32,048 research outputs found
Serious violent offenders : developing a risk assessment framework
In order to establish a complementary language of risk across all agencies, it is recommended that the Scottish Government and the Risk Management Authority actively disseminate MAPPA guidance through the RMA's specialist training programme and through the development of protocols and memoranda of agreement. Prior to a violent offender framework being implemented, an audit of existing numbers, staffing, budgetary and other resources should be undertaken across the Community Justice Authorities to ascertain projected needs
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A survey of simulation techniques in commerce and defence
Despite the developments in Modelling and Simulation (M&S) tools and techniques over the past years, there has been a gap in the M&S research and practice in healthcare on developing a toolkit to assist the modellers and simulation practitioners with selecting an appropriate set of techniques. This study is a preliminary step towards this goal. This paper presents some results from a systematic literature survey on applications of M&S in the commerce and defence domains that could inspire some improvements in the healthcare. Interim results show that in the commercial sector Discrete-Event Simulation (DES) has been the most widely used technique with System Dynamics (SD) in second place. However in the defence sector, SD has gained relatively more attention. SD has been found quite useful for qualitative and soft factors analysis. From both the surveys it becomes clear that there is a growing trend towards using hybrid M&S approaches
Cross Compliance: what about compliance?
We reviewed some moral hazard (MH) models applied to agri-environmental policies and identified the main methodological aspects of the literature on this topics. Imperfect vs incomplete monitoring , static vs dynamic and single vs multiple agents models are the main lines along which the literature has been organised analysing each component of a MH model. Most papers point out the role of farmers' risk aversion in mitigating MH. Others highlight that the observed high rate of compliance is still somewhat paradoxical given current enforcement strategies with low fines and monitoring levels. Cross compliance confirm these findings and urges further studies on dynamic models and farmers' non profit maximising behaviour.Cross-compliance, Moral Hazard, Enforcement, Agri-environmental schemes, Agricultural and Food Policy, Q15, Q58, D82,
Empirical measurement of credit rationing in agriculture: a methodological survey
Empirical analysis of rural credit market failure has been of key scientific and political interest in recent years. The aim of this paper is to give an overview of various methods for measuring credit rationing of farms employed in the literature. Furthermore, based on a common analytical framework entailing a formal model of a credit rationed farm household, the methods are subjected to a comparative evaluation of their specific strengths or shortcomings. Six approaches are distinguished: measurement of loan transaction costs, analysis of qualitative information collected in interviews, analysis of quantitative information collected in interviews by using the credit limit concept, analysis of spill-over effects with regard to secondary credit sources, econometric household modelling, and the econometric analysis of dynamic investment decisions. The first approach defines credit rationing as the impossibility to take a loan due to prohibitively high, measurable transaction costs on loan markets, which is a price rationing mechanism. All other approaches at least implicitly define credit rationing as a persistent private excess demand in terms of a quantity restriction. The six approaches are more or less closely linked to the neo-classical efficiency concept. An explicit comparison with a first-best solution is impossible in the first three approaches, since they essentially rely on a subjective assessment of borrowers access to credit, based on qualitative or quantitative indicators. The fifth and sixth approach allow a rigorous interpretation in the framework of neo-classical equilibrium theory. The fourth approach takes an intermediate position, since spill-over on segmented loan markets reveals a willingness to pay with regard to the supposedly less expensive but rationed primary source. Approaches are fairly data demanding in general, usually requiring specific data on loan transactions. Even so, most approaches are applicable to cross-sectional household data. Only dynamic modelling of investment decisions necessitates the availability of panel data, therefore restricting the applicability in low-income and transition countries. With the exception of the first, all methods surveyed might plausibly be used to empirically detect credit rationing. -- G E R M A N V E R S I O N: Die empirische Analyse von Marktversagen auf ländlichen Kreditmärkten ist in den vergangenen Jahren von hohem wissenschaftlichen und politischen Interesse gewesen. Ziel dieses Beitrags ist es, einen Überblick über verschiedene in der Literatur angewandte Methoden zur Messung von Kreditrationierung zu geben. Auf der Grundlage eines gemeinsamen analytischen Bezugsrahmens werden die Methoden darüber hinaus einer vergleichenden Bewertung im Hinblick auf ihre Stärken und Schwächen unterzogen. Es werden sechs Vorgehensweisen unterschieden: die Messung von Kredittransaktionskosten, die Analyse von in Interviews gewonnenen qualitativen Informationen, die Analyse von in Interviews erhobenen quantitativen Information unter Rückgriff auf das Konzept des credit limits, die Analyse von Überschusseffekten im Hinblick auf sekundäre Kreditquellen, ökonometrische Haushaltsmodellierung sowie die ökonometrische Analyse von dynamischen Investitionsentscheidungen. Die erste Vorgehensweise versteht unter Kreditrationierung die Unmöglichkeit, einen Kredit zu erhalten aufgrund von prohibitiv hohen, messbaren Transaktionskosten auf Kreditmärkten. Es handelt sich hierbei um einen Mechanismus der Preisrationierung. Alle anderen Vorgehensweisen definieren Kreditrationierung zumindest implizit als andauernde Überschussnachfrage, folglich eine Mengenbeschränkung. Die sechs Vorgehensweisen sind mehr oder weniger eng mit dem neoklassischen Effizienzkonzept verbunden. Ein expliziter Vergleich mit einer first-best Lösung ist in den ersten drei Vorgehensweisen jedoch unmöglich, da sie auf einer subjektiven Einschätzung des Kreditzugangs beruhen. Die fünfte und sechste Methode erlauben hingegen eine strikte Interpretation im Rahmen der neoklassischen Gleichgewichtstheorie. Die vierte Vorgehensweise nimmt eine Zwischenstellung ein, da Überschusseffekte auf segmentierten Kreditmärkten eine Zahlungsbereitschaft im Hinblick auf die primäre, rationierte Kreditquelle implizieren. Die Methoden erfordern die Verfügbarkeit von geeigneten Datensätzen über Kredittransaktionen. Die meisten Ansätze können allerdings auf Querschnittsdaten angewendet werden. Lediglich die dynamische Modellierung von Investitionsentscheidungen erfordert Paneldaten und beschränkt daher die Einsatzmöglichkeit in Entwicklungs- und Transformationsländern. Mit Ausnahme des ersten können alle Ansätze auf plausible Weise für die empirische Untersuchung von Kreditrationierung eingesetzt werden.agricultural finance,credit rationing,quantitative analysis,micro-econometrics,Agrarfinanzierung,Kreditrationierung,quantitative Analyse,Mikroökonometrie
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Evaluating the resilience and security of boundaryless, evolving socio-technical Systems of Systems
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