Artificial Intelligence Techniques for Political Risk Management: An NLP Analysis of the 2019 US-China Trade War

This chapter examines the use of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques in natural language processing (NLP) for risk management, with a particular focus on applications in the field of political economics. The aim of this analysis is to identify and measure potential political risks by conducting a textual analysis of newspapers and social media, using sentiment scores as proxies for nationalism. The study uses the 2019 US-China Trade War as a natural experiment to evaluate the impact of international disputes on political risks. One significant finding is the positive effect of the trade war on sentiment in China’s media about the US, which is attributed to the Chinese government’s efforts to mitigate the negative impact of the trade war on international relations. The study also reveals a negative impact on bilateral imports due to the conflict. Furthermore, the study employs a Difference-in-Difference (DID) model to investigate the impact of news censorship on media during the trade war. It is found that China’s regulators attempted to soften domestic anti-US sentiment, while the US media reported more negatively about China during the conflict. Overall, this analysis demonstrates how NLP technology can be effectively used to identify changes in the management of political risks by analysing news and other media

Great Power Politics: The United States’ War on Disinformation with Consideration to Russian and Chinese Offensive Efforts

The purpose of this thesis is to examine the growing national security threat posed by Russia and China’s willingness to exercise 21st century information warfare techniques against the United States and its areas of strategic interest. This study will describe the composition of these state’s foreign disinformation entities while providing several case studies that display their advanced capabilities and the direct effects that each poses on the general public both domestically and internationally. To best provide unbiased reporting and accuracy in each country’s analysis, this study will rely on the diversified use of government reports, legal documents, academic journals, and news articles. After research into each state, this study will conclude with several recommendations for President-elect Joe Biden and his administration. Ultimately this study will advance the belief that as the United States changes administration, it remains imperative that the federal government acknowledges the growing threat of international adversaries that actively target our democracy and act proactively in defensive and offensive measures

Analysis of the relationship between the sentiment of retail investors and the performance of the chinese stock market

Mestrado em FinançasAo contrário dos mercados de ações em países desenvolvidos, os mercados de ações chineses são principalmente composto por investidores de varejo. O comportamento do investimento no varejo é suscetível a emoções, que pode afetar o desempenho dos mercados de ações. Ao estudar a relação entre o dois tipos de mercados de ações, os investidores de varejo podem aumentar sua consciência do risco e investimento racional e a regulamentação dos mercados de capitais chineses também podem ser desenvolvidos de forma mais científica e saudável. Neste artigo, o método de computação afetiva é usado para quantificar o sentimento dos investidores de varejo registrados na Bolsa de Valores de Xangai. Então, a série temporal de sentimento de varejo, o preço de fechamento dos Valores de Xangai Índice Composto e o volume total de negociação da Bolsa de Valores de Xangai são organizado para análise e avaliado por meio de três métodos de análise, o modelo VAR, Correlação de Pearson e TLCC. As conclusões tiradas deste estudo são as seguintes: (i) Não há relação causal entre o sentimento dos investidores de varejo e o fechamento preço do Shanghai Securities Composite Index. (ii) Existe uma relação causal entre o sentimento do investidor de varejo e o volume total de negociação das Ações de Xangai Troca. (Iii) Há uma influência de defasagem mútua e forte correlação entre o sentimento dos investidores de varejo e a taxa de mudança do Shanghai Securities Composite Índice.Unlike stock markets in developed countries, Chinese stock markets are mainly composed of retail investors. Retail investment behavior is susceptible to emotions, which can affect the performance of stock markets. By studying the relationship between the two types of stock markets, retail investors can increase their awareness of risk and rational investment, and the regulation of Chinese capital markets can also be developed more scientifically and healthily. In this paper, the affective computing method is used to quantify the sentiment of retail investors registered on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. Then, the retail sentiment time series, the closing price of the Shanghai Securities Composite Index, and the total trading volume of the Shanghai Stock Exchange are organized for analysis and assessed through three analysis methods, the VAR model, Pearson correlation, and TLCC. The conclusions drawn from this study are as follows: (i) There is no causal relationship between the sentiment of retail investors and the closing price of the Shanghai Securities Composite Index. (ii) There is a causal relationship between retail investor sentiment and the total trading volume of the Shanghai Stock Exchange. (iii) There is a mutual lag influence and strong correlation between the sentiment of retail investors and the changing rate of the Shanghai Securities Composite Index.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Customer engagement through gamification marketing in China: a focus on the luxury market.

ope

Social policy, state legitimacy and strategic actors: governmentality and counter-conduct in authoritarian regime

Far from acting defensively to preserve the social relations and red ideologies that originally gave it power, the Chinese Communist Party is leading a social and economic transformation that could be expected to lead to direct challenges to its authority. The surprising degree of change in the Chinese socio-economic transformation and the fact that this transformation has been going on for forty years now and has not yet resulted in fundamental challenges subverting its rule have inspired my study. The overarching theoretical enquiry in my dissertation resonates with one of the most important theoretical questions in political sociology: how does the state maintain compliance from the governed in periods of rapid social and economic transformation, and how does the logic of its governmentality change along with its priorities? My work is built on the Weberian and Gramscian tradition of understanding state rule and highlights the individual’s rationale of “believing” and “consent”, but also takes account of the Foucaudian “governmentality” the state uses to maintain its rule and investigates the underlined rationality. Empirically, I take advantage of the pension changes among China’s social welfare reforms, decipher a two-way story of statecraft in authoritarian regimes and explore whether there may be room for cognitional counter-conduct from the public. My work demonstrates that the Chinese state works through benefit allocation, propaganda, experimentation with policy and many other approaches, in order to shape public expectations and justify its rule. However, the state’s well-designed statecraft needs to enable individuals to make sense of their experience and must resonate with their “common sense”. Individuals can update their knowledge from personal interest, information from government policies, signals from current society (their peers) to decide whether to stay loyal or choose non-compliance. In a situation when active counter-conduct such as resistance is not possible, individuals may choose cognitional rebellion and falsify their public compliance

Employees on social media: A multi-spokespeople model of CSR communication

Increasing societal and stakeholder expectations, along with easy access to information through social media, means corporations are asked for more information. The traditional approach to CSR communication, with corporations controlling what and how much to share with stakeholders has been restructured by social media, with stakeholders taking control. As legitimacy on social media is created through the positive and negative judgements of stakeholders, corporations must plan how to meet stakeholder demands for information effectively and legitimately, and this includes choosing appropriate spokespeople. Corporations in India have now turned towards their employees as CSR spokespeople. By encouraging employee activity on social media, these corporations are attempting to meet stakeholder demands and generate legitimacy through spokespeople whom stakeholders perceive as equals. This article examines that strategy and discusses its viability of using employees as spokespeople for CSR communication and engagement with stakeholder

Pension Policy and Governmentality in China

Rapid economic growth is often a disruptive social process threatening the social relations and ideologies of incumbent regimes. Yet far from acting defensively, the Chinese Communist Party has lead a major social and economic transformation over forty years, without yet encountering fundamental challenges subverting its rule. A key question for political sociology is thus - how have the logics of China’s governmentality been able to help maintain compliance from the governed while acting so radically to advance the state’s growth priorities? This book explores the issue by analysing the detailed trajectories, rationale, and effects of China’s pension reforms. It uses strong methods, including institutional analysis of resource allocation in the multiple pension schemes and programmes, and quantitative text analysis of the knowledge construction in official discourse along with the reforms. Causal identification estimates the effects of key policy instruments on public opinion about pension responsibility and political trust. Moving beyond the pension issues, the analysis discusses with qualitative evidence why falsified compliance might exist in China’s society and the mechanisms that may lie behind it. Where active counter-conduct (such as resistance) is confined, individuals may choose cognitive rebellion and falsify their public compliance. The Chinese state’s strategy to generate public compliance is hybrid, organic, and dynamic. The state rules society by its customised governance design and constant adjustments. Public compliance is not only acquired through ‘buying off’ the public with governmental performance and transfer benefits, but is also manufactured through achieving cultural changes and new ideological foundations for general legitimation

Smart Healthcare solutions in China and Europe, an international business perspective

The thesis is part of the Marie Curie Fellowship project addressing health related challenges with IoT solutions. The author tries to address the challenge for the implementation of telehealth solutions by finding out the demand of the telehealth solution in selected European economies and in China (chapter 1), analyzing the emerging business models for telehealth solution ecosystems in China (chapter 2), how to integrate telehealth solutions with institutional stakeholders (chapter 3) and why are elderly users willing to use telehealth solutions in China. Chapter 1 and chapter 2 form the theoretical background for empirical work in chapter 3 and chapter 4. The thesis addressed four research questions, namely “Which societal and social-economics unmet needs that Internet of Healthcare Things can help to resolve?”, “What are the business model innovation for tech companies in China for the smart health industry?”, “What are the facilitators and hurdles for implementing telehealth solutions”, “Are elderly users willing to use telehealth solutions in China?”. Both qualitative study and quantitative analysis has been made based on data collected by in depth interviews with stakeholders, focus group study work with urban and rural residents in China. The digital platform framework was used in chapter 2 as the theoretical framework where as the stakeholder power mapping framework was used in chapter 3. The discretion choice experiment was used in chapter 4 to design questionnaire study while ordered logit regression was used to analyze the data. Telehealth solutions have great potential to fill in the gap for lack of community healthcare and ensuring health continuity between home care setting, community healthcare and hospitals. There is strong demand for such solutions if they can prove the medical value in managing chronic disease by raising health awareness and lowering health risks by changing the patients’ lifestyle. Analyzing how to realize the value for preventive healthcare by proving the health-economic value of digital health solutions (telehealth solutions) is the focus of research. There remain hurdles to build trust for telehealth solutions and the use of AI in healthcare. Next step of research can also be extended to addressing such challenges by analyzing how to improve the transparency of algorithms by disclosing the data source, and how the algorithms were built. Further research can be done on data interoperability between the EHR systems and telehealth solutions. The medical value of telehealth solutions can improve if doctors could interpret data collected from telehealth solutions; furthermore, if doctors could make diagnosis and provide treatment, adjust healthcare management plans based on such data, telehealth solutions then can be included in insurance packages, making them more accessible

Pension Policy and Governmentality in China

Rapid economic growth is often a disruptive social process threatening the social relations and ideologies of incumbent regimes. Yet far from acting defensively, the Chinese Communist Party has lead a major social and economic transformation over forty years, without yet encountering fundamental challenges subverting its rule. A key question for political sociology is thus - how have the logics of China’s governmentality been able to help maintain compliance from the governed while acting so radically to advance the state’s growth priorities? This book explores the issue by analysing the detailed trajectories, rationale, and effects of China’s pension reforms. It uses strong methods, including institutional analysis of resource allocation in the multiple pension schemes and programmes, and quantitative text analysis of the knowledge construction in official discourse along with the reforms. Causal identification estimates the effects of key policy instruments on public opinion about pension responsibility and political trust. Moving beyond the pension issues, the analysis discusses with qualitative evidence why falsified compliance might exist in China’s society and the mechanisms that may lie behind it. Where active counter-conduct (such as resistance) is confined, individuals may choose cognitive rebellion and falsify their public compliance. The Chinese state’s strategy to generate public compliance is hybrid, organic, and dynamic. The state rules society by its customised governance design and constant adjustments. Public compliance is not only acquired through ‘buying off’ the public with governmental performance and transfer benefits, but is also manufactured through achieving cultural changes and new ideological foundations for general legitimation

China Southern: Digital Environments as Geopolitical Contact Zones

This dissertation examines the role of digital media in shaping the geopolitics and materiality of environments in China over the first two decades of the twenty-first century. I look at digital discourses (“smartness,” “connectivity,” “data transparency”), media practices (film/video, satellite images, data capture), and infrastructures (surveillance, telecommunication) and argue that environments, such as land, sea, and air, are increasingly transformed into political territories, and engineered as part of the new technologies of social governance in the digital era. More specifically, this dissertation moves from urban smart infrastructures in Southern China (chapter one), to contested mediations of the disputed South China Sea (chapter two), and finally, to the circulation of air pollution data and imaginaries across the global South (chapter three). With ethnographic research in addition to visual and discursive analysis, my work employs a multi-scalar approach—sub-national, regional, global—to explore both the institutional and popular actors that shape these eco-digital formations. Focusing on the South as both a geographical and political concept, this orientation challenges the Northern-centered vocabularies and framing to global film and media studies. Meanwhile, China Southern reinstates the transnational momentum of the Southern question (Casarino 2010), especially situated at the juncture between neoliberal experiments since the 1990s and the rise of the “Chinese Dream” in the 2000s as a cultural discourse. In doing so, this research contributes to the broader discussion on global governance, and conceptualizes the often obscured theoretical and material entanglement of media and environments in Asia