3,913 research outputs found
Statistical Arbitrage Mining for Display Advertising
We study and formulate arbitrage in display advertising. Real-Time Bidding
(RTB) mimics stock spot exchanges and utilises computers to algorithmically buy
display ads per impression via a real-time auction. Despite the new automation,
the ad markets are still informationally inefficient due to the heavily
fragmented marketplaces. Two display impressions with similar or identical
effectiveness (e.g., measured by conversion or click-through rates for a
targeted audience) may sell for quite different prices at different market
segments or pricing schemes. In this paper, we propose a novel data mining
paradigm called Statistical Arbitrage Mining (SAM) focusing on mining and
exploiting price discrepancies between two pricing schemes. In essence, our
SAMer is a meta-bidder that hedges advertisers' risk between CPA (cost per
action)-based campaigns and CPM (cost per mille impressions)-based ad
inventories; it statistically assesses the potential profit and cost for an
incoming CPM bid request against a portfolio of CPA campaigns based on the
estimated conversion rate, bid landscape and other statistics learned from
historical data. In SAM, (i) functional optimisation is utilised to seek for
optimal bidding to maximise the expected arbitrage net profit, and (ii) a
portfolio-based risk management solution is leveraged to reallocate bid volume
and budget across the set of campaigns to make a risk and return trade-off. We
propose to jointly optimise both components in an EM fashion with high
efficiency to help the meta-bidder successfully catch the transient statistical
arbitrage opportunities in RTB. Both the offline experiments on a real-world
large-scale dataset and online A/B tests on a commercial platform demonstrate
the effectiveness of our proposed solution in exploiting arbitrage in various
model settings and market environments.Comment: In the proceedings of the 21st ACM SIGKDD international conference on
Knowledge discovery and data mining (KDD 2015
A dynamic pricing model for unifying programmatic guarantee and real-time bidding in display advertising
There are two major ways of selling impressions in display advertising. They
are either sold in spot through auction mechanisms or in advance via guaranteed
contracts. The former has achieved a significant automation via real-time
bidding (RTB); however, the latter is still mainly done over the counter
through direct sales. This paper proposes a mathematical model that allocates
and prices the future impressions between real-time auctions and guaranteed
contracts. Under conventional economic assumptions, our model shows that the
two ways can be seamless combined programmatically and the publisher's revenue
can be maximized via price discrimination and optimal allocation. We consider
advertisers are risk-averse, and they would be willing to purchase guaranteed
impressions if the total costs are less than their private values. We also
consider that an advertiser's purchase behavior can be affected by both the
guaranteed price and the time interval between the purchase time and the
impression delivery date. Our solution suggests an optimal percentage of future
impressions to sell in advance and provides an explicit formula to calculate at
what prices to sell. We find that the optimal guaranteed prices are dynamic and
are non-decreasing over time. We evaluate our method with RTB datasets and find
that the model adopts different strategies in allocation and pricing according
to the level of competition. From the experiments we find that, in a less
competitive market, lower prices of the guaranteed contracts will encourage the
purchase in advance and the revenue gain is mainly contributed by the increased
competition in future RTB. In a highly competitive market, advertisers are more
willing to purchase the guaranteed contracts and thus higher prices are
expected. The revenue gain is largely contributed by the guaranteed selling.Comment: Chen, Bowei and Yuan, Shuai and Wang, Jun (2014) A dynamic pricing
model for unifying programmatic guarantee and real-time bidding in display
advertising. In: The Eighth International Workshop on Data Mining for Online
Advertising, 24 - 27 August 2014, New York Cit
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Contextual advertising
Contextual advertising entails the display of relevant ads based on the content that consumers view, exploiting the potential that consumers' content preferences are indicative of their product preferences. This paper studies the strategic aspects of such advertising, considering an intermediary who has access to a content base, sells advertising space to advertisers who compete in the product market, and provides the targeting technology. The results show that contextual targeting impacts advertiser profit in two ways: First, advertising through relevant content topics helps advertisers reach consumers with a strong preference for their product. Second, heterogeneity in consumers' content preferences can be leveraged to reduce product market competition, especially when competition is intense. The intermediary has incentives to strategically design its targeting technology, sometimes at the cost of the advertisers. When product market competition is moderate, the intermediary offers accurate targeting such that the consumers see the most relevant ads. When competition is high, the intermediary lowers the targeting accuracy such that the consumers see less relevant ads. Doing so intensifies competition and encourages advertisers to bid for multiple content topics in order to prevent their competitors from reaching consumers. In some cases, this may lead to an asymmetric equilibrium where one advertiser bids high even for the content topic that is more relevant to its competitor. © 2012 INFORMS
Optimising Trade-offs Among Stakeholders in Ad Auctions
We examine trade-offs among stakeholders in ad auctions. Our metrics are the
revenue for the utility of the auctioneer, the number of clicks for the utility
of the users and the welfare for the utility of the advertisers. We show how to
optimize linear combinations of the stakeholder utilities, showing that these
can be tackled through a GSP auction with a per-click reserve price. We then
examine constrained optimization of stakeholder utilities.
We use simulations and analysis of real-world sponsored search auction data
to demonstrate the feasible trade-offs, examining the effect of changing the
allowed number of ads on the utilities of the stakeholders. We investigate both
short term effects, when the players do not have the time to modify their
behavior, and long term equilibrium conditions.
Finally, we examine a combinatorially richer constrained optimization
problem, where there are several possible allowed configurations (templates) of
ad formats. This model captures richer ad formats, which allow using the
available screen real estate in various ways. We show that two natural
generalizations of the GSP auction rules to this domain are poorly behaved,
resulting in not having a symmetric Nash equilibrium or having one with poor
welfare. We also provide positive results for restricted cases.Comment: 18 pages, 10 figures, ACM Conference on Economics and Computation
201
Online Model Evaluation in a Large-Scale Computational Advertising Platform
Online media provides opportunities for marketers through which they can
deliver effective brand messages to a wide range of audiences. Advertising
technology platforms enable advertisers to reach their target audience by
delivering ad impressions to online users in real time. In order to identify
the best marketing message for a user and to purchase impressions at the right
price, we rely heavily on bid prediction and optimization models. Even though
the bid prediction models are well studied in the literature, the equally
important subject of model evaluation is usually overlooked. Effective and
reliable evaluation of an online bidding model is crucial for making faster
model improvements as well as for utilizing the marketing budgets more
efficiently. In this paper, we present an experimentation framework for bid
prediction models where our focus is on the practical aspects of model
evaluation. Specifically, we outline the unique challenges we encounter in our
platform due to a variety of factors such as heterogeneous goal definitions,
varying budget requirements across different campaigns, high seasonality and
the auction-based environment for inventory purchasing. Then, we introduce
return on investment (ROI) as a unified model performance (i.e., success)
metric and explain its merits over more traditional metrics such as
click-through rate (CTR) or conversion rate (CVR). Most importantly, we discuss
commonly used evaluation and metric summarization approaches in detail and
propose a more accurate method for online evaluation of new experimental models
against the baseline. Our meta-analysis-based approach addresses various
shortcomings of other methods and yields statistically robust conclusions that
allow us to conclude experiments more quickly in a reliable manner. We
demonstrate the effectiveness of our evaluation strategy on real campaign data
through some experiments.Comment: Accepted to ICDM201
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