Machine Learning-Incorporated Transient Stability Prediction and Preventive Dispatch for Power Systems with High Wind Power Penetration

Historically, transient instability has been the most severe stability challenge for most systems. Transient stability prediction and preventive dispatch are two important measures against instability. The former measure refers to the rapid prediction of impending system stability issues in case of a contingency using real-time measurements, and the latter enhances the system stability against preconceived contingencies leveraging power dispatch. Over the last decade, large-scale renewable energy generation has been integrated into power systems, with wind power being the largest single source of increased renewable energy globally. The continuous evolution of the power system poses more challenges to transient stability. Specifically, the integration of wind power can decrease system inertia, affect system dynamics, and change the dispatch and power flow pattern frequently. As a result, the effectiveness of conventional stability prediction and preventive dispatch approaches is challenged. In response, a novel transient stability prediction method is proposed. First, a stability index (SI) that calculates the stability margin of a wind power-integrated power system is developed. In this method, wind power plants (WPPs) are represented as variable admittances to be integrated into an equivalent network during transients, whereby all WPP nodes are eliminated from the system, while their transient effects on each synchronous generator are retained. Next, the calculation of the kinetic and potential energies of a system is derived, and accordingly, a novel SI is put forward. The novel approach is then proposed taking advantage of the machine learning (ML) technique and the newly defined SI. In case of a contingency, the developed SI is calculated in parallel for all possible instability modes (IMs). The SIs are then formed as a vector and applied to an ensemble learning-trained model for transient stability prediction. Compared with the features used in other studies, the SI vector is more informative and discriminative, thus lead to a more accurate and reliable prediction. The proposed approach is validated on two IEEE test systems with various wind power penetration levels and compared to the existing methods, followed by a discussion of results. In addition, to address the issues existing in preventive dispatch for high wind power-integrated electrical systems, an hour-ahead probabilistic transient stability-constrained power dispatching method is proposed. First, to avoid massive transient stability simulations in each dispatching operation, an ML-based model is trained to predict the critical clearing time (CCT) and IM for all preconceived fault scenarios. Next, a set of IM-categorized probabilistic transient stability constraints (PTSCs) are constructed. Based on the predictions, the system operation plan is assessed with respect to the PTSCs. Then, the sensitivity of the probabilistic level of CCT is calculated with respect to the active power generated from the critical generators for each IM category. Accordingly, the implicit PTSCs are converted into explicit dispatching constraints, and the dispatch is rescheduled to ensure the probabilistic stability requirements of the system are met at an economical operating cost. The proposed approach is validated on modified IEEE 68- and 300-bus test systems, wherein the wind power installed capacity accounts for 40% and 50% of the total load, respectively, reporting high computational efficiency and high-quality solutions. The ML-incorporated transient stability prediction and preventive dispatch methods proposed in this research work can help to maintain the transient stability of the system and avoid the widespread blackouts

A Review of Fault Diagnosing Methods in Power Transmission Systems

Transient stability is important in power systems. Disturbances like faults need to be segregated to restore transient stability. A comprehensive review of fault diagnosing methods in the power transmission system is presented in this paper. Typically, voltage and current samples are deployed for analysis. Three tasks/topics; fault detection, classification, and location are presented separately to convey a more logical and comprehensive understanding of the concepts. Feature extractions, transformations with dimensionality reduction methods are discussed. Fault classification and location techniques largely use artificial intelligence (AI) and signal processing methods. After the discussion of overall methods and concepts, advancements and future aspects are discussed. Generalized strengths and weaknesses of different AI and machine learning-based algorithms are assessed. A comparison of different fault detection, classification, and location methods is also presented considering features, inputs, complexity, system used and results. This paper may serve as a guideline for the researchers to understand different methods and techniques in this field

Dynamic Stability with Artificial Intelligence in Smart Grids

Environmental concerns are among the main drives of the energy transition in power systems. Smart grids are the natural evolution of power systems to become more efficient and sustainable. This modernization coincides with the vast and wide integration of energy generation and storage systems dependent on power electronics. At the same time, the low inertia power electronics, introduce new challenges in power system dynamics. In fact, the synchronisation capabilities of power systems are threatened by the emergence of new oscillations and the displacement of conventional solutions for ensuring the stability of power systems. This necessitates an equal modernization of the methods to maintain the rotor angle stability in the future smart grids. The applications of artificial intelligence in power systems are constantly increasing. The thesis reviews the most relevant works for monitoring, predicting, and controlling the rotor angle stability of power systems and presents a novel controller for power oscillation damping

Dynamic stability with artificial intelligence in smart grids

Environmental concerns are among the main drives of the energy transition in power systems. Smart grids are the natural evolution of power systems to become more efficient and sustainable. This modernization coincides with the vast and wide integration of energy generation and storage systems dependent on power electronics. At the same time, the low inertia power electronics, introduce new challenges in power system dynamics. In fact, the synchronisation capabilities of power systems are threatened by the emergence of new oscillations and the displacement of conventional solutions for ensuring the stability of power systems. This necessitates an equal modernization of the methods to maintain the rotor angle stability in the future smart grids. The applications of artificial intelligence in power systems are constantly increasing. The thesis reviews the most relevant works for monitoring, predicting, and controlling the rotor angle stability of power systems and presents a novel controller for power oscillation damping

DEEP LEARNING BASED POWER SYSTEM STABILITY ASSESSMENT FOR REDUCED WECC SYSTEM

Power system stability is the ability of power system, for a giving initial operating condition, to reach a new operation condition with most of the system variables bounded in normal range after subjecting to a short or long disturbance. Traditional power system stability mainly uses time-domain simulation which is very time consuming and only appropriate for offline assessment. Nowadays, with increasing penetration of inverter based renewable, large-scale distributed energy storage integration and operation uncertainty brought by weather and electricity market, system dynamic and operating condition is more dramatic, and traditional power system stability assessment based on scheduling may not be able to cover all the real-time dispatch scenarios, also online assessment and self-awareness for modern power system becomes more and more important and urgent for power system dynamic security. With the development of fast computation resources and more available online dataset, machine learning techniques have been developed and applied to many areas recently and could potentially applied to power system application. In this dissertation, a deep learning-based power system stability assessment is proposed. Its accurate and fast assessment for power system dynamic security is useful in many places, including day-ahead scheduling, real-time operation, and long-term planning. The simplified Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) 240-bus system with renewable penetration up to 49.2% is used as the study system. The dataset generation, model training and error analysis are demonstrated, and the results show that the proposed deep learning-based method can accurately and fast predict the power system stability. Compared with traditional time simulation method, its near millisecond prediction makes the online assessment and self-awareness possible in future power system application

Machine Learning Techniques for Electrical Validation Enhancement Processes

Post-Silicon system margin validation consumes a significant amount of time and resources. To overcome this, a reduced validation plan for derivative products has previously been used. However, a certain amount of validation is still needed to avoid escapes, which is prone to subjective bias by the validation engineer comparing a reduced set of derivative validation data against the base product data. Machine Learning techniques allow, to perform automatic decisions and predictions based on already available historical data. In this work, we present an efficient methodology implemented with Machine Learning to make an automatic risk assessment decision and eye margin estimation measurements for derivative products, considering a large set of parameters obtained from the base product. The proposed methodology yields a high performance on the risk assessment decision and the estimation by regression, which translates into a significant reduction in time, effort, and resources