Asymptotic Consistency for Nonconvex Risk-Averse Stochastic Optimization with Infinite Dimensional Decision Spaces

Optimal values and solutions of empirical approximations of stochastic optimization problems can be viewed as statistical estimators of their true values. From this perspective, it is important to understand the asymptotic behavior of these estimators as the sample size goes to infinity. This area of study has a long tradition in stochastic programming. However, the literature is lacking consistency analysis for problems in which the decision variables are taken from an infinite dimensional space, which arise in optimal control, scientific machine learning, and statistical estimation. By exploiting the typical problem structures found in these applications that give rise to hidden norm compactness properties for solution sets, we prove consistency results for nonconvex risk-averse stochastic optimization problems formulated in infinite dimensional space. The proof is based on several crucial results from the theory of variational convergence. The theoretical results are demonstrated for several important problem classes arising in the literature.Comment: 24 page

Non-asymptotic confidence bounds for the optimal value of a stochastic program

We discuss a general approach to building non-asymptotic confidence bounds for stochastic optimization problems. Our principal contribution is the observation that a Sample Average Approximation of a problem supplies upper and lower bounds for the optimal value of the problem which are essentially better than the quality of the corresponding optimal solutions. At the same time, such bounds are more reliable than "standard" confidence bounds obtained through the asymptotic approach. We also discuss bounding the optimal value of MinMax Stochastic Optimization and stochastically constrained problems. We conclude with a simulation study illustrating the numerical behavior of the proposed bounds

Bounding Optimality Gap in Stochastic Optimization via Bagging: Statistical Efficiency and Stability

We study a statistical method to estimate the optimal value, and the optimality gap of a given solution for stochastic optimization as an assessment of the solution quality. Our approach is based on bootstrap aggregating, or bagging, resampled sample average approximation (SAA). We show how this approach leads to valid statistical confidence bounds for non-smooth optimization. We also demonstrate its statistical efficiency and stability that are especially desirable in limited-data situations, and compare these properties with some existing methods. We present our theory that views SAA as a kernel in an infinite-order symmetric statistic, which can be approximated via bagging. We substantiate our theoretical findings with numerical results

Accuracy of numerical solutions using the eulers equation residuals

In this paper we derive sorne asymptotic properties on the accuracy of numerical solutions. We sIlow tIlat the approximation error of the policy function is of the same order of magnitude as the size of the Euler equation residuals. Moreover, for bounding this approximation error tIle most relevant parameters are the discount factor and the curvature of the return function. These findings provide theoretical foundations for the construction of tests that can assess the performance of alternative computational methods