Grocery omnichannel perishable inventories: performance measures and influencing factors

Purpose- Perishable inventory management for the grocery sector has become more challenging with extended omnichannel activities and emerging consumer expectations. This paper aims to identify and formalize key performance measures of omnichannel perishable inventory management (OCPI) and explore the influence of operational and market-related factors on these measures. Design/methodology/approach- The inductive approach of this research synthesizes three performance measures (product waste, lost sales and freshness) and four influencing factors (channel effect, demand variability, product perishability and shelf life visibility) for OCPI, through industry investigation, expert interviews and a systematic literature review. Treating OCPI as a complex adaptive system and considering its transaction costs, this paper formalizes the OCPI performance measures and their influencing factors in two statements and four propositions, which are then tested through numerical analysis with simulation. Findings- Product waste, lost sales and freshness are identified as distinctive OCPI performance measures, which are influenced by product perishability, shelf life visibility, demand variability and channel effects. The OCPI sensitivity to those influencing factors is diverse, whereas those factors are found to moderate each other's effects. Practical implications- To manage perishables more effectively, with less waste and lost sales for the business and fresher products for the consumer, omnichannel firms need to consider store and online channel requirements and strive to reduce demand variability, extend product shelf life and facilitate item-level shelf life visibility. While flexible logistics capacity and dynamic pricing can mitigate demand variability, the product shelf life extension needs modifications in product design, production, or storage conditions. OCPI executives can also increase the product shelf life visibility through advanced stock monitoring/tracking technologies (e.g. smart tags or more comprehensive barcodes), particularly for the online channel which demands fresher products. Originality/value- This paper provides a novel theoretical view on perishables in omnichannel systems. It specifies the OCPI performance, beyond typical inventory policies for cost minimization, while discussing its sensitivity to operations and market factors

An economic order quantity model for imperfect and deteriorating items with freshness and inventory level-dependent demand

Dissertation (MEng (Industrial Engineering))--University of Pretoria, 2023.Consumer purchasing behaviour is influenced by many factors. Depending on the circumstances, these factors may become relevant drivers of important supply chain decisions. Expiration dates have an influence on the purchasing decision of consumers for perishable goods. Another behavioural influence that stimulates demand is the volume of goods that are available on display as part of the purchase transaction. Furthermore, the fact that certain goods deteriorate over time must also be evaluated within the context of the study of perishable goods. The market is increasingly seeking goods that have no inherent defects or imperfections. This investigation seeks to determine the impact of imperfect quality, deterioration, freshness and inventory level and also, how those issues can be improved upon in workable situations. This paper proposes an inventory model that stipulates the demand as a function of freshness and the inventory level. In addition, the inventory depletes through both deterioration and demand, and the product quality is not always perfect. The objective of the inventory model is to maximise the system’s profit, hence the study has developed a theoretical mathematical model for imperfect and deteriorating items with freshness and inventory level-dependent demand. A numerical example was used to illustrate the practical application of the model in a real life environment. Sensitivity studies were conducted to determine the impact of changes or variations to the inputs that are used in the model. The findings were that the date of expiry, the elasticity of demand and the selling price of the perfect products are the main constituents that affect the profitability.Industrial and Systems EngineeringMEng (Industrial Engineering)Unrestricte

Using Reinforcement Learning Methods to Price a Perishable Product, Case Study: Orange

‎Determining the optimal selling price for different commodities has always been one of the main topics of scientific and industrial research‎. ‎Perishable products have a short life and due to their deterioration over time‎, ‎they cause great damage if not managed‎. ‎Many industries‎, ‎retailers‎, ‎and service providers have the opportunity to increase their revenue through optimal pricing of perishable products that must be sold within a certain period‎. ‎In the pricing issue‎, ‎a seller must determine the price of several units of a perishable or seasonal product to be sold for a limited time‎. ‎This article examines pricing policies that increase revenue for the sale of a given inventory with an expiration date‎. ‎Booster learning algorithms are used to analyze how companies can simultaneously learn and optimize pricing strategy in response to buyers‎. ‎It is also shown that using reinforcement learning we can model a demand-dependent problem‎. ‎This paper presents an optimization method in a model-independent environment in which demand is learned and pricing decisions are updated at the moment‎. ‎We compare the performance of learning algorithms using Monte Carlo simulations‎

Designing an Updatable Long Term Health Insurance

In this paper, we considered the long-term health insurance as a sequence of annual health insurance policies. To improve the disadvantages of long-term health insurance, we specify the optimal contract including optimal insurance premiums and optimal insurance coverage for the healthcare costs using a negotiation model. We considered two case of known and unknown initial health state. The predictive model for healthcare costs was determined as a time series and state-contingent models. Since the health state changes over time, the insured tends not only to be insured against risk according to her health state, but also to be insured against reclassification of risk. The insurer also seeks a fair premium appropriate to the insured's risk. To achieve this, we determined the optimal contract based on the negotiation model, in which the negotiation parameter is calculated based on the Nash solution. The optimal premium is independent of health state so that the insured is safe against reclassification. However, the insurer coverage is state-contingent and protects the insurer from detriment. Moreover, due to the uncertainty in estimating the parameters of the prediction model, we specified the projection interval by using the bootstrap method for optimal insurance premiums in the coming years. Thus, the insured is aware of the premium intervals at the time of signing the contract with the insurer

Modelling and Determining Inventory Decisions for Improved Sustainability in Perishable Food Supply Chains

Since the introduction of sustainable development, industries have witnessed significant sustainability challenges. Literature shows that the food industry is concerned about its need for efficient and effective management practices in dealing with perishability and the requirements for conditioned storage and transport of food products that effect the environment. Hence, the environmental part of sustainability demonstrates its significance in this industrial sector. Despite this, there has been little research into environmentally sustainable inventory management of deteriorating items. This thesis presents mathematical modelling based research for production inventory systems in perishable food supply chains. In this study, multi-objective mixed-integer linear programming models are developed to determine economically and environmentally optimal production and inventory decisions for a two-echelon supply chain. The supply chain consists of single sourcing suppliers for raw materials and a producer who operates under a make-to-stock or make-to-order strategy. The demand facing the producer is non-stationary stochastic in nature and has requirements in terms of service level and the remaining shelf life of the marketed products. Using data from the literature, numerical examples are given in order to test and analyse these models. The computational experiments show that operational adjustments in cases where emission and cost parameters were not strongly correlated with supply chain collaboration (where suppliers and a producer operate under centralised control), emissions are effectively reduced without a significant increase in cost. The findings show that assigning a high disposal cost, limit or high weight of importance to perished goods leads to appropriate reduction of expected waste in the supply chain with no major cost increase. The research has made contributions to the literature on sustainable production and inventory management; providing formal models that can be used as an aid to understanding and as a tool for planning and improving sustainable production and inventory control in supply chains involving deteriorating items, in particular with perishable food supply chains.the Ministry of Science and Technology, the Royal Thai Government

Ensuring blood is available when it is needed most

The provision of blood to patients in need is an imperative faced by all countries.  Red blood cells (RBCs) are perishable with a life of 42 days.  Inventory managers at hospitals need to know how many RBCs to order so that the probability of experiencing shortages or outdates is minimised.  This is complicated by demand for RBCs being doubly stochastic.  Both the number of patients that need RBCs and quantity of RBCs they will need are random.  For centralised blood banks not only are the orders they receive from hospitals apparently random, the supply of blood is also random. This thesis shows that, in addition to the previously mentioned sources of volatility, the structure of the supply chain induces further volatility.  This occurs due to the presence of delivery delays and negative feedback loops in two locations within the supply chain.  It is shown how this volatility can be addressed with some simple structural changes.  But simply removing system induced volatility does not imply that the supply chain is optimised.  To address optimality the problem is formulated as a Markov decision process (MDP).  A solution to this process uses Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP), but this results in a combinatoric explosion making the computation of an exact solution within a reasonable time impossible.  Instead, Stochastic Average Approximation (SAA) is used to derive an approximate solution.  Repeated, sequential application of this is an exercise in Discrete Time Stochastic Control.  A working control solution is provided in python.  This solution can be arranged so as to mimic the two echelon supply chain found in blood inventories.  It is general enough to apply to any discrete perishable inventory system with random demand and/or supply. The approach for blood inventories requires credible estimates of demand for RBCs.  It is shown, using hierarchical Bayesian modelling and Discrete Phase-Type (DPH) distributions, that credible estimates of demand at hospitals of any size can be derived from publicly available information.  In particular a new method for obtaining the parameters of a DPH distribution is formulated and applied to estimating transfusion quantities from publicly available sources. An application of the proposed solution is presented for RBC inventories at both hospitals and at the blood bank.  For the blood bank in particular it is shown how this can be used to determine the quantity of donors needed to meet demand within a desired probability of adequacy

판매촉진을 도입한 수요 불확실성 재고관리 모형

학위논문 (박사) -- 서울대학교 대학원 : 공과대학 산업공학과, 2020. 8. 문일경.As the globalization of markets accelerates competition among companies, sales promotion, which refers to short-term incentives promoting sales of products or services, plays a prominent role. Although there are various types of sales promotions, such as price reduction, buy-x-get-y-free, and trade-in program, the common purpose is to induce the purchase of customers by offering benefits. This successful strategy has caught the attention of researchers, including operations management and supply chain management. Thus, various studies have been conducted to examine strategies for ongoing operations and to demonstrate the effects of the sales promotion, which are based on the strategic level. However, research at the tactical or operational level has been conducted insufficiently. This dissertation examines the inventory models considering (i) markdown sale, (ii) buy one get one free (BOGO), and (iii) trade-in program. First, the newsvendor model is considered. By introducing the decision variable, which represents the start time of markdown sale, the retailer can obtain the optimal combination of the start time of a markdown sale and an order quantity. Under certain conditions in a decentralized system, however, the start time of a markdown sale where the retailer obtains the highest profit is the least profitable for the manufacturer. To avoid irrational ordering behavior by a retailer against a manufacturer, a revenue-sharing contract is proposed. Second, the mobile application, ``My Own Refrigerator'', is considered in the inventory model. It enables customers to store BOGO products in their virtual storage for later use. That is, customers can drop by the store to pick up the extra freebies in the future. The promotion involves a high degree of uncertainty regarding the revisiting date because customers who buy the product do not need to take both products on the day of purchase. To deal with this uncertainty, we propose a robust multiperiod inventory model by addressing the approximation of a multistage stochastic optimization model. Third, the trade-in program is considered. It is one of the sales promotions that companies collect used old-generation products from customers and provide them with new-generation products at a discount price. It also helps to acquire the additional products which are required for the refurbishment service. A multiperiod stochastic inventory model based on the closed-loop supply chain system is proposed by incorporating the trade-in program and refurbishment service simultaneously. The stochastic optimization model is approximated to the robust counterpart, which features a deterministic second-order cone program.시장의 세계화에 따른 기업 간의 경쟁이 가속화됨에 따라, 단기 인센티브를 통해 고객의 제품 또는 서비스 구매를 유도하는 판매촉진의 역할이 중요해졌다. 가격 인하, 행사상품 증정, 트레이드인프로그램과 같은 다양한 유형의 판매촉진 전략이 존재하지만, 공통된 주요 목적은 기업이 고객에게 혜택을 제공하여 고객의 수요를 증대시키는 것이다. 판매촉진의 성공적인 전략은 경영과학 또는 공급망관리 분야를 포함한 관련 학계의 관심을 이끌었다. 지속적인 운영을 위한 전략을 검토하고 전략적 수준 계획을 기반으로 하는 판매 촉진의 효과를 입증하기 위한 다양한 연구가 수행되었습니다. 하지만 운영 수준의 소매업체 입장에서의 연구는 미흡한 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 (i) 마크 다운 (ii) buy one get one free (BOGO), 및 (iii) 트레이드인프로그램을 고려한 재고관리모형을 다룬다. 먼저, 신문가판원 모형에 마크 다운 시작 시점을 나타내는 결정 변수를 도입하여 최적의 마크 다운 시작 시점과 주문량의 조합을 제공하는 모형을 제안한다. 분산 시스템의 특정 조건에서는 소매업자가 가장 높은 이익을 얻는 시점이 제조업자에게 낮은 수익성을 야기할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 제조업자에 대한 소매업자의 비합리적 주문을 막기 위한 이익분배계약을 제안한다. 이익분배계약을 통한 중앙집권화 시스템은 분산 시스템에서 얻은 이익에 비해 소매업자와 제조업자의 이익을 향상시킴을 수치실험을 통해 확인하였다. 둘째, 모바일 어플리케이션 ``나만의 냉장고''를 고려한 재고모형을 고려한다. 이 앱을 통해 BOGO 행사제품을 구매한 고객은 증정품을 구매 당일 날 가져가지 않고 미래에 재방문하여 수령할 수 있는 혜택을 받는다. 하지만 소매업자 입장에서는 고객이 증정품을 언제 수령해 갈 지에 대한 불확실성이 존재하며 이는 기존의 재고관리 운영방식에는 한계점이 있음을 시사한다. 본 연구에서는 고객의 재방문에 대한 불확실성을 고려한 복수기간 추계계획 재고모형을 수립하며 이를 효율적으로 계산하기 위한 강건최적화 모형으로 근사화하였다. 셋째, 리퍼서비스와 트레이드인프로그램을 고려한 폐회로 공급망 시스템 기반의 복수기간 재고관리모형을 제안한다. 신세대 제품, 리퍼서비스 및 트레이드인프로그램에 대한 세 가지 유형의 불확실한 수요에 대한 상관관계를 반영함에 따라 복수기간 추계계획 재고모형이 수립된다. 복수기간 추계계획 재고모형의 계산이 어렵다는 한계를 극복하고자 강건최적화 모형으로 근사화하였다.Chapter 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Sales promotion 1 1.2 Inventory management 3 1.3 Research motivations 6 1.4 Research contents and contributions 8 1.5 Outline of the dissertation 10 Chapter 2 Optimal Start Time of a Markdown Sale Under a Two-Echelon Inventory System 11 2.1 Introduction and literature review 11 2.2 Problem description 17 2.3 Analysis of the decentralized system 21 2.3.1 Newsvendor model for a retailer 21 2.3.2 Solution procedure for an optimal combination of the start time of the markdown sale and the order quantity 25 2.3.3 Profi t function of a manufacturer 25 2.3.4 Numerical experiments of the decentralized system 27 2.4 Analysis of a centralized system 35 2.4.1 Revenue-sharing contract 35 2.4.2 Numerical experiments of the centralized system 38 2.5 Summary 40 2.5.1 Managerial insights 41 Chapter 3 Robust Multiperiod Inventory Model with a New Type of Buy One Get One Promotion: "My Own Refrigerator" 43 3.1 Introduction and literature review 43 3.2 Problem description 51 3.2.1 Demand modeling 52 3.2.2 Sequences of the ordering decision 54 3.3 Mathematical formulation of the IMMOR 56 3.3.1 Mathematical formulation of the IMMOR under the deterministic demand 58 3.3.2 Mathematical formulation of the IMMOR under the stochastic demand 58 3.3.3 Distributionally robust optimization approach for the IMMOR 60 3.4 Computational experiments 76 3.4.1 Experiment 1: tractability of the RIMMOR 77 3.4.2 Experiment 2: robustness of the RIMMOR 78 3.4.3 Experiment 3: e ect of duration of the expiry date under the different customers' revisiting propensities 78 3.5 Summary 83 3.5.1 Managerial insights 83 Chapter 4 Robust Multiperiod Inventory Model Considering Refurbishment Service and Trade-in Program 85 4.1 Introduction 85 4.2 Literature review 91 4.2.1 Effects of the trade-in program and strategic-level decisions for the trade-in program 91 4.2.2 Inventory or lot-sizing model in a closed-loop supply chain system 94 4.2.3 Distinctive features of this research 97 4.3 Problem description 100 4.3.1 Demand modeling 103 4.3.2 Decision of the inventory manager 105 4.4 Mathematical formulation 108 4.4.1 Mathematical formulation of the IMRSTIP under the deterministic demand model 108 4.4.2 Mathematical formulation of the IMRSTIP under the stochastic demand model 110 4.4.3 Distributionally robust optimization approach for the IMRSTIP 111 4.5 Computational experiments 125 4.5.1 Demand process 125 4.5.2 Experiment 1: tractability of the RIMRSTIP 128 4.5.3 Experiment 2: approximation error from the expected value given perfect information 129 4.5.4 Experiment 3: protection against realized uncertain factors 130 4.5.5 Experiment 4: di erences between modeling demands from VARMA and ARMA 131 4.5.6 Experiments 5 and 6: comparisons of backlogged refurbishment service with or without trade-in program 133 4.6 Summary 136 Chapter 5 Conclusions 138 5.1 Summary 138 5.2 Future research 140 Bibliography 142 Chapter A 160 A.1 160 A.2 163 A.3 163 A.4 164 A.5 165 A.6 166 Chapter B 168 B.1 168 B.2 171 B.3 172 Chapter C 174 C.1 174 C.2 174 국문초록 179Docto