About the Approximation of Stochastic Petri Nets by Continuous Petri Nets: Several Regions

Reliability analysis is often based on stochastic discrete event models like Markov models or stochastic Petri nets. For complex dynamical systems with numerous components, analytical expressions of the steady state are tedious to work out because of the combinatory explosion with discrete models. Moreover, the convergence of stochastic estimators is slow. For these reasons, fluidification can be investigated to estimate the asymptotic behaviour of stochastic processes with timed continuous Petri nets. The contribution of this paper is to point out the limits of the fluidification in the context of the stochastic steady state approximation. Unfortunately, the asymptotic mean marking of stochastic and continuous Petri nets with same structure and same initial marking are mainly often different. This paper shows that this difficulty is related to the partition in regions of the reachability state space and the existence of critical region

Performance evaluation of an emergency call center: tropical polynomial systems applied to timed Petri nets

We analyze a timed Petri net model of an emergency call center which processes calls with different levels of priority. The counter variables of the Petri net represent the cumulated number of events as a function of time. We show that these variables are determined by a piecewise linear dynamical system. We also prove that computing the stationary regimes of the associated fluid dynamics reduces to solving a polynomial system over a tropical (min-plus) semifield of germs. This leads to explicit formul{\ae} expressing the throughput of the fluid system as a piecewise linear function of the resources, revealing the existence of different congestion phases. Numerical experiments show that the analysis of the fluid dynamics yields a good approximation of the real throughput.Comment: 21 pages, 4 figures. A shorter version can be found in the proceedings of the conference FORMATS 201

About Dynamical Systems Appearing in the Microscopic Traffic Modeling

Motivated by microscopic traffic modeling, we analyze dynamical systems which have a piecewise linear concave dynamics not necessarily monotonic. We introduce a deterministic Petri net extension where edges may have negative weights. The dynamics of these Petri nets are well-defined and may be described by a generalized matrix with a submatrix in the standard algebra with possibly negative entries, and another submatrix in the minplus algebra. When the dynamics is additively homogeneous, a generalized additive eigenvalue may be introduced, and the ergodic theory may be used to define a growth rate under additional technical assumptions. In the traffic example of two roads with one junction, we compute explicitly the eigenvalue and we show, by numerical simulations, that these two quantities (the additive eigenvalue and the growth rate) are not equal, but are close to each other. With this result, we are able to extend the well-studied notion of fundamental traffic diagram (the average flow as a function of the car density on a road) to the case of two roads with one junction and give a very simple analytic approximation of this diagram where four phases appear with clear traffic interpretations. Simulations show that the fundamental diagram shape obtained is also valid for systems with many junctions. To simulate these systems, we have to compute their dynamics, which are not quite simple. For building them in a modular way, we introduce generalized parallel, series and feedback compositions of piecewise linear concave dynamics.Comment: PDF 38 page

CSL model checking of Deterministic and Stochastic Petri Nets

Deterministic and Stochastic Petri Nets (DSPNs) are a widely used high-level formalism for modeling discrete-event systems where events may occur either without consuming time, after a deterministic time, or after an exponentially distributed time. The underlying process dened by DSPNs, under certain restrictions, corresponds to a class of Markov Regenerative Stochastic Processes (MRGP). In this paper, we investigate the use of CSL (Continuous Stochastic Logic) to express probabilistic properties, such a time-bounded until and time-bounded next, at the DSPN level. The verication of such properties requires the solution of the steady-state and transient probabilities of the underlying MRGP. We also address a number of semantic issues regarding the application of CSL on MRGP and provide numerical model checking algorithms for this logic. A prototype model checker, based on SPNica, is also described

Ranking Functions for Vector Addition Systems

Vector addition systems are an important model in theoretical computer science and have been used for the analysis of systems in a variety of areas. Termination is a crucial property of vector addition systems and has received considerable interest in the literature. In this paper we give a complete method for the construction of ranking functions for vector addition systems with states. The interest in ranking functions is motivated by the fact that ranking functions provide valuable additional information in case of termination: They provide an explanation for the progress of the vector addition system, which can be reported to the user of a verification tool, and can be used as certificates for termination. Moreover, we show how ranking functions can be used for the computational complexity analysis of vector addition systems (here complexity refers to the number of steps the vector addition system under analysis can take in terms of the given initial vector)

Analysis of Petri Net Models through Stochastic Differential Equations

It is well known, mainly because of the work of Kurtz, that density dependent Markov chains can be approximated by sets of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) when their indexing parameter grows very large. This approximation cannot capture the stochastic nature of the process and, consequently, it can provide an erroneous view of the behavior of the Markov chain if the indexing parameter is not sufficiently high. Important phenomena that cannot be revealed include non-negligible variance and bi-modal population distributions. A less-known approximation proposed by Kurtz applies stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and provides information about the stochastic nature of the process. In this paper we apply and extend this diffusion approximation to study stochastic Petri nets. We identify a class of nets whose underlying stochastic process is a density dependent Markov chain whose indexing parameter is a multiplicative constant which identifies the population level expressed by the initial marking and we provide means to automatically construct the associated set of SDEs. Since the diffusion approximation of Kurtz considers the process only up to the time when it first exits an open interval, we extend the approximation by a machinery that mimics the behavior of the Markov chain at the boundary and allows thus to apply the approach to a wider set of problems. The resulting process is of the jump-diffusion type. We illustrate by examples that the jump-diffusion approximation which extends to bounded domains can be much more informative than that based on ODEs as it can provide accurate quantity distributions even when they are multi-modal and even for relatively small population levels. Moreover, we show that the method is faster than simulating the original Markov chain