12,553 research outputs found
Isoelastic Agents and Wealth Updates in Machine Learning Markets
Recently, prediction markets have shown considerable promise for developing
flexible mechanisms for machine learning. In this paper, agents with isoelastic
utilities are considered. It is shown that the costs associated with
homogeneous markets of agents with isoelastic utilities produce equilibrium
prices corresponding to alpha-mixtures, with a particular form of mixing
component relating to each agent's wealth. We also demonstrate that wealth
accumulation for logarithmic and other isoelastic agents (through payoffs on
prediction of training targets) can implement both Bayesian model updates and
mixture weight updates by imposing different market payoff structures. An
iterative algorithm is given for market equilibrium computation. We demonstrate
that inhomogeneous markets of agents with isoelastic utilities outperform state
of the art aggregate classifiers such as random forests, as well as single
classifiers (neural networks, decision trees) on a number of machine learning
benchmarks, and show that isoelastic combination methods are generally better
than their logarithmic counterparts.Comment: Appears in Proceedings of the 29th International Conference on
Machine Learning (ICML 2012
Financial Computational Intelligence
Artificial intelligence decision support system is always a popular topic in providing the human with an optimized decision recommendation when operating under uncertainty in complex environments. The particular focus of our discussion is to compare different methods of artificial intelligence decision support systems in the investment domain â the goal of investment decision-making is to select an optimal portfolio that satisfies the investorâs objective, or, in other words, to maximize the investment returns under the constraints given by investors. In this study we apply several artificial intelligence systems like Influence Diagram (a special type of Bayesian network), Decision Tree and Neural Network to get experimental comparison analysis to help users to intelligently select the best portfoliArtificial intelligence, neural network, decision tree, bayesian network
Dirichlet belief networks for topic structure learning
Recently, considerable research effort has been devoted to developing deep
architectures for topic models to learn topic structures. Although several deep
models have been proposed to learn better topic proportions of documents, how
to leverage the benefits of deep structures for learning word distributions of
topics has not yet been rigorously studied. Here we propose a new multi-layer
generative process on word distributions of topics, where each layer consists
of a set of topics and each topic is drawn from a mixture of the topics of the
layer above. As the topics in all layers can be directly interpreted by words,
the proposed model is able to discover interpretable topic hierarchies. As a
self-contained module, our model can be flexibly adapted to different kinds of
topic models to improve their modelling accuracy and interpretability.
Extensive experiments on text corpora demonstrate the advantages of the
proposed model.Comment: accepted in NIPS 201
Soft computing techniques applied to finance
Soft computing is progressively gaining presence in the financial world. The number of real and potential applications is very large and, accordingly, so is the presence of applied research papers in the literature. The aim of this paper is both to present relevant application areas, and to serve as an introduction to the subject. This paper provides arguments that justify the growing interest in these techniques among the financial community and introduces domains of application such as stock and currency market prediction, trading, portfolio management, credit scoring or financial distress prediction areas.Publicad
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