Approximate inference using DC programming for collective graphical models

National Research Foundation (NRF) Singapore under Corp Lab @ University schem

The Lazy Flipper: MAP Inference in Higher-Order Graphical Models by Depth-limited Exhaustive Search

This article presents a new search algorithm for the NP-hard problem of optimizing functions of binary variables that decompose according to a graphical model. It can be applied to models of any order and structure. The main novelty is a technique to constrain the search space based on the topology of the model. When pursued to the full search depth, the algorithm is guaranteed to converge to a global optimum, passing through a series of monotonously improving local optima that are guaranteed to be optimal within a given and increasing Hamming distance. For a search depth of 1, it specializes to Iterated Conditional Modes. Between these extremes, a useful tradeoff between approximation quality and runtime is established. Experiments on models derived from both illustrative and real problems show that approximations found with limited search depth match or improve those obtained by state-of-the-art methods based on message passing and linear programming.Comment: C++ Source Code available from http://hci.iwr.uni-heidelberg.de/software.ph

Modeling Complex Networks For (Electronic) Commerce

NYU, Stern School of Business, IOMS Department, Center for Digital Economy Researc

Generalized belief change with imprecise probabilities and graphical models

We provide a theoretical investigation of probabilistic belief revision in complex frameworks, under extended conditions of uncertainty, inconsistency and imprecision. We motivate our kinematical approach by specializing our discussion to probabilistic reasoning with graphical models, whose modular representation allows for efficient inference. Most results in this direction are derived from the relevant work of Chan and Darwiche (2005), that first proved the inter-reducibility of virtual and probabilistic evidence. Such forms of information, deeply distinct in their meaning, are extended to the conditional and imprecise frameworks, allowing further generalizations, e.g. to experts' qualitative assessments. Belief aggregation and iterated revision of a rational agent's belief are also explored