19,732 research outputs found
Intertemporal Choice of Fuzzy Soft Sets
This paper first merges two noteworthy aspects of choice. On the one hand, soft sets and fuzzy soft sets are popular models that have been largely applied to decision making problems, such as real estate valuation, medical diagnosis (glaucoma, prostate cancer, etc.), data mining, or international trade. They provide crisp or fuzzy parameterized descriptions of the universe of alternatives. On the other hand, in many decisions, costs and benefits occur at different points in time. This brings about intertemporal choices, which may involve an indefinitely large number of periods. However, the literature does not provide a model, let alone a solution, to the intertemporal problem when the alternatives are described by (fuzzy) parameterizations. In this paper, we propose a novel soft set inspired model that applies to the intertemporal framework, hence it fills an important gap in the development of fuzzy soft set theory. An algorithm allows the selection of the optimal option in intertemporal choice problems with an infinite time horizon. We illustrate its application with a numerical example involving alternative portfolios of projects that a public administration may undertake. This allows us to establish a pioneering intertemporal model of choice in the framework of extended fuzzy set theorie
Development of accident prediction model by using artificial neural network (ANN)
Statistical or crash prediction model have frequently been used in highway
safety studies. They can be used in identify major contributing factors or establish
relationship between crashes and explanatory accident variables. The
measurements to prevent accident are from the speed reduction, widening the
roads, speed enforcement, or construct the road divider, or other else. Therefore,
the purpose of this study is to develop an accident prediction model at federal road
FT 050 Batu Pahat to Kluang. The study process involves the identification of
accident blackspot locations, establishment of general patterns of accident, analysis
of the factors involved, site studies, and development of accident prediction model
using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) applied software which named
NeuroShell2. The significant of the variables that are selected from these accident
factors are checked to ensure the developed model can give a good prediction
results. The performance of neural network is evaluated by using the Mean
Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The study result showed that the best neural
network for accident prediction model at federal road FT 050 is 4-10-1 with 0.1
learning rate and 0.2 momentum rate. This network model contains the lowest
value of MAPE and highest value of linear correlation, r which is 0.8986. This
study has established the accident point weightage as the rank of the blackspot
section by kilometer along the FT 050 road (km 1 â km 103). Several main
accident factors also have been determined along this road, and after all the data
gained, it has successfully analyzed by using artificial neural network
Pembangunan dan penilaian modul berbantukan komputer bagi subjek pemasaran : Politeknik Port Dickson
Kajian ini bertujuan membangunkan Modul Berbantukan Komputer (MBK) bagi
subjek Pemasaran. MBK ini dibangunkan dengan menggunakan pensian AutoPlay
Media dan Flash MX. Sampel kajian ini terdiri daripada 30 orang pelajar Diploma
Pemasaran di Politeknik Port Dickson. Data dikumpulkan melalui kaedah soal
selidik dan dianalisis berdasarkan kekerpan, peratusan dan skor min dengan
menggunakan perisian Statistical Package For Social Sciene (SPSS) versi 11.0.
Dapatan kajian menunjukkan penilaian terhadap pembagunan MBK di dalam proses
P&P adalah tinggi. Ini bermakna MBK ini sesuai digunakan di Politeknik Port
Dickson di dalam proses P&P
Dominance Measuring Method Performance under Incomplete Information about Weights.
In multi-attribute utility theory, it is often not easy to elicit precise values for the scaling weights representing the relative importance of criteria. A very widespread approach is to gather incomplete information. A recent approach for dealing with such situations is to use information about each alternative?s intensity of dominance, known as dominance measuring methods. Different dominancemeasuring methods have been proposed, and simulation studies have been carried out to compare these methods with each other and with other approaches but only when ordinal information about weights is available. In this paper, we useMonte Carlo simulation techniques to analyse the performance of and adapt such methods to deal with weight intervals, weights fitting independent normal probability distributions orweights represented by fuzzy numbers.Moreover, dominance measuringmethod performance is also compared with a widely used methodology dealing with incomplete information on weights, the stochastic multicriteria acceptability analysis (SMAA). SMAA is based on exploring the weight space to describe the evaluations that would make each alternative the preferred one
On the role of pre and post-processing in environmental data mining
The quality of discovered knowledge is highly depending on data quality. Unfortunately real data use to contain noise, uncertainty, errors, redundancies or even irrelevant information. The more complex is the reality to be analyzed, the higher the risk of getting low quality data. Knowledge Discovery from Databases (KDD) offers a global framework to prepare data in the right form to perform correct analyses. On the other hand, the quality of decisions taken upon KDD results, depend not only on the quality of the results themselves, but on the capacity of the system to communicate those results in an understandable form. Environmental systems are particularly complex and environmental users particularly require clarity in their results. In this paper some details about how this can be achieved are provided. The role of the pre and post processing in the whole process of Knowledge Discovery in environmental systems is discussed
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