Methodological review of multicriteria optimization techniques: aplications in water resources

Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) is an umbrella approach that has been applied to a wide range of natural resource management situations. This report has two purposes. First, it aims to provide an overview of advancedmulticriteriaapproaches, methods and tools. The review seeks to layout the nature of the models, their inherent strengths and limitations. Analysis of their applicability in supporting real-life decision-making processes is provided with relation to requirements imposed by organizationally decentralized and economically specific spatial and temporal frameworks. Models are categorized based on different classification schemes and are reviewed by describing their general characteristics, approaches, and fundamental properties. A necessity of careful structuring of decision problems is discussed regarding planning, staging and control aspects within broader agricultural context, and in water management in particular. A special emphasis is given to the importance of manipulating decision elements by means ofhierarchingand clustering. The review goes beyond traditionalMCDAtechniques; it describes new modelling approaches. The second purpose is to describe newMCDAparadigms aimed at addressing the inherent complexity of managing water ecosystems, particularly with respect to multiple criteria integrated with biophysical models,multistakeholders, and lack of information. Comments about, and critical analysis of, the limitations of traditional models are made to point out the need for, and propose a call to, a new way of thinking aboutMCDAas they are applied to water and natural resources management planning. These new perspectives do not undermine the value of traditional methods; rather they point to a shift in emphasis from methods for problem solving to methods for problem structuring. Literature review show successfully integrations of watershed management optimization models to efficiently screen a broad range of technical, economic, and policy management options within a watershed system framework and select the optimal combination of management strategies and associated water allocations for designing a sustainable watershed management plan at least cost. Papers show applications in watershed management model that integrates both natural and human elements of a watershed system including the management of ground and surface water sources, water treatment and distribution systems, human demands,wastewatertreatment and collection systems, water reuse facilities,nonpotablewater distribution infrastructure, aquifer storage and recharge facilities, storm water, and land use

Bipolar method and its modifications

Bipolar is one of the multiple criteria decision analysis methods, proposed by Konarzewska-Gubała (in Archiwum Automatyki i Telemechaniki 32(4):289–300, 1987). The main feature of the method is that alternatives are not compared directly with each other, but they are confronted to the two reference sets of objects: desirable and non-acceptable. Practical application of the method revealed its shortcomings, therefore improvements of the method were desirable. The aim of the paper is to formulate some modifications of the classical Bipolar approach and consider a case where reference sets are numerous. Unified Bipolar procedure which contains classical Bipolar method as well as the modifications described in the paper is given. Numerical illustrations of the modifications and unified approach are also presented

Transit Agencies Performance Assessment and Implications

Although most transit systems operate in small urban and rural areas in the United States, these systems have rarely received the same attention as their urban counterparts, both in terms of ensuring the efficiency and effectiveness of their operations and understanding the factors that affect their performance. This thesis\u27s main goals are to assess the performance of rural and small urban public transit agencies and help them evaluate adopting a ridehailing program, thereby improving their performance. We applied operations research and decision-making tools to two public transit projects in small urban and rural areas. The first project focuses on three models developed to evaluate the efficiency, effectiveness, and combined efficiency-effectiveness of rural transit agencies using data envelopment analysis. The models were estimated for the case study of transit systems in rural Appalachia and measured the agencies\u27 performance relative to their peers. Besides, the returns to scale were explored in the context of rural transit management. The second project focused on employing ridehailing programs in small urban and rural areas to improve agencies’ performance and reach. The most relevant criteria were identified to evaluate the performance of different ridehailing programs using multi-criteria decision analysis methodology. To perform a set of MCDA methods, we used the perceived rating of each ridehailing program according to the stakeholders\u27 opinions with respect to each criterion. The framework was estimated for the case study of Mountain Line Transit Authority in Morgantown, WV

Evaluation of Product Quality in QFD using Multi Attribute Decision Making (MADM) Techniques in Manufacturing Industry

Every customer wants to purchase the best quality product but the price factor is only the reason due to which most of customers compromise with quality. The main purpose of our study is to find a best suitable method which will be helpful to design such product having good quality with affordable price. Quality Function Deployment (QFD) is the most powerful method for analyzing the customer demands and selection of most important or valuable voice which has to be corrected or modified. The integrated approach of QFD and Optimization techniques (i.e. AHP, TOPSIS, PROMETHEE, etc.) can be used to analyze the product quality manufacturing industry. A QFD optimization methodology is formulated in this study with suitable illustrations and tried to find a best method of product design. Keywords: Quality Function Deployment, PROMETHEE, AHP, TOPSIS, House of Quality

Evaluation of optimal solutions in multicriteria models for intelligent decision support

La memoria se enmarca dentro de la optimización y su uso para la toma de decisiones. La secuencia lógica ha sido la modelación, implementación, resolución y validación que conducen a una decisión. Para esto, hemos utilizado herramientas del análisis multicrerio, optimización multiobjetivo y técnicas de inteligencia artificial. El trabajo se ha estructurado en dos partes (divididas en tres capítulos cada una) que se corresponden con la parte teórica y con la parte experimental. En la primera parte se analiza el contexto del campo de estudio con un análisis del marco histórico y posteriormente se dedica un capítulo a la optimización multicriterio en el se recogen modelos conocidos, junto con aportaciones originales de este trabajo. En el tercer capítulo, dedicado a la inteligencia artificial, se presentan los fundamentos del aprendizaje estadístico , las técnicas de aprendizaje automático y de aprendizaje profundo necesarias para las aportaciones en la segunda parte. La segunda parte contiene siete casos reales a los que se han aplicado las técnicas descritas. En el primer capítulo se estudian dos casos: el rendimiento académico de los estudiantes de la Universidad Industrial de Santander (Colombia) y un sistema objetivo para la asignación del premio MVP en la NBA. En el siguiente capítulo se utilizan técnicas de inteligencia artificial a la similitud musical (detección de plagios en Youtube), la predicción del precio de cierre de una empresa en el mercado bursátil de Nueva York y la clasificación automática de señales espaciales acústicas en entornos envolventes. En el último capítulo a la potencia de la inteligencia artificial se le incorporan técnicas de análisis multicriterio para detectar el fracaso escolar universitario de manera precoz (en la Universidad Industrial de Santander) y, para establecer un ranking de modelos de inteligencia artificial de se recurre a métodos multicriterio. Para acabar la memoria, a pesar de que cada capítulo contiene una conclusión parcial, en el capítulo 8 se recogen las principales conclusiones de toda la memoria y una bibliografía bastante exhaustiva de los temas tratados. Además, el trabajo concluye con tres apéndices que contienen los programas y herramientas, que a pesar de ser útiles para la comprensión de la memoria, se ha preferido poner por separado para que los capítulos resulten más fluidos

Manufacturing Quality Function Deployment: Literature Review and Future Trends

A comprehensive review of the Quality Function Deployment (QFD) literature is made using extensive survey as a methodology. The most important results of the study are: (i) QFD modelling and applications are one-sided; prioritisation of technical attributes only maximise customer satisfaction without considering cost incurred (ii) we are still missing considerable knowledge about neural networks for predicting improvement measures in customer satisfaction (iii) further exploration of the subsequent phases (process planning and production planning) of QFD is needed (iv) more decision support systems are needed to automate QFD (v) feedbacks from customers are not accounted for in current studies

Simplified approaches for portfolio decision analysis

Traditional choice decisions involve selecting a single, best alternative from a larger set of potential options. In contrast, portfolio decisions involve selecting the best subset of alternatives — alternatives that together maximize some measure of value to the decision maker and are within their available resources to implement. Examples include capital investment, R&D project selection, and maintenance planning. Portfolio decisions involve a combinatorial aspect that makes them more theoretically and computationally challenging than choice problems, particularly when there are interactions between alternatives. Several portfolio decision analysis methods have been developed over the years and an increasing interest has been noted in the field of portfolio decision analysis. These methods are typically called “exact” methods, but can also be called prescriptive methods. These are generally computationally-intensive algorithms that require substantial amounts of information from the decision maker, and in return yield portfolios that are provably optimal or optimal within certain bounds. These methods have proved popular for choice decisions — for example, those based on multiattribute value or utility theory. But whereas information and computational requirements for choice problems are probably manageable for the majority of diligent decision makers, it is much less clear that this is true of portfolio decisions. That is, for portfolio decisions it may be more common that decision makers do not have the time, expertise and ability to exert the effort to assess all the information required of an exact method. Heuristics are simple, psychologically plausible rules for decision making that limit the amount of information required and the computation effort needed to turn this information into decisions. Previous work has shown that people often use heuristics when confronted with traditional choice problems in unfacilitated contexts, and that these can often return good results, in the sense of selecting alternatives that are also ranked highly by exact methods. This suggests that heuristics may also be useful for portfolio decisions. Moreover, while the lower information demands made by choice problems mean that heuristics have not generally been seen as prescriptive options, the more substantial demands made by portfolio decisions make a priori case for considering their use not just descriptively, but as tools for decision aid. Very little work exists on the use of heuristics for portfolio decision making, the subject of this thesis. Durbach et al. (2020) proposed a family of portfolio selection heuristics known collectively as add-the-best. These construct portfolios by adding, at every step, the alternative that is best in a greedy sense, with different definitions of what “best” is. This thesis extends knowledge on portfolio heuristics in three main respects. Firstly, we show that people use certain of the add-the-best heuristics when selecting portfolios without facilitation, in a context where there are interactions between alternatives. We run an experiment involving actual portfolio decision making behaviour, administered to participants who had the opportunity to choose as many alternatives as they wanted, but under the constraint of a limited budget. This experiment, parts of which were reported in Durbach et al. (2020), provides the first demonstration of the use of heuristics in portfolio selections. Secondly, we use a simulation experiment to test the performance of the heuristics in two novel environments: those involving multiple criteria, and those in which interactions between projects may be positive (the value of selecting two alternatives is more than the sum of their individual values) or negative (the opposite). This extends the results in Durbach et al. (2020), who considered only environments involving a single criterion and positive interactions between alternatives. In doing so we differentiate between heuristics that guide the selection of alternatives, called selection heuristics, and heuristics for aggregating performance across criteria, which we call scoring heuristics. We combine various selection and scoring heuristics and test their performance on a range of simulated decision problems. We found that certain portfolio heuristics continued to perform well in the presence of negative interactions and multiple criteria, and that performance depended more on the approach used to build portfolios (selection heuristics) than on the method of aggregation across criteria (scoring heuristics). We also found that in these extended conditions heuristics continued to provide outcomes that were competitive with optimal models, but that heuristics that ignored interactions led to potentially poor results. Finally, we complement behavioral and simulation experimental studies with an application of both exact methods and portfolio heuristics in a real-world portfolio decision problem involving the selection of the best subset of research proposals out of a pool of proposals submitted by researchers applying for grants from a research institution. We provide a decision support system to this institution in the form of a web-based application to assist with portfolio decisions involving interactions. The decision support system implements exact methods, namely the linear-additive portfolio value model and the robust portfolio model, as well as two portfolio heuristics found to perform well in simulations

Intelligent Decision Support System for Energy Management in Demand Response Programs and Residential and Industrial Sectors of the Smart Grid

This PhD thesis addresses the complexity of the energy efficiency control problem in residential and industrial customers of Smart electrical Grid, and examines the main factors that affect energy demand, and proposes an intelligent decision support system for applications of demand response. A multi criteria decision making algorithm is combined with a combinatorial optimization technique to assist energy managers to decide whether to participate in demand response programs or obtain energy from distributed energy resources

Domain-driven multiple-criteria decision-making for flight crew decision support tool

During the flight, the crew might consider modifying their planned trajectory, taking into account currently available information, such as an updated weather forecast report or the already accrued amount of delay. This modified planned trajectory translates into changes on expected fuel and flying time, which will impact the airline’s relevant performance indicators leading to a complex multiple-criteria decision-making problem. Pilot3, a project from the Clean Sky Joint Undertaking 2 under European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme, aims to develop an objective optimisation engine to assist the crew on this process. This article presents a domain-driven approach for the selection of the most suitable multiple-criteria decision-making methods to be used for this optimisation framework. The most relevant performance indicators, based on airline’s objectives and policies, are identified as: meeting on-time performance, leading to a binary value in a deterministic scenario; and total cost, which can be disaggregated into sub-cost components. The optimisation process consists of two phases: first, Pareto optimal solutions are generated with a multi-objective optimisation method (lexicographic ordering); second, alternative trajectories are filtered and ranked using a combination of multi-criteria decision analysis methods (analytic hierarchy process and VIKOR). A realistic example of use shows the applicability of the process and studies the sensibility of the optimisation framework