"Last-Mile" preparation for a potential disaster

Extreme natural events, like e.g. tsunamis or earthquakes, regularly lead to catastrophes with dramatic consequences. In recent years natural disasters caused hundreds of thousands of deaths, destruction of infrastructure, disruption of economic activity and loss of billions of dollars worth of property and thus revealed considerable deficits hindering their effective management: Needs for stakeholders, decision-makers as well as for persons concerned include systematic risk identification and evaluation, a way to assess countermeasures, awareness raising and decision support systems to be employed before, during and after crisis situations. The overall goal of this study focuses on interdisciplinary integration of various scientific disciplines to contribute to a tsunami early warning information system. In comparison to most studies our focus is on high-end geometric and thematic analysis to meet the requirements of small-scale, heterogeneous and complex coastal urban systems. Data, methods and results from engineering, remote sensing and social sciences are interlinked and provide comprehensive information for disaster risk assessment, management and reduction. In detail, we combine inundation modeling, urban morphology analysis, population assessment, socio-economic analysis of the population and evacuation modeling. The interdisciplinary results eventually lead to recommendations for mitigation strategies in the fields of spatial planning or coping capacity

Drones, Virtual Reality, and Modeling: Communicating Catastrophic Dam Failure

Dam failures occur worldwide and can be economically and ecologically devastating. Communicating the scale of these risks to the general public and decision-makers is imperative. Two-dimensional (2D) dam failure hydraulic models inform owners and floodplain managers of flood regimes but have limitations when shared with non-specialists. This study addresses these limitations by constructing a 3D Virtual Reality (VR) environment to display the 1976 Teton Dam disaster case study using a pipeline composed of (1) 2D hydraulic model data (extrapolated into 3D), (2) a 3D reconstructed dam, and (3) a terrain model processed from UAS (Uncrewed Airborne System) imagery using Structure from Motion photogrammetry. This study validates the VR environment pipeline on the Oculus Quest 2 VR Headset with the criteria: immersion fidelity, movement, immersive soundscape, and agreement with historical observations and terrain. Through this VR environment, we develop an effective method to share historical events and, with future work, improve hazard awareness; applications of this method could improve citizen engagement with Early Warning Systems. This paper establishes a pipeline to produce a visualization tool for merging UAS imagery, Virtual Reality, digital scene creation, and sophisticated 2D hydraulic models to communicate catastrophic flooding events from natural or human-made levees or dams

Did NEPA Drown New Orleans? The Levees, the Blame Game, and the Hazards of Hindsight

This Article highlights the. hazards of hindsight analysis of the causes of catastrophic events, focusing on theories of why the New Orleans levees failed during Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and particularly on the theory that the levee failures were caused by a 1977 National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) lawsuit that resulted in a temporary injunction against the Army Corps of Engineers\u27 hurricane protection project for New Orleans. The Article provides a detailed historical reconstruction of the decision process that eventuated in the New Orleans storm surge protection system, focusing both on the political and legal factors involved and on the standard project hurricane risk assessment model that lay at the heart of the Army Corps of Engineers\u27 decisionmaking process. The Article then offers a detailed analysis. of how and why Hurricane Katrina overcame the New Orleans levee system. As this analysis demonstrates, the argument that the NEPA lawsuit played a meaningful causal role in the Katrina disaster is not persuasive. Parallel lessons are then drawn for forward-looking disaster policy. The same problems of uncertainty and complexity that confound the attempt through hindsight to attribute causal responsibility for a disaster also confound the attempt to predict using foresight the variety of outcomes, including potentially disastrous ones, that may flow from policy choices. Focusing narrowly on any single parameter of complex natural and human systems is likely to dramatically distort environmental, health, and safety decisionmaking, whether the parameter is a standard project hurricane when planning a hurricane protection plan, or the equally mythical lawsuit that sunk New Orleans when attempting to allocate responsibility for the plan\u27s failure some forty years later

Did NEPA Drown New Orleans? The Levees, the Blame Game, and the Hazards of Hindsight

This Article highlights the. hazards of hindsight analysis of the causes of catastrophic events, focusing on theories of why the New Orleans levees failed during Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and particularly on the theory that the levee failures were caused by a 1977 National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) lawsuit that resulted in a temporary injunction against the Army Corps of Engineers\u27 hurricane protection project for New Orleans. The Article provides a detailed historical reconstruction of the decision process that eventuated in the New Orleans storm surge protection system, focusing both on the political and legal factors involved and on the standard project hurricane risk assessment model that lay at the heart of the Army Corps of Engineers\u27 decisionmaking process. The Article then offers a detailed analysis. of how and why Hurricane Katrina overcame the New Orleans levee system. As this analysis demonstrates, the argument that the NEPA lawsuit played a meaningful causal role in the Katrina disaster is not persuasive. Parallel lessons are then drawn for forward-looking disaster policy. The same problems of uncertainty and complexity that confound the attempt through hindsight to attribute causal responsibility for a disaster also confound the attempt to predict using foresight the variety of outcomes, including potentially disastrous ones, that may flow from policy choices. Focusing narrowly on any single parameter of complex natural and human systems is likely to dramatically distort environmental, health, and safety decisionmaking, whether the parameter is a standard project hurricane when planning a hurricane protection plan, or the equally mythical lawsuit that sunk New Orleans when attempting to allocate responsibility for the plan\u27s failure some forty years later

Building structural characterization using mobile terrestrial point cloud for flood risk anticipation

Compte tenu de la fréquence élevée et de l'impact majeur des inondations, les décideurs, les acteurs des municipalités et le ministère de la sécurité publique ont un besoin urgent de disposer d'outils permettant de prédire ou d'évaluer l'importance des inondations et leur impact sur la population. D'après les statistiques, le premier étage des bâtiments, ainsi que les ouvertures inférieures, sont plus susceptibles de subir des dommages lors d'une inondation. Ainsi, dans le cadre de l'évaluation de l'impact des inondations, il serait nécessaire d'identifier l'emplacement de l'ouverture la plus basse des bâtiments et surtout sa hauteur par rapport au sol. Le système de balayage laser mobile (MLS) monté sur un véhicule s'est avéré être l'une des sources les plus fiables pour caractériser les bâtiments. Il peut produire des millions de points géoréférencés en 3D avec un niveau de détail suffisant, grâce à son point de vue depuis la rue et sa proximité. De plus, l'augmentation du nombre de jeux de données, issues des MLS acquis dans les villes et les environnements ruraux, permet de développer des approches pour caractériser les maisons résidentielles à l'échelle provinciale. Plusieurs défis sont associés à l'extraction d'informations descriptives des façades de bâtiments à l'aide de données MLS. Ainsi, les occlusions devant une façade rendent impossible l'obtention de points 3D sur ces parties de la façade. Aussi, comme les fenêtres sont principalement constituées de verre, qui ne réfléchit pas les signaux laser, les points disponibles pour celles-ci sont généralement limités. De plus, les approches de détection exploitent la répétitivité et les positions symétriques des ouvertures sur la façade. Mais ces caractéristiques sont absentes pour des maisons rurales et résidentielles. Finalement, la variabilité de la densité de points dans les données MLS rend difficile le processus de détection lorsqu'on travaille à l'échelle d'une ville. Par conséquent, l'objectif principal de cette recherche est de concevoir et de développer une approche globale d'extraction efficace des ouvertures présentes sur une façade. La solution proposée se compose de trois phases: l'extraction des façades, la détection des ouvertures et l'identification des occlusions. La première phase utilise une approche de segmentation adaptative par croissance de régions pour extraire la boîte englobante 3D de la façade. La deuxième phase combine la détection de trous avec une technique de maillage pour extraire les boîtes englobantes 2D des ouvertures. La dernière phase, qui vise à discriminer les occlusions des ouvertures, est en cours d'achèvement. Des évaluations qualitatives et quantitatives ont été réalisées à l'aide d'un jeu de données réelles, fourni par Jakarto Cartographie 3D Inc., de la province de Québec, au Canada. Les statistiques ont révélé que l'approche proposée pouvait obtenir de bons taux de performance malgré la complexité du jeu de données, représentatif des données acquises en situation réelle. Les défis concernant l'auto-occlusion de certaines façades et la présence de grandes occlusions environnantes seront à étudier plus en profondeur afin d'obtenir des informations plus précises sur les ouvertures des façades.Given the high frequency and major impact of floods, decision-makers, stakeholders in municipalities and public security ministry are in the urgent need to have tools allowing to predict or assess the significance of flood events and their impact on the population. Based on statistics, the first floor of the buildings, as well as the lower openings, are more likely subject to potential damage during a flood event. Thus, in the context of flood impact assessment, it would be required identifying the location of the buildings' lowest opening and especially its height above the ground. The capacity to characterize building with a relevant level of detail depends on the data sources used for the modeling. Different sources of data have been employed to characterize buildings' façade and openings. Mobile Laser Scanning (MLS) system mounted on a vehicle has proved to be one of the most reliable sources in this domain. It can produce millions of 3D georeferenced points with sufficient level of detail of the building facades and its openings, due to its street-view and close-range distance. Moreover, the increase of MLS providers and acquisitions in towns and rural environments, makes it possible to develop approaches to characterize residential houses at a provincial scale. Although being effective, several challenges are associated with extracting descriptive information of building facades using MLS data. The presence of occlusion in front of a facade makes it impossible to obtain the 3D points of the covered parts of the facade. Given the fact that windows mostly consist of glass and laser signals could not be reflected from the glass, limited points are usually available for windows. While the repetitive pattern and symmetrical positions of the openings on the facade makes it easier for the detection system to extract them, this characteristic is missing on the facade on rural and residential houses. The inconsistency of the point density in MLS data make the detection process even harder when working at city scale. Accordingly, the main objective of this research is to design and develop a comprehensive approach that effectively extracts facade openings. In order to meet the research project objective, the proposed solution consists of three phases including facade extraction, opening detection, and occlusion recognition. The first phase employs an adaptive region growing segmentation approach to extract the 3D bounding box of the facade. The second phase combines a hole-based assumption with an XZ gridding technique to extract 2D bounding boxes of the openings. The last phase which recognizes holes related to the occlusion from the openings is currently being completed. Qualitative and quantitative evaluations were performed using a real-word dataset provided by Jakarto Cartographie 3D inc. of the Quebec Province, Canada. Statistics revealed that the proposed approach could obtain good performance rates despite the complexity of the dataset, representative of the data acquired in real situations. Challenges regarding facade's self-occlusion and the presence of large surrounding occlusions should be further investigated for obtaining more accurate opening information on the facade

Hydrolink 2022/1. Africa

Topic: Afric