Short-Term Traffic Prediction Based on Genetic Algorithm Improved Neural Network

This paper takes the time series of short-term traffic flow as research object. The delay time and embedding dimension are calculated by C-C algorithm, and the chaotic characteristics of the time series are verified by small data sets method.Then based on the neural network prediction model and the chaotic phase space reconstruction theory, the network topology is determined, and the prediction is conducted by the wavelet neural network and RBF neural network using Lan-Hai expressway experimental data. The results show that the prediction effect of RBF neural network is better. Due to the poor stability of the network caused by the initial parameters randomness, the genetic algorithm is used to optimize the initial parameters. The results show that the prediction error of the optimized wavelet neural network or RBF neural network is reduced by more than 10%, and prediction accuracy of the latter is better

Novel analysis–forecast system based on multi-objective optimization for air quality index

© 2018 Elsevier Ltd The air quality index (AQI) is an important indicator of air quality. Owing to the randomness and non-stationarity inherent in AQI, it is still a challenging task to establish a reasonable analysis–forecast system for AQI. Previous studies primarily focused on enhancing either forecasting accuracy or stability and failed to improve both aspects simultaneously, leading to unsatisfactory results. In this study, a novel analysis–forecast system is proposed that consists of complexity analysis, data preprocessing, and optimize–forecast modules and addresses the problems of air quality monitoring. The proposed system performs a complexity analysis of the original series based on sample entropy and data preprocessing using a novel feature selection model that integrates a decomposition technique and an optimization algorithm for removing noise and selecting the optimal input structure, and then forecasts hourly AQI series by utilizing a modified least squares support vector machine optimized by a multi-objective multi-verse optimization algorithm. Experiments based on datasets from eight major cities in China demonstrated that the proposed system can simultaneously obtain high accuracy and strong stability and is thus efficient and reliable for air quality monitoring

Applied Mathematics and Computational Physics

As faster and more efficient numerical algorithms become available, the understanding of the physics and the mathematical foundation behind these new methods will play an increasingly important role. This Special Issue provides a platform for researchers from both academia and industry to present their novel computational methods that have engineering and physics applications

Intelligent energy management system - techniques and methods

ABSTRACT Our environment is an asset to be managed carefully and is not an expendable resource to be taken for granted. The main original contribution of this thesis is in formulating intelligent techniques and simulating case studies to demonstrate the significance of the present approach for achieving a low carbon economy. Energy boosts crop production, drives industry and increases employment. Wise energy use is the first step to ensuring sustainable energy for present and future generations. Energy services are essential for meeting internationally agreed development goals. Energy management system lies at the heart of all infrastructures from communications, economy, and society’s transportation to the society. This has made the system more complex and more interdependent. The increasing number of disturbances occurring in the system has raised the priority of energy management system infrastructure which has been improved with the aid of technology and investment; suitable methods have been presented to optimize the system in this thesis. Since the current system is facing various problems from increasing disturbances, the system is operating on the limit, aging equipments, load change etc, therefore an improvement is essential to minimize these problems. To enhance the current system and resolve the issues that it is facing, smart grid has been proposed as a solution to resolve power problems and to prevent future failures. This thesis argues that smart grid consists of computational intelligence and smart meters to improve the reliability, stability and security of power. In comparison with the current system, it is more intelligent, reliable, stable and secure, and will reduce the number of blackouts and other failures that occur on the power grid system. Also, the thesis has reported that smart metering is technically feasible to improve energy efficiency. In the thesis, a new technique using wavelet transforms, floating point genetic algorithm and artificial neural network based hybrid model for gaining accurate prediction of short-term load forecast has been developed. Adopting the new model is more accuracy than radial basis function network. Actual data has been used to test the proposed new method and it has been demonstrated that this integrated intelligent technique is very effective for the load forecast. Choosing the appropriate algorithm is important to implement the optimization during the daily task in the power system. The potential for application of swarm intelligence to Optimal Reactive Power Dispatch (ORPD) has been shown in this thesis. After making the comparison of the results derived from swarm intelligence, improved genetic algorithm and a conventional gradient-based optimization method, it was concluded that swam intelligence is better in terms of performance and precision in solving optimal reactive power dispatch problems

Local Volterra multivariable chaotic time series multi-step prediction based on phase points clustering

To solve the multivariable multi-step prediction problem in chaotic complex systems, this paper proposes a local Volterra model based on phase points clustering. Firstly, reconstruct the phase space of the data and calculate the similarity of the evolution trajectories. According to the similarity, the initial clustering center of the observation point is calculated and the clustering is carried out by means of K mean. We find the cluster class nearest to the prediction phase, compare the predicted phase point with the evolutionary trajectory similarity of all the observed points in the cluster, select the optimal neighboring phase point, and the optimal neighboring phase point is used for training and multi-step prediction of the multivariable local Volterra model. The proposed model method can greatly reduce the time of multi-step prediction and improve the efficiency of prediction. Finally, by experimenting with the data of Beijing PM2.5 acquired from UCI machine learning database, the experimental results show that this model method has better predictive performance

Dynamic reconstruction of sea clutter

Master'sMASTER OF ENGINEERIN

Entropy in Image Analysis II

Image analysis is a fundamental task for any application where extracting information from images is required. The analysis requires highly sophisticated numerical and analytical methods, particularly for those applications in medicine, security, and other fields where the results of the processing consist of data of vital importance. This fact is evident from all the articles composing the Special Issue "Entropy in Image Analysis II", in which the authors used widely tested methods to verify their results. In the process of reading the present volume, the reader will appreciate the richness of their methods and applications, in particular for medical imaging and image security, and a remarkable cross-fertilization among the proposed research areas