Detection, Emission Estimation and Risk Prediction of Forest Fires in China Using Satellite Sensors and Simulation Models in the Past Three Decades—An Overview

Forest fires have major impact on ecosystems and greatly impact the amount of greenhouse gases and aerosols in the atmosphere. This paper presents an overview in the forest fire detection, emission estimation, and fire risk prediction in China using satellite imagery, climate data, and various simulation models over the past three decades. Since the 1980s, remotely-sensed data acquired by many satellites, such as NOAA/AVHRR, FY-series, MODIS, CBERS, and ENVISAT, have been widely utilized for detecting forest fire hot spots and burned areas in China. Some developed algorithms have been utilized for detecting the forest fire hot spots at a sub-pixel level. With respect to modeling the forest burning emission, a remote sensing data-driven Net Primary productivity (NPP) estimation model was developed for estimating forest biomass and fuel. In order to improve the forest fire risk modeling in China, real-time meteorological data, such as surface temperature, relative humidity, wind speed and direction, have been used as the model input for improving prediction of forest fire occurrence and its behavior. Shortwave infrared (SWIR) and near infrared (NIR) channels of satellite sensors have been employed for detecting live fuel moisture content (FMC), and the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) was used for evaluating the forest vegetation condition and its moisture status

Pemanfaatan Citra VIIRS untuk Deteksi Asap Kebakaran Hutan dan Lahan di Indonesia

The observation of smoke because of land and forest fires in some regions in Indonesia mostly use the composite image visually. This study aims to develop the detection model of forest and land fire smoke using a digital analysis, which will be faster in supporting spatial information on emergency response in monitoring forest and land fire smoke. The method used is multi-threshold method and compare it with the existing model that is by modification of method Li et al. (2015). The data used is Suomi NPP-VIIRS satellite imagery. The results concluded that the VIIRS image can be used to detect the smoke and smoke distribution of forest fire and digital smoke. The multi-threshold model uses reflectance data obtained from the M4 visible channel, and the brightness temperature data obtained from the LWIR VIIRS M14 channel, with an average accuracy of 82.2% with a Commision error of 9.8% and an Ommision error of 10%. While the model of modification Li is based only on reflectance of visible-channel data i.e. channel M1, M2, M3, and SWIR VIIRS M11 channel, which has an average accuracy of 72.3% with a Commision error of 0.3% and an Ommision error of 27.4%. The multi-threshold model is a model that has the potential to be applied to detect forest and land fire smoke

Study Of Pool Fire Heat Release Rate Using Video Fire Detection

To provide fire safety for high performance buildings, various types of fire/smoke detection systems are developed. Video fire detection is one of the important aspects in the development of fire detection system. It is particularly useful in large spaces with high headroom and buildings with cross ventilation design where traditional spot type smoke detection methods may not be effective. For the development of video fire detection system, spatial, spectral and temporal parameters are used to identify the fire source. One of the parameters captured by the video fire detection system is the flame height. With the information of flame height, real time heat release rate of fire can be estimated which is a very important parameter in determining the smoke generation rate and fire severity. Such information is very important in assisting evacuation and smoke control. In this study, experiments of pool fires with different pool diameters of 100mm, 200mm, 300mm and 400mm are conducted in the fire chamber of the laboratory in Department of Building Services Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University. The flame images, room temperatures and mass loss rates of the fuel are measured. The flame images are segmented using multi – threshold algorithm in a modified Otsu method and Rayleigh distribution analysis (modified segmentation algorithm). The algorithm use the optimum threshold values calculated to extract the pool fire images from a video sequence. After segmentation, flame height information can be obtained. In addition, other flame characteristics are also used for recognizing the flame region including flame color, flame light intensity, flame shape, and flicker frequency. Once the flame height is identified by the system, the heat release rate can be estimated using the equation developed by McCaffrey. The calculated heat release rates are then compared with measured heat release rate data. The results show that using flame height image for estimating real time heat release rate is promising

A review of machine learning applications in wildfire science and management

Artificial intelligence has been applied in wildfire science and management since the 1990s, with early applications including neural networks and expert systems. Since then the field has rapidly progressed congruently with the wide adoption of machine learning (ML) in the environmental sciences. Here, we present a scoping review of ML in wildfire science and management. Our objective is to improve awareness of ML among wildfire scientists and managers, as well as illustrate the challenging range of problems in wildfire science available to data scientists. We first present an overview of popular ML approaches used in wildfire science to date, and then review their use in wildfire science within six problem domains: 1) fuels characterization, fire detection, and mapping; 2) fire weather and climate change; 3) fire occurrence, susceptibility, and risk; 4) fire behavior prediction; 5) fire effects; and 6) fire management. We also discuss the advantages and limitations of various ML approaches and identify opportunities for future advances in wildfire science and management within a data science context. We identified 298 relevant publications, where the most frequently used ML methods included random forests, MaxEnt, artificial neural networks, decision trees, support vector machines, and genetic algorithms. There exists opportunities to apply more current ML methods (e.g., deep learning and agent based learning) in wildfire science. However, despite the ability of ML models to learn on their own, expertise in wildfire science is necessary to ensure realistic modelling of fire processes across multiple scales, while the complexity of some ML methods requires sophisticated knowledge for their application. Finally, we stress that the wildfire research and management community plays an active role in providing relevant, high quality data for use by practitioners of ML methods.Comment: 83 pages, 4 figures, 3 table

Unsupervised Burned Area Estimation through Satellite Tiles: A multimodal approach by means of image segmentation over remote sensing imagery

Climate change is increasing the number and the magnitude of wildfires, which become every year more severe. An accurate delineation of burned areas, which is often done through time consuming and inaccurate manual approaches, is of paramount importance to estimate the economic impact of such events. In this paper we introduce Burned Area Estimation through satellite tiles (BAE), an unsupervised algorithm that couples image processing techniques and an unsupervised neural network to automatically delineate the burned areas of wildfires from satellite imagery. We show its capabilities by performing an evaluation over past wildfires across European and non-European countries

A Deep Learning Approach for Burned Area Segmentation with Sentinel-2 Data

Wildfires have major ecological, social and economic consequences. Information about the extent of burned areas is essential to assess these consequences and can be derived from remote sensing data. Over the last years, several methods have been developed to segment burned areas with satellite imagery. However, these methods mostly require extensive preprocessing, while deep learning techniques - which have successfully been applied to other segmentation tasks - have yet to be fully explored. In this work, we combine sensor-specific and methodological developments from the past few years and suggest an automatic processing chain, based on deep learning, for burned area segmentation using mono-temporal Sentinel-2 imagery. In particular, we created a new training and validation dataset, which is used to train a convolutional neural network based on a U-Net architecture. We performed several tests on the input data and reached optimal network performance using the spectral bands of the visual, near infrared and shortwave infrared domains. The final segmentation model achieved an overall accuracy of 0.98 and a kappa coefficient of 0.94

Supervised Machine Learning Approaches on Multispectral Remote Sensing Data for a Combined Detection of Fire and Burned Area

Bushfires pose a severe risk, among others, to humans, wildlife, and infrastructures. Rapid detection of fires is crucial for fire-extinguishing activities and rescue missions. Besides, mapping burned areas also supports evacuation and accessibility to emergency facilities. In this study, we propose a generic approach for detecting fires and burned areas based on machine learning (ML) approaches and remote sensing data. While most studies investigated either the detection of fires or mapping burned areas, we addressed and evaluated, in particular, the combined detection on three selected case study regions. Multispectral Sentinel-2 images represent the input data for the supervised ML models. First, we generated the reference data for the three target classes, burned, unburned, and fire, since no reference data were available. Second, the three regional fire datasets were preprocessed and divided into training, validation, and test subsets according to a defined schema. Furthermore, an undersampling approach ensured the balancing of the datasets. Third, seven selected supervised classification approaches were used and evaluated, including tree-based models, a self-organizing map, an artificial neural network, and a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN). All selected ML approaches achieved satisfying classification results. Moreover, they performed a highly accurate fire detection, while separating burned and unburned areas was slightly more challenging. The 1D-CNN and extremely randomized tree were the best-performing models with an overall accuracy score of 98 % on the test subsets. Even on an unknown test dataset, the 1D-CNN achieved high classification accuracies. This generalization is even more valuable for any use-case scenario, including the organization of fire-fighting activities or civil protection. The proposed combined detection could be extended and enhanced with crowdsourced data in further studies

Improving the estimation of fire danger, fire propagation and fire monitoring : new insights using remote sensing data and statistical methods

This thesis covers three major topics related to wildfires, remote sensing and meteorology: (i) quantifying and forecasting fire danger combining numerical weather forecasts and satellite observations of fire intensity; (ii) mapping burned areas from satellite observations with multiple spatial and spectral resolution; and (iii) modelling fire progression taking into account weather conditions and fuel (vegetation) availability. Regarding the first topic, an enhanced Fire Weather Index (FWI) is proposed by using statistical methods to combine the classical FWI with an atmospheric instability index with the aim of better forecasting the fire danger conditions favourable to the development of convective fires. Furthermore, the daily definition of the classical FWI was extended to an hourly timescale, allowing for assessment of the variability of the fire danger conditions throughout the day. For the second topic, a method is proposed to map and date burned areas using sequences of daily satellite data. This method, tested over several regions around the globe, provide burned area maps that outperform other existing methods for the task, particularly regarding the consistency and accuracy of the date of burning. Furthermore, a method is proposed for fast assessment of burned areas using 10-meter resolution satellite data and making use of Google Earth Engine (GEE) as a tool for preprocessing and downloading of data that is then used as input to a deep learning model that combines a coarse burned area map with the medium resolution data to provide a refined burned area map with 10-meter resolution at event level and with low computational requirements. Finally, for the third topic, a method is proposed to estimate the fire progression over a 12-hour period with resource to an ensemble of models trained based on the reconstruction of past events. Overall, I am confident that the results obtained and presented in this thesis provide a significant contribution to the remote sensing and wildfires scientific community while opening interesting paths for future research on the topics described

From Pillars to AI Technology-Based Forest Fire Protection Systems

The importance of forest environment in the perspective of the biodiversity as well as from the economic resources which forests enclose, is more than evident. Any threat posed to this critical component of the environment should be identified and attacked through the use of the most efficient available technological means. Early warning and immediate response to a fire event are critical in avoiding great environmental damages. Fire risk assessment, reliable detection and localization of fire as well as motion planning, constitute the most vital ingredients of a fire protection system. In this chapter, we review the evolution of the forest fire protection systems and emphasize on open issues and the improvements that can be achieved using artificial intelligence technology. We start our tour from the pillars which were for a long time period, the only possible method to oversee the forest fires. Then, we will proceed to the exploration of early AI systems and will end-up with nowadays systems that might receive multimodal data from satellites, optical and thermal sensors, smart phones and UAVs and use techniques that cover the spectrum from early signal processing algorithms to latest deep learning-based ones to achieving the ultimate goal