On asymptotically optimal tests under loss of identifiability in semiparametric models

We consider tests of hypotheses when the parameters are not identifiable under the null in semiparametric models, where regularity conditions for profile likelihood theory fail. Exponential average tests based on integrated profile likelihood are constructed and shown to be asymptotically optimal under a weighted average power criterion with respect to a prior on the nonidentifiable aspect of the model. These results extend existing results for parametric models, which involve more restrictive assumptions on the form of the alternative than do our results. Moreover, the proposed tests accommodate models with infinite dimensional nuisance parameters which either may not be identifiable or may not be estimable at the usual parametric rate. Examples include tests of the presence of a change-point in the Cox model with current status data and tests of regression parameters in odds-rate models with right censored data. Optimal tests have not previously been studied for these scenarios. We study the asymptotic distribution of the proposed tests under the null, fixed contiguous alternatives and random contiguous alternatives. We also propose a weighted bootstrap procedure for computing the critical values of the test statistics. The optimal tests perform well in simulation studies, where they may exhibit improved power over alternative tests.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/08-AOS643 the Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org

Empirical likelihood inference with applications to some econometric models

In this paper we analyse the higher order asymptotic properties of the empirical likelihood ratio test, by means of the dual likelihood theory. It is shown that when the econometric model is just identified, these tests are accurate to an order o(1/n), and this accuracy can always be improved to an order O(1/n^2) by means of a scale correction, as in standard parametric theory. To show this, we first develop a valid Edgeworth expansion for the empirical likelihood ratio under a local alternative in terms of an "induced" local alternative. As a by-product of the expansion, we find an explicit expression for the Bartlett correction in terms of cumulants of dual likelihood derivatives which is slightly different from the standard adjustment reported in the literature on Bartlett corrections of the empirical likelihood ratio. We then highlight the connection between the empirical likelihood method and the bootstrap by obtaining a valid Edgeworth expansion for a bootstrap based empirical likelihood ratio test. The theory is then applied to some standard econometric models and illustrated by means of some Monte Carlo simulations.

Transformations for multivariate statistics

This paper derives transformations for multivariate statistics that eliminate asymptotic skewness, extending the results of Niki and Konishi (1986, Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 38, 371-383). Within the context of valid Edgeworth expansions for such statistics we first derive the set of equations that such a transformation must satisfy and second propose a local solution that is sufficient up to the desired order. Application of these results yields two useful corollaries. First, it is possible to eliminate the first correction term in an Edgeworth expansion, thereby accelerating convergence to the leading term normal approximation. Second, bootstrapping the transformed statistic can yield the same rate of convergence of the double, or prepivoted, bootstrap of Beran (1988, Journal of the American Statistical Association 83, 687-697), applied to the original statistic, implying a significant computational saving. The analytic results are illustrated by application to the family of exponential models, in which the transformation is seen to depend only upon the properties of the likelihood. The numerical properties are examined within a class of nonlinear regression models (logit, probit, Poisson, and exponential regressions), where the adequacy of the limiting normal and of the bootstrap (utilizing the k-step procedure of Andrews, 2002, Econometrica 70, 119-162) as distributional approximations is assessed