Characterization based machine learning modeling for the prediction of the rheological properties of water‑based drilling mud

The successful drilling operation depends upon the achievement of target drilling attributes within the environmental and economic constraints but this is not possible only on the basis of laboratory testing due to the limitation of time and resources. The chemistry of the mud decides its rheological potential and selection of the techniques required for recycling operations. Conductivity, pH, and photometer testing were performed for the physio-chemical characterization of the grass to be used as an environmental friendly drilling mud additive. In this study, different particle sizes (75, 150, and 300 µm) of grass powder were mixed in mud density of 8.5, 8.6, and 8.7 ppg in the measurement of gel strength and viscosity of drilling mud. The grass additive was added in different weight conditions considering no additive, 0.25, 0.5, and 1 g to assess the contribution of grass on the gel strength and viscosity of the drilling mud. The machine learning techniques (Multivariate Linear Regression Analysis, Artificial Neural Network, Support Vector Machine Regression, k-Nearest Neighbor, Decision Stump, Random Forest, and Random Tree approaches) were applied to the generated rheological data. The results of the study show that grass can be used for the improvement of the gel strength and viscosity of the drilling mud. The highest improvement of the viscosity was seen when grass powder of 150 µm was added in the 8.7 ppg drilling mud in 0.25, 0.5, and 1 g weights. The gel strength of the drilling mud was improved when the grass additive was added to the drilling mud 8.7 ppg. Random forest and Artificial Neural Network had the same results of 0.72 regression coefficient (R2) for the estimation of viscosity of the drilling mud. The random tree was found as the most effective technique for the modeling of gel strength at 10 min (GS_10min) of the drilling mud. The predictions of Artificial Neural Network had 0.92 R2 against the measured gel strength at 10 s (GS_10sec) of the drilling mud. On average, Artificial Neural Network predicted the rheological properties of the mud with the highest accuracy as compared to other machine learning approaches. The work may serve as a key source to estimate the net effect of grass additives for the improvement of the gel strength and viscosity of the drilling mud without the performance of any large number of laboratory tests.publishedVersio

Evaluation of CO2 Injection in Shale Gas Reservoirs through Numerical Reservoir Simulation and Supervised Machine Learning

CO2 geological storage is an important means to decarbonize the economy, but also expensive in field applications. CO2 injection into shale gas reservoirs can significantly increase the economic incentive by enhancing shale gas production through CO2 preferential adsorption in shales. This work presents a practical framework to evaluate and predict the CO2 adsorption process and CH4 production in shales through a combination of numerical reservoir simulation and supervised machine learning

Enhanced oil recovery by nanoparticles flooding: From numerical modeling improvement to machine learning prediction

Nowadays, enhanced oil recovery using nanoparticles is considered an innovative approach to increase oil production. This paper focuses on predicting nanoparticles transport in porous media using machine learning techniques including random forest, gradient boosting regression, decision tree, and artificial neural networks. Due to the lack of data on nanoparticles transport in porous media, this work generates artificial datasets using a numerical model that are validated against experimental data from the literature. Six experiments with different nanoparticles types with various physical features are selected to validate the numerical model. Therefore, the researchers produce six datasets from the experiments and create an additional dataset by combining all other datasets. Also, data preprocessing, correlation, and features importance methods are investigated using the Scikit-learn library. Moreover, hyperparameters tuning are optimized using the GridSearchCV algorithm. The performance of predictive models is evaluated using the mean absolute error, the R-squared correlation, the mean squared error, and the root mean squared error. The results show that the decision tree model has the best performance and highest accuracy in one of the datasets. On the other hand, the random forest model has the lowest root mean squared error and highest R-squared values in the rest of the datasets, including the combined dataset.Cited as: Alwated, B., El-Amin, M.F. Enhanced oil recovery by nanoparticles flooding: From numerical modeling improvement to machine learning prediction. Advances in Geo-Energy Research, 2021, 5(3): 297-317, doi: 10.46690/ager.2021.03.0

Data-Driven Modeling and Prediction for Reservoir Characterization and Simulation Using Seismic and Petrophysical Data Analyses

This study explores the application of data-driven modeling and prediction in reservoir characterization and simulation using seismic and petrophysical data analyses. Different aspects of the application of data-driven modeling methods are studied, which include rock facies classification, seismic attribute analyses, petrophysical properties prediction, seismic facies segmentation, and reservoir dimension reduction. The application of using petrophysical well logs to predict rock facies is explored using different data analytics methods including decision tree, random forest, support vector machine and neural network. Different models are trained from a set of well logs and pre-interpreted rock facies data. Among the compared methods, the random forest method has the best performance in classifying rock facies in the dataset. Seismic attribute values from a 3D seismic survey and petrophysical properties from well logs are collected to explore the relationships between seismic data and well logs. In this study, deep learning neural network models are created to establish the relationships. The results show that a deep learning neural network model with multi-hidden layers is capable to predict porosity values using extracted seismic attribute values. The utilization of a set of seismic attributes improves the model performance in predicting porosity values from seismic data. This study also presents a novel deep learning approach to automatically identify salt bodies directly from seismic images. A wavelet convolutional neural network (Wavelet CNN) model, which combines wavelet transformation analyses with a traditional convolutional neural network (CNN), is developed and demonstrated to increase the accuracy in predicting salt boundaries from seismic images. The Wavelet CNN model outperforms the conventional image recognition techniques, providing higher accuracy, to identify salt bodies from seismic images. Besides, this study evaluates the effect of singular value decomposition (SVD) in dimension reduction of permeability fields during reservoir modeling. Reservoir simulation results show that SVD is valid in the parameterization of the permeability field. The reconstructed permeability fields after SVD processing are good approximations of the original permeability values. This study also evaluates the application of SVD on upscaling for reservoir modeling. Different upscaling schemes are applied on the permeability field, and their performance are evaluated using reservoir simulation

An artificial lift selection approach using machine learning: a case study in Sudan.

This article presents a machine learning (ML) application to examine artificial lift (AL) selection, using only field production datasets from a Sudanese oil field. Five ML algorithms were used to develop a selection model, and the results demonstrated the ML capabilities in the optimum selection, with accuracy reaching 93%. Moreover, the predicted AL has a better production performance than the actual ones in the field. The research shows the significant production parameters to consider in AL type and size selection. The top six critical factors affecting AL selection are gas, cumulatively produced fluid, wellhead pressure, GOR, produced water, and the implemented EOR. This article contributes significantly to the literature and proposes a new and efficient approach to selecting the optimum AL to maximize oil production and profitability, reducing the analysis time and production losses associated with inconsistency in selection and frequent AL replacement. This study offers a universal model that can be applied to any oil field with different parameters and lifting methods

Predicting oil field performance using machine learning programming : a comparative case study from the UK continental shelf

Funding Information: Author contributions UO: data curation (lead), formal analysis (lead), funding acquisition (lead), methodology (equal), validation (lead), visualization (equal), writing – original draft (lead); JH: conceptualization (lead), methodology (equal), supervision (lead), visualization (equal), writing – review & editing (lead) Funding This work was funded by the Petroleum Technology Development Fund (PTDF/ED/OSS/PHD/OU/1188/17).Peer reviewedPublisher PD

Oil and Gas flow Anomaly Detection on offshore naturally flowing wells using Deep Neural Networks

Dissertation presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Data Science and Advanced Analytics, specialization in Data ScienceThe Oil and Gas industry, as never before, faces multiple challenges. It is being impugned for being dirty, a pollutant, and hence the more demand for green alternatives. Nevertheless, the world still has to rely heavily on hydrocarbons, since it is the most traditional and stable source of energy, as opposed to extensively promoted hydro, solar or wind power. Major operators are challenged to produce the oil more efficiently, to counteract the newly arising energy sources, with less of a climate footprint, more scrutinized expenditure, thus facing high skepticism regarding its future. It has to become greener, and hence to act in a manner not required previously. While most of the tools used by the Hydrocarbon E&P industry is expensive and has been used for many years, it is paramount for the industry’s survival and prosperity to apply predictive maintenance technologies, that would foresee potential failures, making production safer, lowering downtime, increasing productivity and diminishing maintenance costs. Many efforts were applied in order to define the most accurate and effective predictive methods, however data scarcity affects the speed and capacity for further experimentations. Whilst it would be highly beneficial for the industry to invest in Artificial Intelligence, this research aims at exploring, in depth, the subject of Anomaly Detection, using the open public data from Petrobras, that was developed by experts. For this research the Deep Learning Neural Networks, such as Recurrent Neural Networks with LSTM and GRU backbones, were implemented for multi-class classification of undesirable events on naturally flowing wells. Further, several hyperparameter optimization tools were explored, mainly focusing on Genetic Algorithms as being the most advanced methods for such kind of tasks. The research concluded with the best performing algorithm with 2 stacked GRU and the following vector of hyperparameters weights: [1, 47, 40, 14], which stand for timestep 1, number of hidden units 47, number of epochs 40 and batch size 14, producing F1 equal to 0.97%. As the world faces many issues, one of which is the detrimental effect of heavy industries to the environment and as result adverse global climate change, this project is an attempt to contribute to the field of applying Artificial Intelligence in the Oil and Gas industry, with the intention to make it more efficient, transparent and sustainable

Hybrid Data-driven Framework for Shale Gas Production Performance Analysis via Game Theory, Machine Learning and Optimization Approaches

A comprehensive and precise analysis of shale gas production performance is crucial for evaluating resource potential, designing field development plan, and making investment decisions. However, quantitative analysis can be challenging because production performance is dominated by a complex interaction among a series of geological and engineering factors. In this study, we propose a hybrid data-driven procedure for analyzing shale gas production performance, which consists of a complete workflow for dominant factor analysis, production forecast, and development optimization. More specifically, game theory and machine learning models are coupled to determine the dominating geological and engineering factors. The Shapley value with definite physical meanings is employed to quantitatively measure the effects of individual factors. A multi-model-fused stacked model is trained for production forecast, on the basis of which derivative-free optimization algorithms are introduced to optimize the development plan. The complete workflow is validated with actual production data collected from the Fuling shale gas field, Sichuan Basin, China. The validation results show that the proposed procedure can draw rigorous conclusions with quantified evidence and thereby provide specific and reliable suggestions for development plan optimization. Comparing with traditional and experience-based approaches, the hybrid data-driven procedure is advanced in terms of both efficiency and accuracy.Comment: 37 pages, 15 figures, 6 table

AI-driven Maintenance Support for Downhole Tools and Electronics Operated in Dynamic Drilling Environments

Downhole tools are complex electro-mechanical systems that perform critical functions in drilling operations. The electronics within these systems provide vital support, such as control, navigation and front-end data analysis from sensors. Due to the extremely challenging operating conditions, namely high pressure, temperature and vibrational forces, electronics can be subjected to complex failure modes and incur operational downtime. A novel Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven Condition Based Maintenance (CBM) support system is presented, combining Bottom Hole Assembly (BHA) data with Big Data Analytics (BDA). The key objective of this system is to reduce maintenance costs along with an overall improvement of fleet reliability. As evidenced within the literature review, the application of AI methods to downhole tool maintenance is underrepresented in terms of oil and gas application. We review the BHA electronics failure modes and propose a methodology for BHA-Printed Component Board Assemblies (PCBA) CBM. We compare the results of a Random Forest Classifier (RFC) and a XGBoost Classifier trained on BHA electronics memory data cumulated during 208 missions over a 6 months period, achieving an accuracy of 90 % for predicting PCBA failure. These results are extended into a commercial analysis examining various scenarios of infield failure costs and fleet reliability levels. The findings of this paper demonstrate the value of the BHA-PCBA CBM framework by providing accurate prognosis of operational equipment health leading to reduced costs, minimised Non-Productive Time (NPT) and increased operational reliability