5,090 research outputs found

    Understanding energy behaviours and transitions through the lens of a smart grid Agent Based Model

    Get PDF
    Available from: .Investigating the dynamics of consumption is crucial for understanding the wider socio-technical transitions needed to achieve carbon reduction goals in the energy sector. Such insight is particularly necessary when considering Smart Grids and current debates about potential transition pathways (and contingent benefits) for the electricity system and coupled gas and transport systems. The electricity grid is a complex adaptive system comprising physical networks, economic markets and multiple, heterogeneous, interacting agents. Fundamental to innovation studies is that social practices and technological artefacts shape and are shaped by one another. Different trajectories of socio-technical systems’ transition are intrinsically linked to the behavioural and cognitive norms of individuals, businesses, communities, sectors, and governance institutions. Therefore the transition to smart(er) grids inevitably requires a knowledge transition and behaviour change among such actor groups. To date, these effects have not been modelled. We present a prototype Agent Based Model (ABM) as a means to examine the effect of individual behaviour and social learning on energy use patterns, from the perspectives of adoption of energy saving behaviours, energy saving technologies and individual or community based energy use practices. We draw on the Energy Cultures framework to understand real-world observations and incorporate representative energy use behaviours into the model and discuss the model’s relation to case studies, e.g. energy use in island communities. Such models enable examination of how far we can learn and scale up lessons from case studies to similar Socio-Technical Systems with bigger scale and greater interconnectivity such as the UK national grid.EPSRC - grant EP/G059969/

    Complexity of Electricity Markets and their Regulation: Insights from the Turkish Experience.

    Get PDF
    Electricity pricing models were designed at a time when technology was relatively stable. The natural monopoly model was based on a uni-directional pricing mechanism. Electricity was generated at one end and transferred to the other end. Pollution was not a big issue. There were no solar panels over the houses of consumers. Many contemporary issues of the ecosystem of electricity were not relevant. The tariff model was meant to be a simple one, even though it included many variables. It was not a complex system. This paper argues that a model that was designed within a simple system cannot efficiently adapt to a multidimensional and interdependent system. The use of the old regulatory model within a complex system creates rents and inefficiencies. This paper evaluates the electricity tariff model in Turkey under the light of recent technological advances and changes in the structure of electricity markets. The changes in the institutional environment of the market bring electricity markets closer to a complex system. We argue that the tariff mechanism should also be revised accordingly. We use the Turkish electricity industry as an example, as it reflects the issues in a developing country

    Complexity of Electricity Markets and their Regulation: Insights from the Turkish Experience.

    Get PDF
    Electricity pricing models were designed at a time when technology was relatively stable. The natural monopoly model was based on a uni-directional pricing mechanism. Electricity was generated at one end and transferred to the other end. Pollution was not a big issue. There were no solar panels over the houses of consumers. Many contemporary issues of the ecosystem of electricity were not relevant. The tariff model was meant to be a simple one, even though it included many variables. It was not a complex system. This paper argues that a model that was designed within a simple system cannot efficiently adapt to a multidimensional and interdependent system. The use of the old regulatory model within a complex system creates rents and inefficiencies. This paper evaluates the electricity tariff model in Turkey under the light of recent technological advances and changes in the structure of electricity markets. The changes in the institutional environment of the market bring electricity markets closer to a complex system. We argue that the tariff mechanism should also be revised accordingly. We use the Turkish electricity industry as an example, as it reflects the issues in a developing country

    Prosumer behaviour in emerging electricity systems

    Get PDF
    This dissertation investigates the interface between technology and society in the emerging electricity systems and in particular the role of the energy prosumer in the energy transition. It contributes to the understanding of the role of consumers in emerging electricity systems within the current EU energy policy context where consumer active participation is regarded as "a prerequisite for managing the energy transition successfully and in a cost-effective way". Emerging energy systems are characterized by a high level of complexity, especially for what concerns the behaviour of social actors. Social actors interact through physical and social networks by sharing information and learning from one another through social interactions. These interactions determine self-organization and emergent behaviours in energy consumption patterns and practices. I argue that the best suited tool to study emergent behaviours in energy consumption patterns and practices, and to investigate how consumers' preferences and choices lead to macro behaviours is agent based modelling. To build a sound characterization of the energy prosumer, I review the current social psychology and behavioural theories on sustainable consumption and collect evidence from EU energy prosumers surveys, studies and demand side management pilot projects. I employ these findings to inform the development of an agent based model of the electricity prosumer, Subjective Individual Model of Prosumer – SIMP, and its extended version, SIMP-N, that includes the modelling of the social network. I apply SIMP and SIMP-N models to study the emergence in consumer systems and how values and beliefs at consumer level (as defined by social psychology and behavioural theories and informed by empirical evidence) and social dynamics lead to macro behaviours. More specifically, I explore the diffusion of smart grid technologies enabled services among a population of interacting prosumers and evaluate the impact of such diffusion on individual and societal performance indicators under different policy scenarios and contextual factors. The analysis of the simulation results provides interesting insights on how different psychological characteristics, social dynamics and technological elements can strongly influence consumers' choices and overall system performance. I conclude proposing a framework for an integrated approach to modelling emerging energy systems and markets that extend the SIMP model to also include markets, distribution system operator and the electricity network

    A generic holonic control architecture for heterogeneous multi-scale and multi-objective smart microgrids

    Get PDF
    Designing the control infrastructure of future “smart” power grids is a challenging task. Future grids will integrate a wide variety of heterogeneous producers and consumers that are unpredictable and operate at various scales. Information and Communication Technology (ICT) solutions will have to control these in order to attain global objectives at the macrolevel, while also considering private interests at the microlevel. This article proposes a generic holonic architecture to help the development of ICT control systems that meet these requirements. We show how this architecture can integrate heterogeneous control designs, including state-of-the-art smart grid solutions. To illustrate the applicability and utility of this generic architecture, we exemplify its use via a concrete proof-of-concept implementation for a holonic controller, which integrates two types of control solutions and manages a multiscale, multiobjective grid simulator in several scenarios. We believe that the proposed contribution is essential for helping to understand, to reason about, and to develop the “smart” side of future power grids

    Foundations of Cryptoeconomic Systems

    Get PDF
    Blockchain networks and similar cryptoeconomic networks aresystems, specifically complex systems. They are adaptive networkswith multi-scale spatiotemporal dynamics. Individual actions towards a collective goal are incentivized with "purpose-driven" tokens. These tokens are equipped with cryptoeconomic mechanisms allowing a decentralized network to simultaneously maintain a universal state layer, support peer-to-peer settlement, andincentivize collective action. These networks therefore provide a mission-critical and safety-critical regulatory infrastructure for autonomous agents in untrusted economic networks. They also provide a rich, real-time data set reflecting all economic activities in their systems. Advances in data science and network sciencecan thus be leveraged to design and analyze these economic systems in a manner consistent with the best practices of modern systems engineering. Research that reflects all aspects of these socioeconomic networks needs (i) a complex systems approach, (ii) interdisciplinary research, and (iii) a combination of economic and engineering methods, here referred to as "economic systems engineering", for the regulation and control of these socio-economicsystems. This manuscript provides foundations for further research activities that build on these assumptions, including specific research questions and methodologies for future research in this field.Series: Working Paper Series / Institute for Cryptoeconomics / Interdisciplinary Researc

    Consumer behavior modeling for electrical energy systems : a complex systems approach

    Get PDF
    Orientador: Alexandre Rasi AokiCoorientador: Germano Lambert-TorresTese (doutorado) - Universidade Federal do Paraná, Setor de Tecnologia, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia Elétrica. Defesa : Curitiba, 27/02/2019Inclui referências: p. 141-154Resumo: Um sistema complexo é um sistema composto de muitas partes que interagem entre si, de modo que o comportamento coletivo emergente dessas partes é mais do que a soma de seus comportamentos individuais. O sistema elétrico de potência pode ser considerado um sistema complexo devido à sua diversidade de agentes heterogêneos inter-relacionados e a emergência de comportamento complexo. Sistemas de potência estão aumentando em complexidade com novos avanços relacionados à redes elétricas inteligentes tais como tecnologia de informação e comunicação, geração distribuída, veículos elétricos, armazenamento de energia e, especialmente, uma crescente interação e participação de um grande número de consumidores heterogêneos dispersos geograficamente. O sistema elétrico de potência pode ser estudado como um sistema técnico-socioeconômico complexo com múltiplas facetas, e a teoria de sistemas complexos pode fornecer uma base teórica sólida para seus desafios de modelagem e análise. O presente trabalho trata da aplicação da teoria de sistemas complexos em sistemas de potência, focando a análise no consumidor e no seu comportamento relacionado ao consumo de eletricidade, utilizando técnicas do campo da economia comportamental. Comportamentos complexos e emergentes sobre o consumo de eletricidade, bem como seu impacto nas redes elétricas, são analisados através da modelagem do comportamento dos cliente em uma simulação baseada em agentes, considerando quatro categorias de consumidores. A análise da simulação, aplicada a um estudo de caso em uma rede de distribuição de média tensão radial com dados reais, mostrou que premissas ligeiramente diferentes sobre o comportamento do consumidor no nível micro levam a resultados macro muito distintos e com comportamento não linear. Entender e modelar adequadamente o comportamento dos consumidores é de grande importância para o planejamento e operação de redes de energia, e a economia comportamental serve como uma base teórica promissora para modelar o comportamento no consumo de eletricidade. Os resultados deste trabalho mostraram que a teorias de sistemas complexos fornece ferramentas adequadas para lidar com sistemas de potência cada vez mais complexos, considerando-os não mais como um sistema independente agregado, mas como um sistema complexo integrado. Palavras-chave: distribuição de energia; consumo de eletricidade; teoria de sistemas complexos; simulação baseada em agentes; economia comportamental.Abstract: A complex system is a system composed of many interacting parts, such that the collective emergent behavior of those parts is more than the sum of their individual behaviors. Electrical energy systems may be considered a complex system due to its diversity of interrelated heterogeneous agents and emergent complex behavior. Energy systems are increasing in complexity with new advances related to the smart grid such as information and communication technology, distributed generation, electric vehicles, energy storage, and, especially, increasing interaction and participation of a large number of geographically distributed heterogeneous consumers. Power systems can be studied as a complex techno-socio-economical system with multiple facets, and Complex System Theory (CST) may provide a solid theoretical background for these modeling and analysis challenges. The present work deals with the application of CST into electrical energy systems, focusing the analysis on the consumer and their behavior on electricity consumption, using insights from the field of behavioral economics. Emergent complex behaviors on electricity consumption as well as its impact on power grids are analyzed by modeling customer behavior on an agent-based simulation, considering four different consumer categories. The analysis of the simulation, applied on a case study on a radial medium voltage distribution grid with real-world data, showed that slightly different assumptions on consumer behavior at the micro-level lead to very different and non-linear macro outcomes. To properly understand and model consumer behavior is of great importance to the planning and operation of electrical grids, and behavioral economics serves as a promising theoretical background to model behavior on electricity consumption. The results of this work showed that CST provides suitable tools to tackle electrical energy systems' increasing complexity, by considering the electrical power systems not as an aggregated independent system anymore, but as an integrated complex system. Keywords: power distribution; electricity consumption; complex systems theory; agent-based simulation; behavioral economics

    A methodology for cooperation between electric utilities and consumers for microgrid utilization based on a systems engineering approach

    Get PDF
    In recent years, the energy market has experienced important challenges in its structure and requirements of its actors, such as the necessity for more reliable electric service, energy efficiency, environmental care practices, and the incorporation of decentralized power generation based on distributed energy resources (DER). Given this context, microgrids offer several advantages to the grid and its actors. However, few microgrid projects have been implemented, and the participation of electric utilities is lower than the expected. Hence, this research explores how electric utility - customer interactions can accommodate mutual benefits for both parties through the proposal of a Microgrid Reference Methodology (MRM) that guides the cooperation of these actors for future microgrid projects. For this research, an understanding of the microgrid system was imperative; hence, the interests and concerns of electric utilities and industrial customers were determined via questionnaires, interviews, and a literature review of specialized articles, books, and magazines. In addition, the MRM development was based on different frameworks and concepts from the fields of Systems Engineering, System of Systems, Management Science, and Infrastructure Architectures. The proposed MRM uses a four-level microgrid system in which the delta (business) level is added to the other three levels that are traditionally analyzed in microgrid design and modeling. The steps and processes necessary to determine the actors in the system and their interests, goals, criteria, and factors are exemplified with a generic case study, in which the proposed MRM evaluates the impact of different alternatives on the objectives of both parties. In addition, it was possible to identify external factors that can be influenced by other actors, such as regulators and government, to incentivize the implementation of microgrid projects
    corecore