier detection of the degradation process compared to existing approaches, and the proposed degradation threshold provides a reasonable estimate of the fault manifestation point. Holistically, the approaches proposed in thesis provide a crucial step forward towards the effective implementation of unsupervised CBM in complex, modern engineering systems

Degradation Vector Fields with Uncertainty Considerations

The focus of this work is on capturing uncertainty in remaining useful life (RUL) estimates for machinery and constructing some latent dynamics that aid in interpreting those results. This is primarily achieved through sequential deep generative models known as Dynamical Variational Autoencoders (DVAEs). These allow for the construction of latent dynamics related to the RUL estimates while being a probabilistic model that can quantify the uncertainties of the estimates

Contribution to intelligent monitoring and failure prognostics of industrial systems.

This thesis was conducted within the framework of SMART project funded by a European program, Interreg POCTEFA. The project aims to support small and medium-sized companies to increase their competitiveness in the context of Industry 4.0 by developing intelligent monitoring tools for autonomous system health management. To do so, in this work, we propose efficient data-driven algorithms for prognostics and health management of industrial systems. The first contribution consists of the construction of a new robust health indicator that allows clearly separating different fault states of a wide range of systems’ critical components. This health indicator is also efficient when considering multiples monitoring parameters under various operating conditions. Next, the second contribution addresses the challenges posed by online diagnostics of unknown fault types in dynamic systems, particularly the detection, localization, and identification of the robot axes drifts origin when these drifts have not been learned before. For this purpose, a new online diagnostics methodology based on information fusion from direct and indirect monitoring techniques is proposed. It uses the direct monitoring way to instantaneously update the indirect monitoring model and diagnose online the origin of new faults. Finally, the last contribution deals with the prognostics issue of systems failure in a controlled industrial process that can lead to negative impacts in long-term predictions. To remedy this problem, we developed a new adaptive prognostics approach based on the combination of multiple machine learning predictions in different time horizons. The proposed approach allows capturing the degradation trend in long-term while considering the state changes in short-term caused by the controller activities, which allows improving the accuracy of prognostics results. The performances of the approaches proposed in this thesis were investigated on different real case studies representing the demonstrators of the thesis partners