Estimating Solar Energy Production in Urban Areas for Electric Vehicles

Cities have a high potential for solar energy from PVs installed on buildings\u27 rooftops. There is an increased demand for solar energy in cities to reduce the negative effect of climate change. The thesis investigates solar energy potential in urban areas. It tries to determine how to detect and identify available rooftop areas, how to calculate suitable ones after excluding the effects of the shade, and the estimated energy generated from PVs. Geographic Information Sciences (GIS) and Remote Sensing (RS) are used in solar city planning. The goal of this research is to assess available and suitable rooftops areas using different GIS and RS techniques for installing PVs and estimating solar energy production for a sample of six compounds in New Cairo, and explore how to map urban areas on the city scale. In this research, the study area is the new Cairo city which has a high potential for harvesting solar energy, buildings in each compound have the same height, which does not cast shade on other buildings affecting PV efficiency. When applying GIS and RS techniques in New Cairo city, it is found that environmental factors - such as bare soil - affect the accuracy of the result, which reached 67% on the city scale. Researching more minor scales, such as compounds, required Very High Resolution (VHR) satellite images with a spatial resolution of up to 0.5 meter. The RS techniques applied in this research included supervised classification, and feature extraction, on Pleiades-1b VHR. On the compound scale, the accuracy assessment for the samples ranged between 74.6% and 96.875%. Estimating the PV energy production requires solar data; which was collected using a weather station and a pyrometer at the American University in Cairo, which is typical of the neighboring compounds in the new Cairo region. It took three years to collect the solar incidence data. The Hay- Devis, Klucher, and Reindl (HDKR) model is then employed to extrapolate the solar radiation measured on horizontal surfaces β =0°, to that on tilted surfaces with inclination angles β =10°, 20°, 30° and 45°. The calculated (with help of GIS and Solar radiation models) net rooftop area available for capturing solar radiation was determined for sample New Cairo compounds . The available rooftop areas were subject to the restriction that all the PVs would be coplanar, none of the PVs would protrude outside the rooftop boundaries, and no shading of PVs would occur at any time of the year; moreover typical other rooftop occupied areas, and actual dimensions of typical roof top PVs were taken into consideration. From those calculations, both the realistic total annual Electrical energy produced by the PVs and their daily monthly energy produced are deduced. The former is relevant if the PVs are tied to a grid, whereas the other is more relevant if it is not; optimization is different for both. Results were extended to estimate the total number of cars that may be driven off PV converted solar radiation per home, for different scenarios

Energy Management of Distributed Generation Systems

The book contains 10 chapters, and it is divided into four sections. The first section includes three chapters, providing an overview of Energy Management of Distributed Systems. It outlines typical concepts, such as Demand-Side Management, Demand Response, Distributed, and Hierarchical Control for Smart Micro-Grids. The second section contains three chapters and presents different control algorithms, software architectures, and simulation tools dedicated to Energy Management Systems. In the third section, the importance and the role of energy storage technology in a Distribution System, describing and comparing different types of energy storage systems, is shown. The fourth section shows how to identify and address potential threats for a Home Energy Management System. Finally, the fifth section discusses about Economical Optimization of Operational Cost for Micro-Grids, pointing out the effect of renewable energy sources, active loads, and energy storage systems on economic operation

Optimal Management of an Integrated Electric Vehicle Charging Station under Weather Impacts

The focus of this Dissertation is on developing an optimal management of what is called the “Integrated Electric Vehicle Charging Station” (IEVCS) comprising the charging stations for the Plug-in Electric Vehicles (PEVs), renewable (solar) power generation resources, and fixed battery energy storage in the buildings. The reliability and availability of the electricity supply caused by severe weather elements are affecting utility customers with such integrated facilities. The proposed management approach allows such a facility to be coordinated to mitigate the potential impact of weather condition on customers electricity supply, and to provide warnings for the customers and utilities to prepare for the potential electricity supply loss. The risk assessment framework can be used to estimate and mitigate such impacts. With proper control of photovoltaic (PV) generation, PEVs with mobile battery storage and fixed energy storage, customers’ electricity demand could be potentially more flexible, since they can choose to charge the vehicles when the grid load demand is light, and stop charging or even supply energy back to the grid or buildings when the grid load demand is high. The PV generation capacity can be used to charge the PEVs, fixed battery energy storage system (BESS) or supply power to the grid. Such increased demand flexibility can enable the demand response providers with more options to respond to electricity price changes. The charging stations integration and interfacing can be optimized to minimize the operational cost or support several utility applications

Modelling and Forecasting of Photovoltaic Generation for Microgrid Applications: from Theory to Validation

The penetration of stochastic renewable generation in modern power systems requires to reconsider conventional practices to ensure the reliable functioning of the electrical network. Decentralized control schemes for distributed energy resources (DERs) have gained attention to support the grid operation. In order to cope with the uncertainties of the DERs, predictive schemes that leverage on forecast of renewable generation recently came into prominence. The period of the control action typically depends on the availability of the reserve in the grid. For the case of microgrids, their limited physical extension and the lack of spatial smoothing imply fast power fluctuations and the necessity of coupling energy management strategies with real-time control. Among the DERs, small-scale photovoltaic (PV) systems are expected to represent most of the future available capacity, and consequently, solar resource assessment and power forecasting are of fundamental importance. This thesis focuses on developing forecasting methods and generation models to support the integration of photovoltaic systems in microgrids, considering short-term temporal horizons (below one hour) and fine spatial resolution (single site installations). In particular, we aim at computing probabilistic prediction intervals (PIs), i.e. we include information accounting for the intrinsic uncertainty of the prediction. In this respect, nonparametric tools to deliver PIs from sub-second to intra-hour forecasting horizons are proposed and benchmarked. They forecast the AC power and/or the global horizontal irradiance (GHI) by extracting selected endogenous influential variables from historical time series. The methods are shown to outperform available state-of-the-art techniques, and are able to capture the fastest fluctuations of small-scale PV plants. Then, we investigate how the inclusion of features from ground all-sky images can be used to improve time-series-based forecasting tools, thanks to identifying clouds movement. In this respect, we define a toolchain that allows predicting the cloud cover of the sun disk, through image processing and cloud motion identification. Furthermore, a methodology to estimate the irradiance from all-sky images is proposed, investigating the possibility of using an all-sky camera as an irradiance sensor. Next, we consider the problem of having power measurements that are corrupted by exogenous control actions (e.g. curtailment) and, therefore, not representative of the true potential of the PV plant. We propose a model-based strategy to reconstruct the maximum power production of a PV power plant thanks to integrating measurements of the PV cell temperature, system DC voltage and current. The strategy can improve time series-based direct power forecasting techniques when the production of the PV system is curtailed and thus the measured power does not correspond to the maximum available. The proposed methods to model and forecast the PV generation are then integrated in a single chain that allows to deliver power PIs that are able to account for the overall uncertainty of a PV system at a predefined confidence level. In the last part of the thesis, the proposed methods are experimentally validated in a real microgrid by considering possible applications in modern power systems

Investigations into microgrid sizing and energy management strategies

PhD ThesisThe evolution of microgrids represents a significant step towards the transition to more sustainable power systems. Recent trends in microgrids include the integration of renewable energy resources (RERs), alternative energy resources (AERs) and energy storage systems (ESSs). However, the integration of these systems creates new challenges on microgrid operation because of their stochastic and intermittent nature. To mitigate these challenges, determining the appropriate size together with the best energy management strategy (EMS) systems are essential to ensure economic and optimal performance. This thesis presents an investigation into sizing and energy management of microgrids. In the first part of the thesis, an analytical and economic sizing (AES) approach is developed to find the optimal size of a grid-connected photovoltaicbattery energy storage system (PV-BESS). The proposed approach determines the optimal size based on the minimum levelised cost of energy (LCOE). Fundamental to this approach obtains an improved formula of LCOE which includes new parameters for reflecting the impact of surplus PV energy and the energy purchased from the grid. In the second part of this thesis, an integrated framework is proposed for finding the best size-EMS combination of a stand-alone hybrid energy system (HES). The HES consists of PV, BESS, diesel generator, fuel cell, electrolyser, and hydrogen tank. The proposed framework includes three consecutive steps; first, performing the AES to obtain the initial size of the HES, second, implementing the initial EMS using finite automata (FA) and instantiating multiple EMSs; and third, developing an evaluation model to assess the instantiated EMSs and extract the featured conditions to produce an improved EMS. Then the AES approach is re-exercised using the improved EMS to obtain the best size-EMS combination. The core of this framework is utilising FA to implement various EMSs and capturing the impact of selecting the best EMS on the sizing of the HES. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis is performed to address the uncertainty in demand and solar radiation data showing their effect on the HES performance. The analysis is carried out by assuming variations in solar radiation and demand annual data. Several scenarios are generated from the sensitivity analysis, and a number of performance indices are computed for each scenario. Following that, a vii fuzzy logic controller is designed using the performance indices as fuzzy input sets. The objective of this controller is to modify the EMS obtained from the integrated framework. This can be accomplished by detecting any changes in the demand and solar radiation and accordingly modify the operating conditions of the diesel generator, fuel cell, and electrolyser. The performance of the proposed approaches is validated using real datasets for both demand and solar radiation. The results show the optimal size and EMS for both grid-connected and stand-alone microgrids. Moreover, the designed fuzzy logic controller enables the microgrid to mitigate the uncertainty in the demand and generation data. The proposed approaches can be used with various scales of microgrids to extract manifold benefits where reliability, environmental and cost requirements can not be tolerated.Applied Science Private University in Jorda