1,140 research outputs found

    Efficiently Mining Temporal Patterns in Time Series Using Information Theory

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    Market basket analysis : trend analysis of association rules in different time periods

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    Dissertation presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Statistics and Information Management, specialization in Marketing Research e CRMMarket basket analysis (i.e. Data mining technique in the field of marketing) is the method to find the associations between the items / item sets and based on those associations we can analyze the consumer behavior. In this research we have presented the variability of time, because with the change in time the habits or behavior of the customer also changes. For example, people wear warm clothes in winter and light clothes in summer. Similarly, customers purchase behavior also changes with the change in time. We study the problem of discovering association rules that display regular cyclic variation over time. This problem will allow us to access the changing trends in the purchase behavior of customers in a retail market, and we will be able to analyze the results which will display the changing trends of the association rules. In this research we will study the interaction between association rules and time. We worked on transactional data of a Belgian retail company and analyzed the results which will help the company to build up time period specific marketing strategies, promotional strategies, etc. to increase the profit of their company

    Improving E-Commerce Recommendations using High Utility Sequential Patterns of Historical Purchase and Click Stream Data

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    Recommendation systems not only aim to recommend products that suit the taste of consumers but also generate higher revenue and increase customer loyalty for e-commerce companies (such as Amazon, Netflix). Recommendation systems can be improved if user purchase behaviour are used to improve the user-item matrix input to Collaborative Filtering (CF). This matrix is mostly sparse as in real-life, a customer would have bought only very few products from the hundreds of thousands of products in the e-commerce shelf. Thus, existing systems like Kim11Rec, HPCRec18 and HSPRec19 systems use the customer behavior information to improve the accuracy of recommendations. Kim11Rec system used behavior and navigations patterns which were not used earlier. HPCRec18 system used purchase frequency and consequential bond between click and purchased data to improve the user-item frequency matrix. The HSPRec19 system converts historic click and purchase data to sequential data and enhances the user-item frequency matrix with the sequential pattern rules mined from the sequential data for input to the CF. HSPRec19 system generates recommendations based on frequent sequential purchase patterns and does not capture whether the recommended items are also of high utility to the seller (e.g., are more profitable?).The thesis proposes a system called High Utility Sequential Pattern Recommendation System (HUSRec System), which is an extension to the HSPRec19 system that replaces frequent sequential patterns with use of high utility sequential patterns. The proposed HUSRec generates a high utility sequential database from ACM RecSys Challenge dataset using the HUSDBG (High Utility Sequential Database Generator) and HUSPM (High Utility Sequential Pattern Miner) mines the high utility sequential pattern rules which can yield high sales profits for the seller based on quantity and price of items on daily basis, as they have at least the minimum sequence utility. This improves the accuracy of the recommendations. The proposed HUSRec mines clicks sequential data using PrefixSpan algorithm to give frequent sequential rules to suggest items where no purchase has happened, decreasing the sparsity of user-item matrix, improving the user-item matrix for input to the collaborative filtering. Experimental results with mean absolute error, precision and graphs show that the proposed HUSRec system provides more accurate recommendations and higher revenue than the tested existing systems. Keywords: Data mining, Sequential pattern mining, Collaborative filtering, High utility pattern mining, E-commerce recommendation systems

    Specification mining: Methodologies, theories and applications

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    Ph.DDOCTOR OF PHILOSOPH

    Discovery of Spatiotemporal Event Sequences

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    Finding frequent patterns plays a vital role in many analytics tasks such as finding itemsets, associations, correlations, and sequences. In recent decades, spatiotemporal frequent pattern mining has emerged with the main goal focused on developing data-driven analysis frameworks for understanding underlying spatial and temporal characteristics in massive datasets. In this thesis, we will focus on discovering spatiotemporal event sequences from large-scale region trajectory datasetes with event annotations. Spatiotemporal event sequences are the series of event types whose trajectory-based instances follow each other in spatiotemporal context. We introduce new data models for storing and processing evolving region trajectories, provide a novel framework for modeling spatiotemporal follow relationships, and present novel spatiotemporal event sequence mining algorithms

    Mining and Managing Large-Scale Temporal Graphs

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    Large-scale temporal graphs are everywhere in our daily life. From online social networks, mobile networks, brain networks to computer systems, entities in these large complex systems communicate with each other, and their interactions evolve over time. Unlike traditional graphs, temporal graphs are dynamic: both topologies and attributes on nodes/edges may change over time. On the one hand, the dynamics have inspired new applications that rely on mining and managing temporal graphs. On the other hand, the dynamics also raise new technical challenges. First, it is difficult to discover or retrieve knowledge from complex temporal graph data. Second, because of the extra time dimension, we also face new scalability problems. To address these new challenges, we need to develop new methods that model temporal information in graphs so that we can deliver useful knowledge, new queries with temporal and structural constraints where users can obtain the desired knowledge, and new algorithms that are cost-effective for both mining and management tasks.In this dissertation, we discuss our recent works on mining and managing large-scale temporal graphs.First, we investigate two mining problems, including node ranking and link prediction problems. In these works, temporal graphs are applied to model the data generated from computer systems and online social networks. We formulate data mining tasks that extract knowledge from temporal graphs. The discovered knowledge can help domain experts identify critical alerts in system monitoring applications and recover the complete traces for information propagation in online social networks. To address computation efficiency problems, we leverage the unique properties in temporal graphs to simplify mining processes. The resulting mining algorithms scale well with large-scale temporal graphs with millions of nodes and billions of edges. By experimental studies over real-life and synthetic data, we confirm the effectiveness and efficiency of our algorithms.Second, we focus on temporal graph management problems. In these study, temporal graphs are used to model datacenter networks, mobile networks, and subscription relationships between stream queries and data sources. We formulate graph queries to retrieve knowledge that supports applications in cloud service placement, information routing in mobile networks, and query assignment in stream processing system. We investigate three types of queries, including subgraph matching, temporal reachability, and graph partitioning. By utilizing the relatively stable components in these temporal graphs, we develop flexible data management techniques to enable fast query processing and handle graph dynamics. We evaluate the soundness of the proposed techniques by both real and synthetic data. Through these study, we have learned valuable lessons. For temporal graph mining, temporal dimension may not necessarily increase computation complexity; instead, it may reduce computation complexity if temporal information can be wisely utilized. For temporal graph management, temporal graphs may include relatively stable components in real applications, which can help us develop flexible data management techniques that enable fast query processing and handle dynamic changes in temporal graphs

    Extending Complex Event Processing for Advanced Applications

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    Recently numerous emerging applications, ranging from on-line financial transactions, RFID based supply chain management, traffic monitoring to real-time object monitoring, generate high-volume event streams. To meet the needs of processing event data streams in real-time, Complex Event Processing technology (CEP) has been developed with the focus on detecting occurrences of particular composite patterns of events. By analyzing and constructing several real-world CEP applications, we found that CEP needs to be extended with advanced services beyond detecting pattern queries. We summarize these emerging needs in three orthogonal directions. First, for applications which require access to both streaming and stored data, we need to provide a clear semantics and efficient schedulers in the face of concurrent access and failures. Second, when a CEP system is deployed in a sensitive environment such as health care, we wish to mitigate possible privacy leaks. Third, when input events do not carry the identification of the object being monitored, we need to infer the probabilistic identification of events before feed them to a CEP engine. Therefore this dissertation discusses the construction of a framework for extending CEP to support these critical services. First, existing CEP technology is limited in its capability of reacting to opportunities and risks detected by pattern queries. We propose to tackle this unsolved problem by embedding active rule support within the CEP engine. The main challenge is to handle interactions between queries and reactions to queries in the high-volume stream execution. We hence introduce a novel stream-oriented transactional model along with a family of stream transaction scheduling algorithms that ensure the correctness of concurrent stream execution. And then we demonstrate the proposed technology by applying it to a real-world healthcare system and evaluate the stream transaction scheduling algorithms extensively using real-world workload. Second, we are the first to study the privacy implications of CEP systems. Specifically we consider how to suppress events on a stream to reduce the disclosure of sensitive patterns, while ensuring that nonsensitive patterns continue to be reported by the CEP engine. We formally define the problem of utility-maximizing event suppression for privacy preservation. We then design a suite of real-time solutions that eliminate private pattern matches while maximizing the overall utility. Our first solution optimally solves the problem at the event-type level. The second solution, at event-instance level, further optimizes the event-type level solution by exploiting runtime event distributions using advanced pattern match cardinality estimation techniques. Our experimental evaluation over both real-world and synthetic event streams shows that our algorithms are effective in maximizing utility yet still efficient enough to offer near real time system responsiveness. Third, we observe that in many real-world object monitoring applications where the CEP technology is adopted, not all sensed events carry the identification of the object whose action they report on, so called €œnon-ID-ed€� events. Such non-ID-ed events prevent us from performing object-based analytics, such as tracking, alerting and pattern matching. We propose a probabilistic inference framework to tackle this problem by inferring the missing object identification associated with an event. Specifically, as a foundation we design a time-varying graphic model to capture correspondences between sensed events and objects. Upon this model, we elaborate how to adapt the state-of-the-art Forward-backward inference algorithm to continuously infer probabilistic identifications for non-ID-ed events. More important, we propose a suite of strategies for optimizing the performance of inference. Our experimental results, using large-volume streams of a real-world health care application, demonstrate the accuracy, efficiency, and scalability of the proposed technology

    Implementation of an interactive pattern mining framework on electronic health record datasets

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    Large collections of electronic patient records contain a broad range of clinical information highly relevant for data analysis. However, they are maintained primarily for patient administration, and automated methods are required to extract valuable knowledge for predictive, preventive, personalized and participatory medicine. Sequential pattern mining is a fundamental task in data mining which can be used to find statistically relevant, non-trivial temporal dependencies of events such as disease comorbidities. This works objective is to use this mining technique to identify disease associations based on ICD-9-CM codes data of the entire Taiwanese population obtained from Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database. This thesis reports the development and implementation of the Disease Pattern Miner – a pattern mining framework in a medical domain. The framework was designed as a Web application which can be used to run several state-of-the-art sequence mining algorithms on electronic health records, collect and filter the results to reduce the number of patterns to a meaningful size, and visualize the disease associations as an interactive model in a specific population group. This may be crucial to discover new disease associations and offer novel insights to explain disease pathogenesis. A structured evaluation of the data and models are required before medical data-scientist may use this application as a tool for further research to get a better understanding of disease comorbidities

    Approximate Data Mining Techniques on Clinical Data

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    The past two decades have witnessed an explosion in the number of medical and healthcare datasets available to researchers and healthcare professionals. Data collection efforts are highly required, and this prompts the development of appropriate data mining techniques and tools that can automatically extract relevant information from data. Consequently, they provide insights into various clinical behaviors or processes captured by the data. Since these tools should support decision-making activities of medical experts, all the extracted information must be represented in a human-friendly way, that is, in a concise and easy-to-understand form. To this purpose, here we propose a new framework that collects different new mining techniques and tools proposed. These techniques mainly focus on two aspects: the temporal one and the predictive one. All of these techniques were then applied to clinical data and, in particular, ICU data from MIMIC III database. It showed the flexibility of the framework, which is able to retrieve different outcomes from the overall dataset. The first two techniques rely on the concept of Approximate Temporal Functional Dependencies (ATFDs). ATFDs have been proposed, with their suitable treatment of temporal information, as a methodological tool for mining clinical data. An example of the knowledge derivable through dependencies may be "within 15 days, patients with the same diagnosis and the same therapy usually receive the same daily amount of drug". However, current ATFD models are not analyzing the temporal evolution of the data, such as "For most patients with the same diagnosis, the same drug is prescribed after the same symptom". To this extent, we propose a new kind of ATFD called Approximate Pure Temporally Evolving Functional Dependencies (APEFDs). Another limitation of such kind of dependencies is that they cannot deal with quantitative data when some tolerance can be allowed for numerical values. In particular, this limitation arises in clinical data warehouses, where analysis and mining have to consider one or more measures related to quantitative data (such as lab test results and vital signs), concerning multiple dimensional (alphanumeric) attributes (such as patient, hospital, physician, diagnosis) and some time dimensions (such as the day since hospitalization and the calendar date). According to this scenario, we introduce a new kind of ATFD, named Multi-Approximate Temporal Functional Dependency (MATFD), which considers dependencies between dimensions and quantitative measures from temporal clinical data. These new dependencies may provide new knowledge as "within 15 days, patients with the same diagnosis and the same therapy receive a daily amount of drug within a fixed range". The other techniques are based on pattern mining, which has also been proposed as a methodological tool for mining clinical data. However, many methods proposed so far focus on mining of temporal rules which describe relationships between data sequences or instantaneous events, without considering the presence of more complex temporal patterns into the dataset. These patterns, such as trends of a particular vital sign, are often very relevant for clinicians. Moreover, it is really interesting to discover if some sort of event, such as a drug administration, is capable of changing these trends and how. To this extent, we propose a new kind of temporal patterns, called Trend-Event Patterns (TEPs), that focuses on events and their influence on trends that can be retrieved from some measures, such as vital signs. With TEPs we can express concepts such as "The administration of paracetamol on a patient with an increasing temperature leads to a decreasing trend in temperature after such administration occurs". We also decided to analyze another interesting pattern mining technique that includes prediction. This technique discovers a compact set of patterns that aim to describe the condition (or class) of interest. Our framework relies on a classification model that considers and combines various predictive pattern candidates and selects only those that are important to improve the overall class prediction performance. We show that our classification approach achieves a significant reduction in the number of extracted patterns, compared to the state-of-the-art methods based on minimum predictive pattern mining approach, while preserving the overall classification accuracy of the model. For each technique described above, we developed a tool to retrieve its kind of rule. All the results are obtained by pre-processing and mining clinical data and, as mentioned before, in particular ICU data from MIMIC III database
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