The legacy of 50 years of fuzzy sets: A discussion

International audienceThis note provides a brief overview of the main ideas and notions underlying fifty years of research in fuzzy set and possibility theory, two important settings introduced by L.A. Zadeh for representing sets with unsharp boundaries and uncertainty induced by granules of information expressed with words. The discussion is organized on the basis of three potential understanding of the grades of membership to a fuzzy set, depending on what the fuzzy set intends to represent: a group of elements with borderline members, a plausibility distribution, or a preference profile. It also questions the motivations for some existing generalized fuzzy sets. This note clearly reflects the shared personal views of its authors

The likelihood interpretation as the foundation of fuzzy set theory

In order to use fuzzy sets in real-world applications, an interpretation for the values of membership functions is needed. The history of fuzzy set theory shows that the interpretation in terms of statistical likelihood is very natural, although the connection between likelihood and probability can be misleading. In this paper, the likelihood interpretation of fuzzy sets is reviewed: it makes fuzzy data and fuzzy inferences perfectly compatible with standard statistical analyses, and sheds some light on the central role played by extension principle and α-cuts in fuzzy set theory. Furthermore, the likelihood interpretation justifies some of the combination rules of fuzzy set theory, including the product and minimum rules for the conjunction of fuzzy sets, as well as the probabilistic-sum and bounded-sum rules for the disjunction of fuzzy sets

A perspective on the extension of stochastic orderings to fuzzy random variables

International audienceIn this paper we study how to make joint extensions of stochastic orderings and interval orderings so as to extend methods for comparing random variables, from the point of view of their respective location or magnitude, to fuzzy random variables. The main idea is that the way fuzzy random variables are interpreted affects the choice of the comparison methods. We distinguish three views of fuzzy random variables, according to which various comparison methods seem to make sense. This paper offers an approach toward a systematic classification of combinations of stochastic and interval or fuzzy interval comparison methods

Borderline vs. unknown: comparing three-valued representations of imperfect information

International audienceIn this paper we compare the expressive power of elementary representation formats for vague, incomplete or conflicting information. These include Boolean valuation pairs introduced by Lawry and González-Rodríguez, orthopairs of sets of variables, Boolean possibility and necessity measures, three-valued valuations, supervaluations. We make explicit their connections with strong Kleene logic and with Belnap logic of conflicting information. The formal similarities between 3-valued approaches to vagueness and formalisms that handle incomplete information often lead to a confusion between degrees of truth and degrees of uncertainty. Yet there are important differences that appear at the interpretive level: while truth-functional logics of vagueness are accepted by a part of the scientific community (even if questioned by supervaluationists), the truth-functionality assumption of three-valued calculi for handling incomplete information looks questionable, compared to the non-truth-functional approaches based on Boolean possibility–necessity pairs. This paper aims to clarify the similarities and differences between the two situations. We also study to what extent operations for comparing and merging information items in the form of orthopairs can be expressed by means of operations on valuation pairs, three-valued valuations and underlying possibility distributions

The Role of preferences in logic programming: nonmonotonic reasoning, user preferences, decision under uncertainty

Intelligent systems that assist users in fulfilling complex tasks need a concise and processable representation of incomplete and uncertain information. In order to be able to choose among different options, these systems also need a compact and processable representation of the concept of preference. Preferences can provide an effective way to choose the best solutions to a given problem. These solutions can represent the most plausible states of the world when we model incomplete information, the most satisfactory states of the world when we express user preferences, or optimal decisions when we make decisions under uncertainty. Several domains, such as, reasoning under incomplete and uncertain information, user preference modeling, and qualitative decision making under uncertainty, have benefited from advances on preference representation. In the literature, several symbolic approaches of nonclassical reasoning have been proposed. Among them, logic programming under answer set semantics offers a good compromise between symbolic representation and computation of knowledge and several extensions for handling preferences. Nevertheless, there are still some open issues to be considered in logic programming. In nonmonotonic reasoning, first, most approaches assume that exceptions to logic program rules are already specified. However, sometimes, it is possible to consider implicit preferences based on the specificity of the rules to handle incomplete information. Secondly, the joint handling of exceptions and uncertainty has received little attention: when information is uncertain, the selection of default rules can be a matter of explicit preferences and uncertainty. In user preference modeling, although existing logic programming specifications allow to express user preferences which depend both on incomplete and contextual information, in some applications, some preferences in some context may be more important than others. Furthermore, more complex preference expressions need to be supported. In qualitative decision making under uncertainty, existing logic programming-based methodologies for making decisions seem to lack a satisfactory handling of preferences and uncertainty. The aim of this dissertation is twofold: 1) to tackle the role played by preferences in logic programming from different perspectives, and 2) to contribute to this novel field by proposing several frameworks and methods able to address the above issues. To this end, we will first show how preferences can be used to select default rules in logic programs in an implicit and explicit way. In particular, we propose (i) a method for selecting logic program rules based on specificity, and (ii) a framework for selecting uncertain default rules based on explicit preferences and the certainty of the rules. Then, we will see how user preferences can be modeled and processed in terms of a logic program (iii) in order to manage user profiles in a context-aware system and (iv) in order to propose a framework for the specification of nested (non-flat) preference expressions. Finally, in the attempt to bridge the gap between logic programming and qualitative decision under uncertainty, (v) we propose a classical- and a possibilistic-based logic programming methodology to compute an optimal decision when uncertainty and preferences are matters of degrees.Els sistemes intel.ligents que assisteixen a usuaris en la realització de tasques complexes necessiten una representació concisa i formal de la informació que permeti un raonament nomonòton en condicions d’incertesa. Per a poder escollir entre les diferents opcions, aquests sistemes solen necessitar una representació del concepte de preferència. Les preferències poden proporcionar una manera efectiva de triar entre les millors solucions a un problema. Aquestes solucions poden representar els estats del món més plausibles quan es tracta de modelar informació incompleta, els estats del món més satisfactori quan expressem preferències de l’usuari, o decisions òptimes quan estem parlant de presa de decisió incorporant incertesa. L’ús de les preferències ha beneficiat diferents dominis, com, el raonament en presència d’informació incompleta i incerta, el modelat de preferències d’usuari, i la presa de decisió sota incertesa. En la literatura, s’hi troben diferents aproximacions al raonament no clàssic basades en una representació simbòlica de la informació. Entre elles, l’enfocament de programació lògica, utilitzant la semàntica de answer set, ofereix una bona aproximació entre representació i processament simbòlic del coneixement, i diferents extensions per gestionar les preferències. No obstant això, en programació lògica es poden identificar diferents problemes pel que fa a la gestió de les preferències. Per exemple, en la majoria d’enfocaments de raonament no-monòton s’assumeix que les excepcions a default rules d’un programa lògic ja estan expressades. Però de vegades es poden considerar preferències implícites basades en l’especificitat de les regles per gestionar la informació incompleta. A més, quan la informació és també incerta, la selecció de default rules pot dependre de preferències explícites i de la incertesa. En el modelatge de preferències del usuari, encara que els formalismes existents basats en programació lògica permetin expressar preferències que depenen d’informació contextual i incompleta, en algunes aplicacions, donat un context, algunes preferències poden ser més importants que unes altres. Per tant, resulta d’interès un llenguatge que permeti capturar preferències més complexes. En la presa de decisions sota incertesa, les metodologies basades en programació lògica creades fins ara no ofereixen una solució del tot satisfactòria pel que fa a la gestió de les preferències i la incertesa. L’objectiu d’aquesta tesi és doble: 1) estudiar el paper de les preferències en la programació lògica des de diferents perspectives, i 2) contribuir a aquesta jove àrea d’investigació proposant diferents marcs teòrics i mètodes per abordar els problemes anteriorment citats. Per a aquest propòsit veurem com les preferències es poden utilitzar de manera implícita i explícita per a la selecció de default rules proposant: (i) un mètode basat en l’especificitat de les regles, que permeti seleccionar regles en un programa lògic; (ii) un marc teòric per a la selecció de default rules incertes basat en preferències explícites i la incertesa de les regles. També veurem com les preferències de l’usuari poden ser modelades i processades usant un enfocament de programació lògica (iii) que suporti la creació d’un mecanisme de gestió dels perfils dels usuaris en un sistema amb reconeixement del context; (iv) que permeti proposar un marc teòric capaç d’expressar preferències amb fòrmules imbricades. Per últim, amb l’objectiu de disminuir la distància entre programació lògica i la presa de decisió amb incertesa proposem (v) una metodologia basada en programació lògica clàssica i en una extensió de la programació lògica que incorpora lògica possibilística per modelar un problema de presa de decisions i per inferir una decisió òptima.Los sistemas inteligentes que asisten a usuarios en tareas complejas necesitan una representación concisa y procesable de la información que permita un razonamiento nomonótono e incierto. Para poder escoger entre las diferentes opciones, estos sistemas suelen necesitar una representación del concepto de preferencia. Las preferencias pueden proporcionar una manera efectiva para elegir entre las mejores soluciones a un problema. Dichas soluciones pueden representar los estados del mundo más plausibles cuando hablamos de representación de información incompleta, los estados del mundo más satisfactorios cuando hablamos de preferencias del usuario, o decisiones óptimas cuando estamos hablando de toma de decisión con incertidumbre. El uso de las preferencias ha beneficiado diferentes dominios, como, razonamiento en presencia de información incompleta e incierta, modelado de preferencias de usuario, y toma de decisión con incertidumbre. En la literatura, distintos enfoques simbólicos de razonamiento no clásico han sido creados. Entre ellos, la programación lógica con la semántica de answer set ofrece un buen acercamiento entre representación y procesamiento simbólico del conocimiento, y diferentes extensiones para manejar las preferencias. Sin embargo, en programación lógica se pueden identificar diferentes problemas con respecto al manejo de las preferencias. Por ejemplo, en la mayoría de enfoques de razonamiento no-monótono se asume que las excepciones a default rules de un programa lógico ya están expresadas. Pero, a veces se pueden considerar preferencias implícitas basadas en la especificidad de las reglas para manejar la información incompleta. Además, cuando la información es también incierta, la selección de default rules pueden depender de preferencias explícitas y de la incertidumbre. En el modelado de preferencias, aunque los formalismos existentes basados en programación lógica permitan expresar preferencias que dependen de información contextual e incompleta, in algunas aplicaciones, algunas preferencias en un contexto puede ser más importantes que otras. Por lo tanto, un lenguaje que permita capturar preferencias más complejas es deseable. En la toma de decisiones con incertidumbre, las metodologías basadas en programación lógica creadas hasta ahora no ofrecen una solución del todo satisfactoria al manejo de las preferencias y la incertidumbre. El objectivo de esta tesis es doble: 1) estudiar el rol de las preferencias en programación lógica desde diferentes perspectivas, y 2) contribuir a esta joven área de investigación proponiendo diferentes marcos teóricos y métodos para abordar los problemas anteriormente citados. Para este propósito veremos como las preferencias pueden ser usadas de manera implícita y explícita para la selección de default rules proponiendo: (i) un método para seleccionar reglas en un programa basado en la especificad de las reglas; (ii) un marco teórico para la selección de default rules basado en preferencias explícitas y incertidumbre. También veremos como las preferencias del usuario pueden ser modeladas y procesadas usando un enfoque de programación lógica (iii) para crear un mecanismo de manejo de los perfiles de los usuarios en un sistema con reconocimiento del contexto; (iv) para crear un marco teórico capaz de expresar preferencias con formulas anidadas. Por último, con el objetivo de disminuir la distancia entre programación lógica y la toma de decisión con incertidumbre proponemos (v) una metodología para modelar un problema de toma de decisiones y para inferir una decisión óptima usando un enfoque de programación lógica clásica y uno de programación lógica extendida con lógica posibilística.Sistemi intelligenti, destinati a fornire supporto agli utenti in processi decisionali complessi, richiedono una rappresentazione dell’informazione concisa, formale e che permetta di ragionare in maniera non monotona e incerta. Per poter scegliere tra le diverse opzioni, tali sistemi hanno bisogno di disporre di una rappresentazione del concetto di preferenza altrettanto concisa e formale. Le preferenze offrono una maniera efficace per scegliere le miglior soluzioni di un problema. Tali soluzioni possono rappresentare gli stati del mondo più credibili quando si tratta di ragionamento non monotono, gli stati del mondo più soddisfacenti quando si tratta delle preferenze degli utenti, o le decisioni migliori quando prendiamo una decisione in condizioni di incertezza. Diversi domini come ad esempio il ragionamento non monotono e incerto, la strutturazione del profilo utente, e i modelli di decisione in condizioni d’incertezza hanno tratto beneficio dalla rappresentazione delle preferenze. Nella bibliografia disponibile si possono incontrare diversi approcci simbolici al ragionamento non classico. Tra questi, la programmazione logica con answer set semantics offre un buon compromesso tra rappresentazione simbolica e processamento dell’informazione, e diversi estensioni per la gestione delle preferenze sono state proposti in tal senso. Nonostante ció, nella programmazione logica esistono ancora delle problematiche aperte. Prima di tutto, nella maggior parte degli approcci al ragionamento non monotono, si suppone che nel programma le eccezioni alle regole siano già specificate. Tuttavia, a volte per trattare l’informazione incompleta è possibile prendere in considerazione preferenze implicite basate sulla specificità delle regole. In secondo luogo, la gestione congiunta di eccezioni e incertezza ha avuto scarsa attenzione: quando l’informazione è incerta, la scelta di default rule può essere una questione di preferenze esplicite e d’incertezza allo stesso tempo. Nella creazione di preferenze dell’utente, anche se le specifiche di programmazione logica esistenti permettono di esprimere preferenze che dipendono sia da un’informazione incompleta che da una contestuale, in alcune applicazioni talune preferenze possono essere più importanti di altre, o espressioni più complesse devono essere supportate. In un processo decisionale con incertezza, le metodologie basate sulla programmazione logica viste sinora, non offrono una gestione soddisfacente delle preferenze e dell’incertezza. Lo scopo di questa dissertazione è doppio: 1) chiarire il ruolo che le preferenze giocano nella programmazione logica da diverse prospettive e 2) contribuire proponendo in questo nuovo settore di ricerca, diversi framework e metodi in grado di affrontare le citate problematiche. Per prima cosa, dimostreremo come le preferenze possono essere usate per selezionare default rule in un programma in maniera implicita ed esplicita. In particolare proporremo: (i) un metodo per la selezione delle regole di un programma logico basato sulla specificità dell’informazione; (ii) un framework per la selezione di default rule basato sulle preferenze esplicite e sull’incertezza associata alle regole del programma. Poi, vedremo come le preferenze degli utenti possono essere modellate attraverso un programma logico, (iii) per creare il profilo dell’utente in un sistema context-aware, e (iv) per proporre un framework che supporti la definizione di preferenze complesse. Infine, per colmare le lacune in programmazione logica applicata a un processo di decisione con incertezza (v) proporremo una metodologia basata sulla programmazione logica classica e una metodologia basata su un’estensione della programmazione logica con logica possibilistica

Comparing and Extending the Use of Defeasible Argumentation with Quantitative Data in Real-World Contexts

Dealing with uncertain, contradicting, and ambiguous information is still a central issue in Artificial Intelligence (AI). As a result, many formalisms have been proposed or adapted so as to consider non-monotonicity. A non-monotonic formalism is one that allows the retraction of previous conclusions or claims, from premises, in light of new evidence, offering some desirable flexibility when dealing with uncertainty. Among possible options, knowledge-base, non-monotonic reasoning approaches have seen their use being increased in practice. Nonetheless, only a limited number of works and researchers have performed any sort of comparison among them. This research article focuses on evaluating the inferential capacity of defeasible argumentation, a formalism particularly envisioned for modelling non-monotonic reasoning. In addition to this, fuzzy reasoning and expert systems, extended for handling non-monotonicity of reasoning, are selected and employed as baselines, due to their vast and accepted use within the AI community. Computational trust was selected as the domain of application of such models. Trust is an ill-defined construct, hence, reasoning applied to the inference of trust can be seen as non-monotonic. Inference models were designed to assign trust scalars to editors of the Wikipedia project. Scalars assigned to recognised trustworthy editors provided the basis for the analysis of the models’ inferential capacity according to evaluation metrics from the domain of computational trust. In particular, argument-based models demonstrated more robustness than those built upon the baselines despite the knowledge bases or datasets employed. This study contributes to the body of knowledge through the exploitation of defeasible argumentation and its comparison to similar approaches. It provides publicly implementations for the designed models of inference, which might be a useful aid to scholars interested in performing non-monotonic reasoning activities. It adds to previous works, empirically enhancing the generalisability of defeasible argumentation as a compelling approach to reason with quantitative data and uncertain knowledge

Statistical reasoning with set-valued information : Ontic vs. epistemic views

International audienceIn information processing tasks, sets may have a conjunctive or a disjunctive reading. In the conjunctive reading, a set represents an object of interest and its elements are subparts of the object, forming a composite description. In the disjunctive reading, a set contains mutually exclusive elements and refers to the representation of incomplete knowledge. It does not model an actual object or quantity, but partial information about an underlying object or a precise quantity. This distinction between what we call ontic vs. epistemic sets remains valid for fuzzy sets, whose membership functions, in the disjunctive reading are possibility distributions, over deterministic or random values. This paper examines the impact of this distinction in statistics. We show its importance because there is a risk of misusing basic notions and tools, such as conditioning, distance between sets, variance, regression, etc. when data are set-valued. We discuss several examples where the ontic and epistemic points of view yield different approaches to these concepts

Labeled bipolar argumentation frameworks

An essential part of argumentation-based reasoning is to identify arguments in favor and against a statement or query, select the acceptable ones, and then determine whether or not the original statement should be accepted. We present here an abstract framework that considers two independent forms of argument interaction-support and conflict-and is able to represent distinctive information associated with these arguments. This information can enable additional actions such as: (i) a more in-depth analysis of the relations between the arguments; (ii) a representation of the user's posture to help in focusing the argumentative process, optimizing the values of attributes associated with certain arguments; and (iii) an enhancement of the semantics taking advantage of the availability of richer information about argument acceptability. Thus, the classical semantic definitions are enhanced by analyzing a set of postulates they satisfy. Finally, a polynomial-time algorithm to perform the labeling process is introduced, in which the argument interactions are considered.Fil: Escañuela Gonzalez, Melisa Gisselle. Universidad Nacional de Santiago del Estero; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán; ArgentinaFil: Budan, Maximiliano Celmo David. Universidad Nacional de Santiago del Estero; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Tucumán; ArgentinaFil: Simari, Gerardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Bahía Blanca. Instituto de Ciencias e Ingeniería de la Computación. Universidad Nacional del Sur. Departamento de Ciencias e Ingeniería de la Computación. Instituto de Ciencias e Ingeniería de la Computación; ArgentinaFil: Simari, Guillermo Ricardo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Bahía Blanca. Instituto de Ciencias e Ingeniería de la Computación. Universidad Nacional del Sur. Departamento de Ciencias e Ingeniería de la Computación. Instituto de Ciencias e Ingeniería de la Computación; Argentin