MEG: Multi-objective Ensemble Generation for Software Defect Prediction

Background: Defect Prediction research aims at assisting software engineers in the early identification of software defect during the development process. A variety of automated approaches, ranging from traditional classification models to more sophisticated learning approaches, have been explored to this end. Among these, recent studies have proposed the use of ensemble prediction models (i.e., aggregation of multiple base classifiers) to build more robust defect prediction models. / Aims: In this paper, we introduce a novel approach based on multi-objective evolutionary search to automatically generate defect prediction ensembles. Our proposal is not only novel with respect to the more general area of evolutionary generation of ensembles, but it also advances the state-of-the-art in the use of ensemble in defect prediction. / Method: We assess the effectiveness of our approach, dubbed as Multi-objective Ensemble Generation (MEG), by empirically benchmarking it with respect to the most related proposals we found in the literature on defect prediction ensembles and on multi-objective evolutionary ensembles (which, to the best of our knowledge, had never been previously applied to tackle defect prediction). / Result: Our results show that MEG is able to generate ensembles which produce similar or more accurate predictions than those achieved by all the other approaches considered in 73% of the cases (with favourable large effect sizes in 80% of them). / Conclusions: MEG is not only able to generate ensembles that yield more accurate defect predictions with respect to the benchmarks considered, but it also does it automatically, thus relieving the engineers from the burden of manual design and experimentation

Is One Hyperparameter Optimizer Enough?

Hyperparameter tuning is the black art of automatically finding a good combination of control parameters for a data miner. While widely applied in empirical Software Engineering, there has not been much discussion on which hyperparameter tuner is best for software analytics. To address this gap in the literature, this paper applied a range of hyperparameter optimizers (grid search, random search, differential evolution, and Bayesian optimization) to defect prediction problem. Surprisingly, no hyperparameter optimizer was observed to be `best' and, for one of the two evaluation measures studied here (F-measure), hyperparameter optimization, in 50\% cases, was no better than using default configurations. We conclude that hyperparameter optimization is more nuanced than previously believed. While such optimization can certainly lead to large improvements in the performance of classifiers used in software analytics, it remains to be seen which specific optimizers should be applied to a new dataset.Comment: 7 pages, 2 columns, accepted for SWAN1

Multi-Objective Software Effort Estimation: A Replication Study

Replication studies increase our confidence in previous results when the findings are similar each time, and help mature our knowledge by addressing both internal and external validity aspects. However, these studies are still rare in certain software engineering fields. In this paper, we replicate and extend a previous study, which denotes the current state-of-the-art for multi-objective software effort estimation, namely CoGEE. We investigate the original research questions with an independent implementation and the inclusion of a more robust baseline (LP4EE), carried out by the first author, who was not involved in the original study. Through this replication, we strengthen both the internal and external validity of the original study. We also answer two new research questions investigating the effectiveness of CoGEE by using four additional evolutionary algorithms (i.e., IBEA, MOCell, NSGA-III, SPEA2) and a well-known Java framework for evolutionary computation, namely JMetal (rather than the previously used R software), which allows us to strengthen the external validity of the original study. The results of our replication confirm that: (1) CoGEE outperforms both baseline and state-of-the-art benchmarks statistically significantly (p < 0:001); (2) CoGEE’s multi-objective nature makes it able to reach such a good performance; (3) CoGEE’s estimation errors lie within claimed industrial human-expert-based thresholds. Moreover, our new results show that the effectiveness of CoGEE is generally not limited to nor dependent on the choice of the multi-objective algorithm. Using CoGEE with either NSGA-II, NSGA-III, or MOCell produces human competitive results in less than a minute. The Java version of CoGEE has decreased the running time by over 99.8% with respect to its R counterpart. We have made publicly available the Java code of CoGEE to ease its adoption, as well as, the data used in this study in order to allow for future replication and extension of our work

Multiobjective global surrogate modeling, dealing with the 5-percent problem

When dealing with computationally expensive simulation codes or process measurement data, surrogate modeling methods are firmly established as facilitators for design space exploration, sensitivity analysis, visualization, prototyping and optimization. Typically the model parameter (=hyperparameter) optimization problem as part of global surrogate modeling is formulated in a single objective way. Models are generated according to a single objective (accuracy). However, this requires an engineer to determine a single accuracy target and measure upfront, which is hard to do if the behavior of the response is unknown. Likewise, the different outputs of a multi-output system are typically modeled separately by independent models. Again, a multiobjective approach would benefit the domain expert by giving information about output correlation and enabling automatic model type selection for each output dynamically. With this paper the authors attempt to increase awareness of the subtleties involved and discuss a number of solutions and applications. In particular, we present a multiobjective framework for global surrogate model generation to help tackle both problems and that is applicable in both the static and sequential design (adaptive sampling) case

Multi-objective software effort estimation

We introduce a bi-objective effort estimation algorithm that combines Confidence Interval Analysis and assessment of Mean Absolute Error. We evaluate our proposed algorithm on three different alternative formulations, baseline comparators and current state-of-the-art effort estimators applied to five real-world datasets from the PROMISE repository, involving 724 different software projects in total. The results reveal that our algorithm outperforms the baseline, state-of-the-art and all three alternative formulations, statistically significantly (p < 0:001) and with large effect size (A12≥ 0:9) over all five datasets. We also provide evidence that our algorithm creates a new state-of-the-art, which lies within currently claimed industrial human-expert-based thresholds, thereby demonstrating that our findings have actionable conclusions for practicing software engineers